Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
WI.gif (1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
4th Quarter 1989
 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14


     The past 3 1/2 years can be characterized as a period of substantial economic growth, adjustment, and restructuring in the Wausau area. The recovery from the very harsh recession of the early 1980s is more than complete. Data for 4th quarter suggest that even though the national economy and segments of the Central Wisconsin region have slowed, as of yet there is little evidence of this in the Wausau area. The 4th quarter results were, for the most part, very favorable. Even though the unemployment rate was substantially above last year's, it was mitigated by increasing total and nonfarm employment. As a matter of fact, the Marathon County area was the only segment in the region to post a gain in total employment from one year ago. Given the substantial commuting that takes place among the counties, this development is welcomed in all parts of the area. 

     Marathon County employment was higher in all major nonfarm categories,
Table 7. Every classification achieved record levels for the 4th quarter time period. The very important manufacturing sector gained approximately 500 new jobs. Further, services, trade, construction, and government added 600, 700, 200, and 500 positions respectively. In sum, nearly 2,500 more people are employed in Marathon County than in December 1988, bringing the grand total to 48,300.
 

     Retail conditions give important clues as to the health of an economy, Table 8. The CWERB survey of local merchants is intended to give us that kind of insight into the Wausau area economy. The degree of optimism expressed remains virtually unchanged from last quarter. The merchants felt that total sales and traffic were noticeably better than one year ago at this time. When asked about the future, they said that store traffic and sales would be better than last year at the same time. Thus, even in the face of a slowing national economy, this group remains fairly confident about the Wausau economy. 

     Another gauge of the local situation is presented in Table 9. Here, the data point to a less optimistic picture. Help wanted advertising in the area dropped for the third consecutive quarter when compared with last years marks. The index was down by approximately 22 percent from 1988. This is very similar to what took place at the national level, where help wanted advertising declined by 5 percent. However, even though the local index has declined, the current reading tells us that approximately two jobs are being advertised for every one job advertised in 1980. 

     Contrasting results are displayed in Table 10 and Table 11. Public assistance for new and total claims rose from last year's marks. Total caseload was up by an average of 7 claims per month and new applications were up by an average of 12. We get a somewhat different story from the unemployment claims data. Here the weekly average number of initial unemployment claims fell by 24 and total claims decreased by 127. 

     A leading economic indicator of overall activity is residential construction. The 4th quarter numbers were generally below those of last year, Table 12. Permits issued, the estimated value of new homes, the number of units, the number of residential alteration permits, and the estimated value of residential alterations all fell short of the marks established in 1988. However, to keep things in perspective, the results for this 4th quarter were higher than all 4th quarters of the 1980s except 1988. 

     Nonresidential construction is reported without percentage changes (Table 13). The reason for this is the large and singular nature of these projects. It is important to look at such data because they tell us how economically healthy the community is and give us clues about its likely direction and prospects for job creation. The level of activity for 4th quarter was on the high end of the distribution for the 1980s. This means that the activity level compared favorably with past periods, which bodes well for the local area. 

     Table 14 presents Wausau area financial statistics. Local bank deposits, a measure of local liquidity, rose by nearly $48 million dollars. Lending activity was even more brisk posting a 12.5 percent or $56.7 million gain over December 1988. Both lending and deposits data are indicative of an economy which has expanded by a noticeable degree.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1988
(Thousands)
Employment
December 1989
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
13.6
14.1
+3.7
Services
15.0
15.6

+4.0

Trade
12.2
12.9
+5.7
Construction
2.0
2.2

+10.0

Government
6.0

6.5

+8.3
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                                              
 
Index Value
September 1989
 December 1989
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
69
69
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
68
67
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
69

68

Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
68
68
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
 
Index Value
1988
1989
Wausau
(December)
(1980 = 100)
257

201

U.S.
(November)
(1967 = 100)
158

150

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNT
 
1988
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1989
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications
11

23

+109.1
Total Caseload

82

89

+8.5

* As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims are being compiled on a
county-wide basis
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1988
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1989
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
435

401

-7.8
Total Claims

1,636

1,509

-7.8
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1988
Fourth Quarter
1989
Fourth Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
36

33

-8.3

Estimated Value of New Homes
$3,802.0
(thousands)

$2,895.6
(thousands)

-23.8
Number of Housing Units
61

52

-14.8
Residential Alteration Permits Issued

219

195

-11.0
Estimated Value of Alterations
$809.0
(thousands)

$743.1
(thousands)

-8.1
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1988
Fourth Quarter
1989
Fourth Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
24

16

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$3,000.9
(thousands)

$1,648.7
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits 
19

21

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$309.8
(thousands)

$843.0
(thousands)

 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1988
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
1989
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$606.9

$652.8

+7.6
Bank Loans
$451.9

$508.6

+12.5
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481