Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
WI.gif (1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
4th Quarter 1998
 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     The economic results for Fourth Quarter were positive for the Wausau area.  For example, the unemployment rate is at just 3.2 percent, industrial sector employment was higher by 1.7 percent, retailer data is quite positive, and residential construction activity is booming.  Further, help wanted advertising is higher than a year ago, and public assistance is minimal.  Thus, by most measures of assessment the economy is growing.

     Marathon county industrial sector employment increased by 1,100 positions, or 1.7 percent from last year (Table 7).  Leading the way this quarter was trade and construction activity, which added 500 and 400 positions respectively.  Manufacturing and government grew by 100 positions each.  Service sector employment remained constant at 20.3 thousand people employed.  In sum, the industrial sector figures show that the economy continues to move forward.

     Retailer confidence in Table 8 shows that local merchants are upbeat about their financial situation and prospects.  Our survey shows that local retailers believe that store traffic and sales are much above those levels of one year ago.  Further, this group looks to the future with much optimism.  They are forecasting that sales and store traffic will be more robust three months from now compared to a year ago.

     Help wanted advertising, a barometer of local labor market conditions, indicates that advertising is 26 points, or 15 percent higher than last year (Table 9).  The reading of 200 means there are two jobs being advertised for each job advertised in the base year.  The U.S. index meanwhile remains stable, hovering around the 91 mark.

     Public assistance claims data show the effects of the state's W2 plan and the overall health of the economy (Table 10).  New applications fell from 11 to 5 for general assistance.  Likewise, the total caseload contracted from 12 to 10.  Another measure of local family financial distress is unemployment claims data (Table 11).  New claims contracted from 372 to 280 on a weekly average basis, a decline of 24.7 percent.  Total claims also fell over the period from 1,367 to 1,174 or 14.1 percent.  Thus the unemployment numbers suggest or hint at the health of the local economy.

     Low interest rates and rising incomes have kept the local residential construction scene on a hot pace.  The number of new permits issued rose by 11.7 percent and the estimated value of the activity rocketed upwards by 79.6 percent (Table 12).  Also of interest is that residential alteration permits moved briskly ahead by 15.8 percent, and the value of this activity is estimated to be 63.3 percent more than a year ago.

     Nonresidential construction is presented without percentage changes due to the volatile nature of this kind of activity (Table 13).  New permits totaled 15 and they were valued at $5.3 million.  With regard to alterations activity the number of permits reached 44 with a value of $2.7 million.  Overall, activity in nonresidential construction was lower than a year ago.

     Financial statistics for the next four quarters will have no previous comparison point because of bank merger activity in the local area.  This year's figures for bank lending and deposits are much higher than last and are not valid for comparison purposes (Table 14).  Moreover, attempts to receive pre-merger figures from the merged institutions were unsuccessful.  At this juncture all that can be reported is that deposits are now $2.1 billion and loans $1.7 billion in the local area.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1997
(Thousands)
Employment
December 1998
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
18.6
18.7
+0.5
Services
20.3
20.3
0
Trade
16.6
17.1
+3.0
Construction
2.9
3.3
+13.8
Government
7.5
7.6
+1.3
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                                              
 
Index Value
September 1998
 December 1998
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
68
67
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
68
68
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
71
69
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
70
69
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
 
Index Value
1997
1998
Wausau
(December)
(1980 = 100)
174
200
U.S.
(November)
(1987 = 100)
92
91
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNT
 
1997
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1998
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications
11
5
-54.5
Total Caseload
12
10
-16.7
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1997
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1998
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
372
280
-24.7
Total Claims
1,367
1,174
-14.1
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1997
Fourth Quarter
1998
Fourth Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
77
86
+11.7
Estimated Value of New Homes
$6,458.0
(thousands)
$11,601.0
(thousands)
+79.6
Number of Housing Units
89
90
+1.1
Residential Alteration Permits Issued
158
183
+15.8
Estimated Value of Alterations
$847.4
(thousands)
$1,383.7
(thousands)
+63.3
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1997
Fourth Quarter
1998
Fourth Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
14
15
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$8,180.0
(thousands)
$5,330.0
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits 
52
44
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$10,162.2
(thousands)
$2,691.7
(thousands)
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1997
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
1998
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
NA
$2,079.0
NA
Bank Loans
NA
$1,686.0
NA
Note: Figures for four quarters beginning Fourth Quarter of 1998 have no 
previous comparison points because of bank merger activity in the local area.
 
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