CWERBtitle.gif (8073 bytes)
WI.gif (1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Stevens Point Area
3rd Quarter 1998

 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14


     The economic indicators for Stevens Point were mixed for 3rd Quarter. Consider the following: The unemployment rate in September reached an incredibly low 2.6 percent. Yet total employment and industrial sector payrolls declined slightly from last year. However, the good news is that employment still remains at near record levels. Retailers, along with sales tax data, indicate that the economy is moving forward. Help wanted advertising is at record levels in the area. Public assistance is up for the county in terms of new claims, but total claims are slightly lower. Finally, bank statistics are off the pace of last year.

     Industry employment in Table 7 shows that manufacturing and government payrolls are lower than last year. The respective decline for each sector was 200 and 500. Services and construction meanwhile each added 100 positions to their payrolls. Trade sector employment was unchanged from a year ago. Overall then these five sectors contracted by a net 500 positions, or approximately 1.5 percent. The largest part of the contraction can be attributed to the reported decline in government employment.

     Retailer confidence (Table 8) in the Stevens Point-Plover area remains at an elevated level. Retail activity is a good barometer of the overall health of the local economy. Local merchants tell the CWERB that total sales and traffic compared to the previous year were modestly ahead of the pace of a year ago. They also expect to see modest improvements taking place in sales and store traffic for this Christmas. Hopefully this will materialize because the Christmas selling season is crucial to the long run financial health of most retailers.

     Help wanted advertising (Table 9) in the local area is at a record level. The index for the greater Stevens Point area reached 323 in September. This means there are 3.2 jobs being advertised for every one job in the base year. However, a portion of the advertising is from employers who are located outside the region. Because of labor shortages, firms from all over the state are searching for skilled workers. Thus, not all of the advertising is local in nature. Nonetheless area residents can potentially benefit from the greater number of employment opportunities.

     A measure of local family distress is public assistance claim (Table 10) data. New applications moved sharply higher in 3rd Quarter 1998. A grand total of 17 new cases were reported in Portage county. The good news is that the new cases were offset by a decline in previously existing cases. This is reflected in the slight contraction in the total caseload figure for Portage county. The total caseload fell by 10, or by 0.6 percent from last year. Another measure of local family financial distress is unemployment claim (Table 11) data. For 3rd Quarter new claims fell slightly, from 52 to 48. Moreover, total claims declined as well, contracting from 142 to 132. These numbers are in contrast to the reported softness in the employment data for Portage county.

     Residential construction (Table 12) activity in the local area has been very robust for the better part of the last decade. The number of residential permits issued is up 26.1 percent and the value associated with this activity is 80.4 percent higher than last year. At the same time the number of new housing units increased 53.7 percent. In contrast the number of residential alteration permits contracted by 32.9 percent, while the value of these alterations was 4.0 percent lower than the previous year.

     Nonresidential construction (Table 13) was quite strong in Portage county. The number of permits issued was 16 and they had an estimated value of $3.8 million. The most impressive aspect of this quarter's results, however, is the area's alteration activity. The number of alteration permits reached 57 and their value was estimated at $4.3 million.

     Financial statistics for the area are presented in Table 14. This sample of area financial institutions indicates that bank deposits contracted from $287.1 to $278.8, or 2.9 percent over the past month. Bank lending levels were about the same as in 3rd Quarter 1997. In 1998 loans stood at $319 million compared to $320 million in 1997.

 
TABLE 7:
PORTAGE COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
September 1997
(Thousands)
Employment
September 1998
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Manufacturing
7.3
7.1
-2.7
Services
11.3
11.4
+0.9
Trade
7.6
7.6
0
Construction
1.5
1.6
+6.7
Government
5.7
5.2
-8.8
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA
                                        
Index Value
June 1998
September 1998
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
72
69
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
69
68
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
74
66
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
70
69
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN PORTAGE COUNTY
                                
Index Value
1997
1998
Stevens Point
(September)
(1980 = 100)
277
323
U.S.
(August)
(1987 = 100)
84
92
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1997
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1998
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Applications
89
106
+19.1
Total Caseload
1,761
1,751
-0.6
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1997
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1998
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Claims
52
48
-7.7
Total Claims
142
132
-7.0
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1997
Third Quarter
1998
Third Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
46
58
+26.1
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$3,944.5
(thousands)
$7,117.8
(thousands)
+80.4
Number of Housing Units
54
83
+53.7
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
368
247
-32.9
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$1,519.1
(thousands)
$1,458.0
(thousands)
-4.0
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1997
Third Quarter
1998
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
15
16
Estimated Value of 
New Structures
$3,534.0
(thousands)
$3,851.1
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
37
57
Estimated Value 
of Business Alterations
$517.0
(thousands)
$4,348.1
(thousands)
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1997
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1998
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$287.1
$278.8
-2.9
Bank Loans
$320.6
$319.0
-0.5
 
Back to 3rd Quarter Report

CWERB Home

 

E-mail DBE  Phone: (715) 346-2728  Fax: (715) 346-4215  Webmaster
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481