Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
4th Quarter 1999
 

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Fig 5A Fig 5B Table 6

 
     The region we define as central Wisconsin had a very good 4th Quarter in 1999.  The economy in Marathon, Portage and Wood counties continues to impress one with its ability to keep growing after all these years of expansion.  One should remember that the national recession of the early 1990s barely registered in our area.  As a result the economy here has been enjoying employment and income growth since the early 1980s.  This is truly a historic period that we are experiencing.

     The unemployment rates fell in all reporting areas to incredibly low levels (Table 2).  Marathon and Portage counties saw their unemployment rates drop well below 3 percent. Wood county also experienced a significant decline when its rate declined to 3.1 percent. Overall, Central Wisconsin's labor force weighted unemployment rate fell from 3.4 to just 2.7 percent in 4th Quarter 1999.  Wisconsin's rate continued to tumble downward hitting an unbelievable low 2.6 percent.  The U.S. experienced a similar decline.  The rate for the nation is at 3.7 percent.

     More good news comes from the employment statistics for our area (Table 3).  Wood county lead the employment expansion with a 2.5 percent gain to its payrolls.  Portage and Marathon added 1.4 and 0.4 percent respectively to their total employment figures.  In sum, Central Wisconsin's total employment rose from 147.5 to 149.3 thousand over the period for a respectable 1.2 percent gain.  In this period of very tight labor market conditions, gains of any size are difficult to achieve. This is clearly reflected by the fact that Wisconsin's total employment was virtually unchanged from last year and the nation's total employment figure expanded by about just 1.5 percent over the same time period.

     Industrial sector employment for our three-county region did well considering the tight labor market conditions across the state (Table 4).  Manufacturing and services posted gains of 0.3 and 4.4 percent respectively.  Likewise, trade and government payrolls grew by 3.9 and 4.9 percent.  Only construction was unchanged from last year.

     County sales tax distribution in Table 5 represent estimates by the state.  Actual figures were not available because of computer related problems.  The state estimates that Portage county sales tax collections were unchanged from a year ago.  For Marathon the estimate is that sales tax collections grew by about 3 percent.  Given the health of the local economy upward revisions in these numbers are likely.

     Relating to the Marshfield county version of the report, Figure 5A and Figure 5B depict employment in Central Wisconsin's key industrial sectors and is presented in the report to give the reader an historic overview of how these sectors have been growing over the past five years.  The figures clearly show that services have grown more rapidly than any other sector.  Further, trade related employment will soon surpass manufacturing as the second most important source of employment for area residents.

     Business confidence rebounded in the region during 4th Quarter 1999.  Our panel of regional business leaders gave a nod of approval (Table 6) to recent economic changes at the national and local levels.  However, the largest rebound in sentiment occurred in their assessment of future conditions.  There was a major increase in their overall assessment of future conditions at the national, local, and industry levels.  Of special note was the mark of 60 tabulated for the expected changes in their particular industries.  This bodes well for the people of our region.

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
December 1998
Unemployment Rate
December 1999
Percent
Change
Portage
3.8%
2.7%
-28.9
Marathon
3.1%
2.5%
-19.4
Wood
3.7%
3.1%
-16.2
Central Wisconsin
3.4%
2.7%
-20.6
Wisconsin
3.1%
2.6%
-16.1
United States
4.0%
3.7%
-7.5
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
December 1998
(Thousands)
Total Employment
December 1999
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage
35.4
35.9
+1.4
Marathon
72.4
72.7
+0.4
Wood
39.7
40.7
+2.5
Central Wisconsin
147.5
149.3
+1.2
Wisconsin
2,875.2
2,876.6
0
United States
132,732
134,696
+1.5
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1998 (Thousands)
Employment
December 1999 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
34.7
34.8
+0.3
Durable goods
18.8
19.1
+1.6
Nondurable
goods
15.9
15.7
-1.3
Services
49.7
51.9
+4.4
Trade
35.9
37.3
+3.9
Construction
5.9
5.9
0
Government
18.3
19.2
+4.9
TABLE 5:
COUNTY SALES TAX DISTRIBUTION
 
Sales Tax
1998
Fourth Quarter
(Thousands)
Sales Tax
1999
Fourth Quarter
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage County
$944.2
$940.0
-0.4
Marathon County
$1,915.8
$1,975.7
+3.1
FIGURE 5A:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
MANUFACTURING, SERVICES AND TRADE

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FIGURE 5B:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
CONSTRUCTION AND GOVERNMENT

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TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Index Value
September 1999
December 1999
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions
49
54
Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
56
56
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
44
56
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions
44
56
Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
50
60
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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