Poor weather and weakening labor market conditions combined to severely
limit fourth quarter growth in the
Wisconsin Rapids
area. However, some signs of strength were evident in the local service
and trade sectors. Evidence for these conclusions is contained in Tables
7-13. These tables are based on information about local labor markets,
construction activity and financial markets.
Wood
County
payroll data suggests that recent county trends conflict with overall Central Wisconsin developments (Table 7).
The county's manufacturing sector showed a modest decline from the
December 1984 figure, while manufacturing employment in the region as a
whole has grown. Also in contrast to the region, the
Wood
County service and trade
sectors have expanded payrolls. Service employment is up 2.7% over the
year earlier level, while trade jobs have risen 4.9% over the same time
period. Construction and government employment are down slightly from a
year ago.
The Wisconsin Rapids index is down slightly from
the third quarter level but above the December 1984 reading. The latter
is a more accurate comparison because it removes seasonal swings. The
local employment index adjusts the
Wood
County payroll data for
the structural differences between the city and county economies. The
1.8% increase posted by the index is the most encouraging finding among
the local indicators.
Help wanted advertising in the
Wisconsin Rapids
area showed little change from a year ago (Table 8). The index remained
well below the December 1980 base. This flat reading is an indication of
labor demand leveling off in the local economy.
Public assistance claims also showed little movement when compared to
the fourth quarter of 1984 (Table 9). Initial
applications averaged 99 per month, identical to the year earlier
figure. Total open cases edged down 2.6%.
Unemployment claims processed at the
Wisconsin Rapids
district office rose sharply during the fourth quarter (see Table 10).
Seasonal factors are partly responsible but when compared to the fourth
quarter of 1984, substantial increases in new and total unemployment
claims remain. This indicator is a clear sign of weakening labor market
conditions.
The positive effect of lower interest rates was not enough to offset the
stifling impact of an early winter (Table 11).
All measures of residential construction showed declines when compared
to the fourth quarter of 1984. The estimated value of new construction
plunged 27.3%, while new permits were off 35%.
Nonresidential construction showed a surprisingly large amount of fourth
quarter activity (Table 12). Although the value
of new structures was down from a year ago, alteration and remodeling
activity picked up sharply. Paced by a major expansion project filed by
Warehousing Wisconsin, the value of nonresidential alterations was
estimated at over $1.6 million.
Local commercial bank activity was sluggish during the fourth quarter (Table
13). Bank deposits and loans were up modestly over last year but
very little of this reported gain took place during the final three
months of 1985. During the quarter, bank loans inched up .3% while bank
deposits slipped .3%.