Great Lakes Analytics in Sports Conference
Lynbrook (Calif.) High School
Analyzing Trends in NBA Officiating
Recently, personal fouls in the NBA have become increasingly controversial as the concrete definition of what a foul is differs from person to person. To increase transparency, the NBA has released public assessments of its officiating for games that are within five points with two or less minutes to play on a call-by-call basis. We will discuss the personal foul and its evolution throughout the years, with importance placed on the addition of the hand-checking rule in 2004. Next, we will use binomial logistic regression to examine the four types of calls from the data (correct call, incorrect call, correct no-call, incorrect no-call) and the extent to which a player's weight and/or aggressiveness may play in a referee's officiating of a player. Attendees will be able to explain the pros and cons of the definition of the personal foul and identify trends in NBA officiating that are shaping the league.
Peter Wu is a rising senior at Lynbrook (Calif.) High School, where he founded a sports analytics club that focuses on building fundamentals so members can obtain the skills necessary to perform their own research. In addition, he is a sports writer for ClutchPoints, a sports media company that provides users with a new and unique way to experience sports.
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