| Central Wisconsin's
economic statistics for 3rd Quarter 1998 show that we are experiencing
very low unemployment rates and modest amounts of employment growth. This
situation is characteristic of an economy that has been growing for a very
long period of time. Perhaps the most interesting finding this quarter
is the fall in the level of confidence expressed by our panel of regional
business executives.
Unemployment rates in the
region and state are extremely low (Table 2). The respective rates for Marathon,
Portage, and Wood counties are 2.5, 2.6, and 3.0 percent. These marks are
at or near record lows. Central Wisconsin's labor force weighted unemployment
rate is just 2.7 percent. This matches the 2.7 rate for the state as a
whole. Thus, all of the local and state rates are significantly lower than
the 4.4 percent U.S. unemployment mark.
Employment growth was uneven
throughout the three county region (Table 3). Portage experienced a reported decline
of 2.6 percent in its payrolls, whereas Marathon and Wood moved forward
with gains of 0.4 and 1.3 percent respectively. With an ever tightening
labor market employment growth is becoming increasingly more difficult
to achieve. This is also true for Wisconsin and the nation. Here employment
increased by 1.4 and 1.5 percent respectively.
Industrial sector payrolls
expanded, albeit at a modest pace in Central Wisconsin. For the reason
alluded to above, it will be very difficult to generate huge employment
gains in the future. Manufacturing and services grew by 0.6 and 1.5 percent (Table
4).
Trade and construction payrolls also expanded, growing by 1.8 and 3.1 percent
Government payrolls are estimated to have fallen by 1.7 percent. Overall,
the industrial sector categories grew by 1.0 percent or about 1,400 jobs
since last year.
Sales tax data for Portage
county shows a gain of 3.5 percent took place
(Table 5). This indicator is an excellent
barometer of the overall level of economic activity in an area. Marathon
also experienced a nice gain in retail activity. Sales tax collections
in Marathon county grew by 3.8 percent in the year over comparison. Thus,
the economies in these counties continue to develop and expand.
Relating to the Marshfield
version of the report, graphs 5A and 5B
depict the movements in manufacturing, services, trade, construction, and
government employment over the past few years. The reader will quickly
gain an appreciation for the relative importance of the sectors and how
they have taken on different growth paths. Moreover, these figures
dramatically portray the changing nature of our regional economy and how
our people earn their livelihoods.
Business executives in the
region believe that recent economic changes have been decidedly negative
in nature (Table 6). Clearly, the financial problems in Asia and other developing
areas of the world have area executives concerned. More pessimism than
what has even been recorded by the CWERB was expressed by this group concerning
the future. This group expects economic conditions at the national, local,
and industry levels to deteriorate over the next quarter and into next
year. |