|
Table
7 Table 8 Table 9 Table
10 Table 11 Table 12
Table 13 Table 14
The Wausau area economy is being affected by the recession, but to a much
smaller degree than other regions of the country. For reasons mentioned in other
sections of this report, the local area, Central Wisconsin, and the state have
continued to weather these times of economic uncertainty. For the Wausau area,
the unemployment rate has risen but not to a disastrous extent. Total employment
and industrial employment are slightly higher than a year ago. Moreover, it is
generally believed that the retail sector had a reasonably decent year. On the
downside of local conditions, public assistance and unemployment claims filed
expanded from a year ago and growth rates for financial statistics are not as
robust as in past periods. Finally, the agricultural sector, especially the
dairy farmers of our region, is facing difficult times as a result of low milk
prices. Due to financial strain, the prognosis is that over the next decade,
there will be a continued and significant contraction in the number of farms in
the state.
Marathon
County
employment figures, displayed in Table 7, show a small
amount of growth in these categories from last year. Manufacturing employment
was actually lower by 400 jobs. However, good news comes from the services,
trade, and construction sectors, where payrolls expanded by 600, 200, and 400.
Government employment was unchanged from fourth quarter 1990. In sum, these
industrial classifications expanded from 53.1 thousand to 53.9 thousand jobs
over the course of the year. This represents a growth rate of about 1.5 percent.
This very modest expansion in payrolls is undoubtedly being influenced by the
national economic environment.
Our panel of local merchants, unlike those in some other Central Wisconsin
communities, tell the CWERB that store traffic and sales were higher than last
year (Table 8). This is consistent with recently released
sales tax collection data from the area. These merchants also believe that store
traffic and sales will improve in the months ahead when compared to last year's
retail market. The information in Table 8 suggests that the local retail sector
outperformed the national retail sector, where gains have been much harder to
achieve.
Help wanted advertising in Table 9 tells us that job
listings in the newspaper have held constant over the past year. Compared to the
national situation, where advertising fell by 10 points or approximately 17
percent, the local employment climate seems much warmer indeed. In the Wausau
area, the index tells the reader that there are 1.86 positions being advertised
currently for every 1.0 positions in 1980. Since the population has not grown by
a similar factor, this result can not be accounted for by population growth.
Table 10 and Table 11, our
measures of local family financial distress, show that there are financial
problems in the community. But, only a portion of the results can be directly
attributed to economic conditions. New applications for public assistance rose
from 13 to 21 on a monthly average basis, a gain of 61.5 percent, while the
total caseload for public assistance rose from 61 to 82 on a monthly average
basis, an increase of 34.4 percent. When it comes to unemployment claims on a
weekly average basis, the number of initial claims rose from 431 to 532. This
increase of 101 claims represents a 23.4 percent jump. Likewise, total
unemployment claims expanded by 170, a percentage gain of 9.2 percent from last
year.
Lower interest rates have helped spur new residential construction
(Table 12).
The number of permits issued, the estimated value of new residential
construction, and the number of units all surpassed last year's rather robust
figures, increasing by 60 percent, 45 percent, and 13 percent respectively.
However, alteration permits and the estimated value of residential alterations
fell by 15 percent and 13 percent when contrasted with 1990.
As stated in previous Economic Indicators, nonresidential construction is an
extremely volatile activity
(Table 13).
Due to the singular nature of these kinds of projects, no percentage changes are
given. Good news comes from the fact that the number of nonresidential permits
issued, the estimated value of permits issued, and the number of alteration
permits issued exceeded last year's totals. Only the estimated value of
nonresidential alterations fell from 1990.
Financial statistics for the quarter are displayed in Table
14. Bank deposits expanded by $5 million or 0.7 percent. This information
gives insight into local income and liquidity. The results for this quarter are
weaker than usual. Bank lending in the area rose by $9.5 million. That
represents an increase of 1.8 percent over the past twelve months. It should be
noted that deposit and lending growth failed to keep pace with inflation, which
was near the 3.0 percent mark. |