Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
WI.gif (1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
3rd Quarter 1997
 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     The Wausau economy enjoys an incredibly low unemployment rate of just 2.7 percent. Moreover, employment, even though constrained by tight labor market conditions, continues to grow. Most of the industrial sectors posted solid gains, and retail sentiment remains positive. Similarly the help wanted advertising index shows the demand for workers remains strong. Further, construction activity and the financial statistics suggest that the local economy continues to expand. 

     The employment picture remains bright for the industrial sectors in the Wausau area (Table 7). Manufacturing and trade each added 600 jobs to their payrolls since last year, and similarly services gained 500 positions. Meanwhile, government employment was unchanged and construction employment is estimated to be about 100 fewer than last September. In sum, there were approximately 1,600 people added to Marathon county businesses, which represents a gain of about 2.6 percent. 

     The CWERB's retailer confidence survey shows that local merchants believe total sales and traffic are better than a year ago (Table 8). Moreover, they remain relatively upbeat with regard to the future level of sales and traffic. However, even though this group is expressing optimism with regard to future activity, their overall level of enthusiasm has been declining since the peak level of 1995. 

     Help wanted advertising is a barometer of local labor market conditions
(Table 9). The index for Wausau has detained from 164 to 154, or about 6 percent in our year over comparison. Thus, even though the index has declined it still remains at a high level. However the long term view of the situation shows the index detaining from the 1995 peak period when it stood well at over 200 points. 

     Public assistance claims data are collected on a county‑wide basis (Table 10). The results for 3rd Quarter show that public assistance is at a very low level. The number of new applications on a monthly average basis is just 20 and total caseload is now at 22. Clearly the threats of the state of Wisconsin's W2 plan has had an impact on these results. For example, the total caseload figure has been trending sharply downward since the early part of 1995. 

     Unemployment claims data on a weekly average basis is a measure of local family financial distress (Table 11).  Given the closing of a local food processing manufacturer, we see that new claims have risen from 149 to 193 over the year. Further, total claims have risen by 131 cases. Even though this quarter's results indicate an increase in the total caseload, this measure has been trending lower since the end of 1995. 

     Residential construction activity was quite brisk during 3rd Quarter (Table 12). Every category of activity exceeded last year's levels. New permits totaled 91 with an estimated value of $10.4 million. This construction represents the building of 110 housing units. Residential alteration permits reached 309 and the value of said activity is $1.9 million. Thus, it appears that a good deal of building activity took place in the local area. 

     More good news can be reported for nonresidential construction in the Wausau area (Table 13). The number of permits issued during 3rd Quarter was 22 and they were valued at $6.2 million. Alteration activity resulted in 52 permits being issued during the period with an estimated value of $5.5 million. The largest part of this figure is associated with the alteration being done to the local hospital. No percentage changes are given in this table because of the volatile nature of this type of activity. 

     We also see in the report that financial statistics for 3rd Quarter 1997 were well ahead of last year's totals (Table 14).  Bank deposits climbed by $74.6 million in our sample of local financial institutions, a gain of 6.3 percent. Bank lending expanded to an even greater degree. Loan activity grew by $85.8 million or by 8.6 percent from a year ago. These numbers suggest that the economy is continuing to expand at a decent pace.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
September 1996
(Thousands)
Employment
September 1997
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
17.7
18.3
+3.4
Services

19.9

20.4
+2.5
Trade
15.0
15.6
+4.0
Construction
2.9
2.8
-3.4
Government
7.0
7.0
0
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                     
Index Value
June 1997
September 1997
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
65
66
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
63
63
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
64
65
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
64
63
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
 
Index Value
1996
1997
Wausau
(September)
(1980 = 100)
164
154
U.S.
(August)
(1987 = 100)
82
84
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY
 
1996
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1997
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications
11
20
+81.8
Total Caseload
36
22
-38.9
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1996
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1997
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
149
193
+29.5
Total Claims
908
1,039
+14.4
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1996
Third Quarter
1997
Third Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
80
91
+13.8
Estimated Value of New Homes
$9,651.3
(thousands)
$10,407.8
(thousands)
+7.8
Number of Housing Units
81
110
+35.8
Residential Alteration Permits Issued
283
309
+9.2
Estimated Value of Alterations
$1,420.0
(thousands)
$1,850.3
(thousands)
+30.3
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1996
Third Quarter
1997
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
18
22
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$2,042.6
(thousands)
$6,249.0
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits 
45
52
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$2,375.0
(thousands)
$5,479.4
(thousands)
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1996
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1997
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$1,187.7
$1,262.3
+6.3
Bank Loans
$1,002.8
$1,088.6
+8.6
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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