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Table
7 Table 8 Table 9 Table
10 Table 11 Table 12
Table 13 Table 14
The Wausau area continued to grow and prosper
during fourth quarter 1988. The last several years have been especially good for
the local area and the region. There is substantial evidence to support this
claim. Total employment is at an all time high regardless of the reporting
period. Moreover, the unemployment rate has continued to plummet. As a matter of
fact, the fourth quarter level is the lowest since the early 1970s.
Virtually all other indicators of performance were positive, once again
suggesting a vigorous fourth quarter. The future of the local expansion is
bright. Statistics on regional business and retailer sentiment, help wanted
advertising, construction, and finance suggest that the local economy has
momentum. Furthermore, a positive forecast for the national economy in
conjunction with local variables should mean continued growth in the months
ahead.
A
very important indicator of economic activity is employment. Table 7 contains
positive news for the Wausau area. All sectors
except trade posted gains from last year. Manufacturing led the parade with a
gain of 900. This sector has been a continual source of strength for the local
area. The figure for fourth quarter represents an all-time high. Record levels
of employment also were obtained in the service and construction sectors; 500
and 100 more jobs respectively. In sum, nonfarm employment expanded by a very
healthy 3.2 percent or 1500 positions.
In order to gain insight into retail sector activity, local merchants are
interviewed. The fortunes of the retail sector are reflective of overall
economic conditions. The December survey, reported in Table 8, reveals an
optimistic appraisal of the situation. Total sales and store traffic were higher
than the year before, an indication of expansion. With regard to the future, our
panel felt that matters would improve substantially. This bodes well for the Marathon County
economy.
Another method of evaluating the future prospects of an area is to examine help
wanted advertising. Put simply, advertised employment will eventually translate
into real employment growth and more income for the area. Table 9
shows that two
and a half jobs were being advertised in fourth quarter 1988 for everyone
position advertised in 1980. Moreover, there has been a 33.1 percent jump in
this indicator since last year. This dramatic upward trend produced a record
high level for December. Needless to say, this is a very positive development
for Wausau-Marathon
County.
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Table 10 and Table 11 give information on family financial distress. Together they
provide additional and valuable clues about local conditions, because some
individuals, for a variety of reasons, do still experience hardships even when
the remainder of the economy is prospering. Public assistance claims are much
lower than a year ago. The dramatic decrease in new applications and total
caseload can be attributed to an expanding local economy and to a more
concentrated effort on the few remaining cases.
The data presented in Table 11 are in contrast with public assistance figures in
Table 10. The numbers of initial and total unemployment claims were higher than
a year ago. These negative results coincide with trends in the region and the
nation.
Residential construction activity is a precursor for broader economic
advancement. Therefore, an inspection of this data is useful for its predictive
properties. Table 12 shows that despite higher interest rates there has been a
great deal of activity. This is especially true for alteration work on existing
structures. Moreover, the residential construction scene was fairly active
across all categories and compares favorably to historic norms.
In addition to residential construction, another important measure of building
activity is business construction. (Table 13.) The numbers for fourth
quarter 1988 were encouraging. A surge in the number of permits issued and their
estimated values suggests continued expansion in the local economy. During
fourth quarter 24 permits were issued, an all time high number for this time
period.
Financial statistics for Wausau are given in
Table
14. Bank deposit data is useful because it gives a measure of local liquidity
and purchasing power. The data indicate a 3.3 percent or $19.4 million gain in
local deposits. Another important piece of financial data are bank loans.
Lending activity was substantially higher in fourth quarter 1988. The $54.1
million expansion in lending from last year pushed the total to a record high,
regardless of the time of year. This very strong evidence suggests that the
economy continued to be in an expansive mode.
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