Observation

First observations must be taken of the various weather elements. Here we
see the launch of a radiosonde (the white box attached to the balloon), an instrument that
measures temperature, pressure and humidity through the atmosphere. Ground based
observations and satellite images are also used to collect weather data.
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Analysis

Data from hundreds of ground-based observations, radiosonde, pilot
reports, and satellites are fed to three World Meteorological centers located in
Australia, Russia and the United States. From here the worldwide weather information is
sent to to a country's national meteorological center. The data is fed a variety of
computer models, equations that relate to atmospheric energy and motion, for analysis and
visualization of weather. The output of these models are used explain the present weather
and predict future weather.
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Explanation
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Weather Channel Graphic
Click to graphic to enlarge
Discussion: a cold front from southern Canada into the Central
Plains will be across Central Wisconsin by evening. Showers and a few thunderstorms can be
expected in the vicinity of the front.
The output of computer analysis, along with many years of observations and
training, help the geographers and meteorologists explain the weather occurring
at a place.
Weather maps of present activity and text explanations are issued on a
regular basis. Text discussions are provided to help explain what is visualized on the
weather map.
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Prediction

Weather Channel Graphic
Click to graphic to enlarge
The ultimate goal of our inquiry is to make predictions. In weather analysis the out
put of data from our weather models is fed back into the model, run again increasing the
time increment into the future. The results of the run are continually fed back into the
computer until the desired time is arrived (e.g., 24 hour period, 48 hour, etc.) From
these computer runs a prediction or forecast can be made.
A forecast map is a prediction of what we expect the weather
to be like at a future
time. Note the forecast position of the fronts (warm front = red; cold front=blue). A cold
front in the upper Midwest is expected to sag southward kicking off showers in Iowa and
Nebraska. |