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The national economy is forecasted to continue its expansion, but at a more
modest rate than in past quarters. This view represents the consensus of most
forecasting agencies. Higher interest rates are cited as one of the mechanisms
that will eventually put a brake on the national economy. Increased taxes will
also serve to reinforce this situation. Additionally much of the GDP growth of
last quarter represents a buildup in inventories which could eventually cause a
slow production if left unsold. Consumer confidence as of late has not been that
upbeat, as reported on by the Conference Board. Since consumer spending accounts
for two thirds of GDP, it is unlikely that we will see a large surge in economic
growth.
Closer to home, some parts of
Wisconsin
are actually experiencing labor shortages. One nearby area is the FOX Cities.
Further, a survey by an employment firm indicates that about 26 percent of firms
statewide are planning to increase payrolls with only about 13 percent saying
they will shrink operations. Further evidence of the health of the Wisconsin
economy is that per capita personal income in the state may finally catch that
of the USA after trailing for over a decade.
In contrast the Central Wisconsin area economy has been rocked over the past
number of months. Examples include the closing or the announced closing of
Woodward Governor in Stevens Point, J.I. Case in Schofield, Graham Manufacturing
in Marshfield,
and Ward Paper Company a division of International Paper in Merrill. Further,
past layoffs at Sentry Insurance and the downsizing of the University of
Wisconsin‑Stevens Point from 9500 to 8500 students and the commensurate decline
in faculty‑staff positions have placed a dark cloud over the Central Wisconsin
economy.
Even with these and other events taking place we should all remember that the
area has gone through approximately eight years of solid economic growth.
Additionally, many area businesses have announced plans to expand. For example,
in the Stevens Point‑Plover area, Sirco, Donaldsons and Menards have or will
expand operations. In the
Wausau
area the Medical Center recently opened a new addition and the downtown
revitalization project will hopefully lead to expanded opportunities. Wausau
Paper Co. plans to invest over $30 million to upgrade its facilities and the
Rib
Mountain
area is experiencing much development. In
Marshfield
the new Laird Center for advanced research at the Marshfield Clinic will add to
that area's economic base, and Wick's homes has announced its plans to expand
operations. Further, the Highway 54 four lane upgrade between
Wisconsin Rapids
and Plover is substantially complete making the area more attractive as it will
become easier to transport goods and people into and out of the region. |