| For the most
part the economy of our region performed in accordance with the earlier
expectation of modest growth. Most economic indicators were positive
in nature in regard to their depiction of the overall health of the economy.
The most interesting and disturbing aspect of the report was the sentiment
being expressed by regional business executives in regard to the future
direction of national, local, and industry conditions.
The seasonally unadjusted
unemployment rates in Marathon and Portage counties, while still incredibly
low, inched slightly upward (Table 2). The rates for the two counties were
respectively 3.2 and 3.8 percent for the 4th Quarter. However, Wood
County managed to trim a tenth of a percentage off of its rate, a mark
of 3.8 percent. Lastly, Wisconsin continues to have a lower unemployment
rate than the nation, 3.1 percent versus 4.0 percent.
Total employment is given
in Table 3. Total employment
was stable in the three county region. Little change, either positive
or negative, was recorded. The combined payrolls of Marathon, Portage,
and Wood counties fell ever so slightly from 146.6 thousand to 146.0 thousand,
or by 0.4 percent. During the same period Wisconsin employment did
not change that much, rising by just 0.3 percent. The U.S., however,
registered a modest increase of 1.5 percent.
Industrial sector
employment performance was marginally better this year compared to last (Table
4). All sectors reported gains, albeit modest ones.
Manufacturing rose by 0.7 percent, services by 1.6, trade by 1.9, and government
by 0.2 percent. Construction, however, posted a rather large gain in terms
of a percentage change of 9.2 percent. In sum, industrial sector
employment expanded by 2,400 position or 1.7 percent from last year.
Sales tax data are a good
indicator of how the retail situation is performing and of the overall
health of the economy (Table 5). For Portage county the sales tax distribution
figures show that collections rose from $829.8 thousand to $944.2 thousand,
or a very large 13.8 percent over the year. Likewise, Marathon county
experienced substantial growth, rising from $1.8 to $1.9 million, or nearly
6 percent from 1997.
Relating to the
Marshfield version of the report, Figure 5A
and Figure 5B present a detailed look at how manufacturing,
services, trade, construction, and government sector payrolls have fared
over the past number of years. These graphs show the gradual growth
that has taken place in these sectors and how this gradual growth has added
up over the years to a substantial amount.
Perhaps the most interesting
and surprising information in this quarter's report is the continued level
of pessimism being expressed by regional business executives (Table
6). When
asked to assess recent changes at the national and local levels they felt
matters had noticeably weakened. Moreover, their beliefs about the
future were also pessimistic. The expected economic changes as the
national, local and industrial levels were not judged in a positive light.
The uncertainty surrounding the international financial situation is clearly
playing a role in their thinking. |