| The economic
indicators for Stevens Point were mixed for 3rd Quarter. Consider the following:
The unemployment rate in September reached an incredibly low 2.6 percent.
Yet total employment and industrial sector payrolls declined slightly from
last year. However, the good news is that employment still remains at near
record levels. Retailers, along with sales tax data, indicate that the
economy is moving forward. Help wanted advertising is at record levels
in the area. Public assistance is up for the county in terms of new claims,
but total claims are slightly lower. Finally, bank statistics are off the
pace of last year.
Industry employment in Table
7 shows that manufacturing and government payrolls are lower than last
year. The respective decline for each sector was 200 and 500. Services
and construction meanwhile each added 100 positions to their payrolls.
Trade sector employment was unchanged from a year ago. Overall then these
five sectors contracted by a net 500 positions, or approximately 1.5 percent.
The largest part of the contraction can be attributed to the reported decline
in government employment.
Retailer confidence (Table
8) in the Stevens Point-Plover area remains at an elevated level. Retail
activity is a good barometer of the overall health of the local economy.
Local merchants tell the CWERB that total sales and traffic compared to
the previous year were modestly ahead of the pace of a year ago. They also
expect to see modest improvements taking place in sales and store traffic
for this Christmas. Hopefully this will materialize because the Christmas
selling season is crucial to the long run financial health of most retailers.
Help wanted advertising
(Table 9) in the local area is at a record level.
The index for the greater Stevens Point area reached 323 in September.
This means there are 3.2 jobs being advertised for every one job in the
base year. However, a portion of the advertising is from employers who
are located outside the region. Because of labor shortages, firms from
all over the state are searching for skilled workers. Thus, not all of
the advertising is local in nature. Nonetheless area residents can potentially
benefit from the greater number of employment opportunities.
A measure of local family
distress is public assistance claim (Table 10) data.
New applications moved sharply higher in 3rd Quarter 1998. A grand total
of 17 new cases were reported in Portage county. The good news is that
the new cases were offset by a decline in previously existing cases. This
is reflected in the slight contraction in the total caseload figure for
Portage county. The total caseload fell by 10, or by 0.6 percent from last
year. Another measure of local family financial distress is unemployment
claim (Table 11) data. For 3rd Quarter new claims
fell slightly, from 52 to 48. Moreover, total claims declined as well,
contracting from 142 to 132. These numbers are in contrast to the reported
softness in the employment data for Portage county.
Residential construction
(Table 12) activity in the local area has been very
robust for the better part of the last decade. The number of residential
permits issued is up 26.1 percent and the value associated with this activity
is 80.4 percent higher than last year. At the same time the number of new
housing units increased 53.7 percent. In contrast the number of residential
alteration permits contracted by 32.9 percent, while the value of these
alterations was 4.0 percent lower than the previous year.
Nonresidential construction
(Table 13) was quite strong in Portage county. The
number of permits issued was 16 and they had an estimated value of $3.8
million. The most impressive aspect of this quarter's results, however,
is the area's alteration activity. The number of alteration permits reached
57 and their value was estimated at $4.3 million.
Financial statistics for
the area are presented in Table 14.
This sample of area financial institutions indicates that bank deposits
contracted from $287.1 to $278.8, or 2.9 percent over the past month. Bank
lending levels were about the same as in 3rd Quarter 1997. In 1998 loans
stood at $319 million compared to $320 million in 1997. |