Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
4th Quarter 1994

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6

 

     The Central Wisconsin economic indicators were mixed for Fourth Quarter 1994. Unemployment rates were much lower than last year. The Central Wisconsin overall unemployment rate now stands at a very low 4.4 percent. Industrial sector employment performance was equally impressive. Every sectors payroll was higher than in Fourth Quarter 1993. For the record, 7.3 thousand jobs were added in our three county area for a gain of 5.8 percent. Finally the last positive indicator was business confidence. Regional business leaders were mildly upbeat in their assessment of the economy.
 

     On the negative side of the ledger the indicator total employment increase by a very modest 1.0 percent for Central Wisconsin. Another downbeat result comes from our Key Central Wisconsin industries where employment growth was a net zero for the four sectors.

     Seasonally unadjusted unemployment rates were much lower in all geographic reporting areas when compared to last year (Table 2). The rates for Portage, Marathon, and Wood Counties were 4.3. 4.8, and 3.8 percent respectively for Fourth Quarter 1994. The labor force weighted Central Wisconsin unemployment rate fell from 5.0 to 4.4 percent over the course of the year which underscores the improvement in our regional labor market. 

     The total employment picture in the region was mixed. Table 3 shows that total employment want up In Portage and Marathon Counties by 700 and 800 jobs, or 2.0 end 1.0 percent each. Wood county payrolls actually declined over the period by 200 or 0.5 percent. In sum, Central Wisconsin payrolls grew by 1100 positions or 0.8 percent. In contrast U.S., employment during the same period expanded by 3.4 percent.
 

     Industrial sector employment in our region rose from 124.8 to 132.1 thousand, or 7300 jobs from a year ago (Table 4). Each sector reported gains in their payrolls. Services and manufacturing lead the expansion growing by 5.5 and 1.1 thousand jobs respectively. Smaller but no less welcomed improvements were recorded for trade, construction, and government at 500, 100, and 100. 

     However, not so good news comes from our key Central Wisconsin industries. Table 5 shows that the job increases of 700 and 100 in finance, insurance, and real estate and paper products were offset by declines 700 and 100 in food processing and lumber and wood products. Thus, total employment in these key industries remained unchanged at 29.0 thousand. Growth in these industries is Important because they export goods and services to the rest of the state, nation, and world and in doing so bring dollars into the region. 

     Each quarter regional business executives are surveyed by the CWERB and the results are displayed in Table 6. Recent economic changes at the national and local levels are said to be improved from December 1993. National economic statistics collaborate their assessment of the situation. When we asked them to forecast the future direction of the national and local economies plus the prospects for their industry they were mildly optimistic about each. A side note to this however is the optimism levels for this group has been trending slowly downward on a seasonally adjusted basis since late 1992.

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
December 1993
Unemployment Rate
December 1994
Percent
Change
Portage
4.8%
4.3%
-10.4
Marathon
5.3%
4.8%
-9.4
Wood
4.7%
3.8%

-19.1

Central Wisconsin
5.0%
4.4%
-12.0
Wisconsin
4.2%
3.9%
-7.1
United States
6.0%
5.1%
-15.0
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
December 1993
(Thousands)
Total Employment
December 1994
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage
35.4
35.2

+2.0

Marathon

62.8

63.4

+1.0

Wood
38.2
38.0
-0.5
Central Wisconsin
135.5
136.6

+0.8

Wisconsin
2,611.2
2,645.2
+1.3
United States
120,636
124,729
+3.4
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1993 (Thousands)
Employment
December 1994 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
30.0
31.1
+3.7
Durable goods
14.0
15.3
+9.3
Nondurable
goods
15.7
15.8

+0.6

Services
40.8
46.3
+13.5
Trade
32.1
32.6
+1.6
Construction

4.5

4.6

+2.2

Government
17.4
17.5
+0.6
TABLE 5:
EMPLOYMENT IN KEY CENTRAL WISCONSIN INDUSTRIES
Industry
Employment
December 1993
(Thousands)
Employment
December 1994
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Paper Products

9.4

9.5

+1.1

Lumber and Wood
Products

6.2

6.1

-1.6

Food Processing

4.2

3.5

-16.7

Finance, Insurance,
and Real Estate

9.2

9.9

+7.6

TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Index Value
September 1994 December 1994
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions

58

66
Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
61
65
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
54
58
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions

57

57

Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
62
61
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481