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Once again it can be reported that the area
economy shows strong evidence of growth and expansion. Fourth quarter results
were overwhelmingly positive. All aggregate employment totals were above last
year's levels. The unemployment rate was well below last year's mark and
merchants tell us they had a solid Christmas selling period. Help wanted
advertising shot up dramatically from a year ago signaling an improvement in the
local labor market. Total unemployment claims are down by nearly 18.9 percent
and construction remained strong, even if it was off the 1992 pace. In spite of
all this favorable information, we should not forget that there are people in
this community who, for whatever personal reasons, have not participated in the
economic expansion. An increase in the number of single parent households, part
time jobs, and a lack of proper training have contributed to an increase in the
area's poverty rate over the past several years. Like the
U.S.
as a whole, it appears that society has become more bipolar over the last
decade.
For the
Portage
County
area, industrial sector employment grew in all categories, the lone exception
being government. Manufacturing, services, trade, and construction expanded by
2.0, 3.0, 1.4, and 0.9 percent respectively (Table 7).
Services are once again the fastest growing classification in Portage County
combing by 300 jobs to 10,450. Overall,
Portage
County
industrial sector employment payrolls rose by 510 or a modest 1.7 percent.
Retailer Confidence in Table 8
displays area merchants' assessment of retail activity during the fourth quarter
1993. This panel believes that sales and store traffic this December were
markedly superior to one year ago. Further, the sample of local merchants is
moderately optimistic concerning the levels of sales and store traffic three
months from now compared to a year ago. As a side note, however, it is worth
mentioning that even though area merchants have an optimistic forecast, they are
not quite as upbeat as they were in September.
Help wanted advertising in
Stevens Point,
Table 9, experienced a dramatic increase. This gauge of
local labor market conditions rose by 102 points or 73 percent. Thus, even
though this measure does not distinguish between part and full time positions,
it is nonetheless very encouraging to see such an increase. For the
U.S.,
job advertising rose by 13 percent signaling a strengthening in the national
economy.
Table 10 presents very
good economic news for the area. Public assistance claims, on a monthly average
basis, declined in both new applications and total caseload. New applications
fell from 178 to 125, a 28.8 percent contraction. Moreover, total caseload
shrank from 1862 to 1553, or 16.3 percent from last year. The information is
especially pleasing in light of the fact that total caseload figures in our area
have been trending upward over the last few years.
Unemployment claims data in
Table 11 shows no change in the number of new claims over the year on a
weekly average basis. However, much improvement took place in the number of
total claims reported for fourth quarter. Total claims fell from 169 to 137, a
decrease of nearly 19 percent on a weekly average basis. This would indicate an
overall strengthening in the local labor market situation.
Residential construction activity remained brisk in the area despite
lower construction figures reported in all categories of activity for fourth
quarter 1993 (Table
12). It should be noted that fourth quarter 1992 was a very strong period
and, in comparison, fourth quarter 1993 may appear weaker than it actually was.
The number of new residential construction permits issued was 56, the estimated
value of new homes came in at nearly $6 million, the number of units totaled 65,
and 126 residential alteration permits were issued with an estimated value of
$724 thousand.
Table 13 gives
nonresidential construction activity for the area. Because of the volatility of
these categories, no percentage changes are given. Three permits were issued for
new nonresidential construction with an estimated value of $302 thousand. For
nonresidential alterations, 52 permits were issued worth an estimated $871
thousand. Evaluating the quarter, as a whole, it appears that nonresidential
activity was somewhat lower than normal for the time period.
Financial data for the local area is presented
in Table 14. Bank deposits fell from 5340.7 to 5328.2
Million, a decline of 3.7 percent from last year. This unique situation
parallels events occurring nationally as investors are evidently pulling their
funds out of low interest bearing accounts and placing the deposits into mutual
funds in the hope of earning higher returns. The banking industry has responded
to this challenge by offering their own mutual funds as an alternative to
traditional savings methods. Area lending expanded at a very healthy 6.0 percent
from last year. Loans outstanding rose from $258.5 to $273.9 million in the
local area; a sign of increased economic activity on the part of households and
businesses. |