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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Stevens Point Area
3rd Quarter 1996

 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14


     The local economy, like that of the state and nation, continues to expand at a modest rate. Total employment is estimated to have increased by 2.5 percent and likewise nonfarm payrolls are estimated to have expanded by 2.6 percent. The unemployment rate on a seasonally unadjusted basis for Third Quarter stands at an incredibly low 2.5 percent. With this reported expansion in activity we can expect and do see that other measures of economic success are improved from last year's marks. 

     Portage county nonfarm employment expanded by a healthy 2.6 percent from last year or about 800 positions (Table 7). Manufacturing, services, and government added 200, 300, and 400 jobs from September 1995. Construction payrolls were unchanged and trade is estimated to have contracted by 100 persons. Over the past five years nonfarm employment has grown at a relatively steady pace. While the growth per year over this period may seem modest, over time this rate of change can make a significant difference to the local community. 

     For each quarterly report the CWERB contacts Stevens Point area merchants to help ascertain the state of the local economy (Table 8). This group believes that total sales were markedly better than last year with a modest improvement in store traffic. The group, however, is very optimistic with respect to the future. The index numbers for expected sales and expected store traffic were quite high. Since First Quarter 1996, area merchants have become more upbeat in their assessment of the local retail situation. 

     Another useful barometer of the local economy is help wanted advertising (Table 9). For the Stevens Point area the index rose from 290 to 314 or 8.3 percent from last year. The mark of 314 means there are 3.1 jobs being advertised locally for every one position in the base year. One should realize that with a strong state economy, there has been an increase in the amount of advertising on the part of firms outside the area. Low employment throughout the state is creating an ever tighter job market for Wisconsin employers. 

     Public assistance in Portage county tumbled downward in Third Quarter 1996 (Table 10). To an undetermined degree, the shift to the W2 program has affected this outcome. New applications fell from 104 to 78, or by 25.0 percent in the year over comparison. Although not as dramatic, the total caseload fell from 2,109 to 1,957 or 7.2 percent over the same period. Thus, people appear to be moving off of public assistance in the local area. 

     Unemployment claims data is another measure of local economic conditions (Table 11). Here we see that new claims on a weekly average basis rose from 39 to 47 over the course of the year. Similarly, total claims increased from 121 to 143 on a weekly average basis. Since about mid‑1995 there has been a slow but noticeable upward trend in both series. This along with rising employment suggests that a mild restructuring of sorts is taking place among a number of area firms. 

     Residential construction in the greater Stevens Point area was generally off the pace of one year ago (Table 12). Higher interest rates and a large amount of building activity over the past ten years has helped to suppress recent activity. The number of permits issued was down by 14.0 percent and the associated value of the activity contracted by 6.0 percent. The number of housing units declined by almost 14.0 percent. As in past quarters, alteration activity continues to be a popular choice among local residents. The number of alteration permits increased by 46.1 percent and the estimated value rose by 14.0 percent.
 

     Nonresidential construction activity was a bright spot for the local economy (Table 13). Even though the number of new construction projects and their estimated values were lower than last year, there were a number of large projects taking place localy. For examples, a major paper manufacturer, car dealership, supermarket, and brewery are all adding to their local operations.
 

     Financial statistics for Portage county are given in Table 14. A good sign for the local economy is when deposits and loans are rising. Bank deposits increased by $9.2 million or 2.6 percent, and bank deposits in our sample expanded by almost $27.0 million, or 8.0 percent from 1995. Increasing deposit and loan amounts are usually associated with rising employment and income, and an overall improvement in the economic climate of an area.

 
TABLE 7:
PORTAGE COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
September 1995
(Thousands)
Employment
September 1996
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Manufacturing
7.0
7.2
+2.9
Services
10.4
10.7
+2.9
Trade
7.0
6.9
-1.4
Construction
1.1
1.1
0
Government
5.4
5.8
+7.4
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA
                                        
Index Value
June 1996
September 1996
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
63
62
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
57
55
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
62
68
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
57
65
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN PORTAGE COUNTY
                                
Index Value
1995
1996
Stevens Point
(September)
(1980 = 100)
290
314
U.S.
(August)
(1987 = 100)
83
82
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1995
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1996
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Applications
104
78
-25.0
Total Caseload
2,109
1,957
-7.2
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1995
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1996
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Claims
39
47
+20.5
Total Claims
121
143
+18.2
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1995
Third Quarter
1996
Third Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
50
43
-14.0
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$5,549.4
(thousands)
$5,219.0
(thousands)
-6.0
Number of Housing Units

58

50
-13.8
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
267
390
+46.1
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$1,434.8
(thousands)
$1,635.2
(thousands)
+14.0
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1995
Third Quarter
1996
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
11
8
Estimated Value of 
New Structures
$5,216.0
(thousands)
$4,666.4
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
65
51
Estimated Value 
of Business Alterations
$3,727.1
(thousands)
$10,043.0
(thousands)
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1995
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1996
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$348.1
$357.3
+2.6
Bank Loans
$340.6
$367.1
+7.8
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481