Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
3rd Quarter 1990
 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14


     The Wausau area at this juncture in time seems to have escaped the economic misfortunes that are plaguing many parts of the country, especially the Northeast and the Southeast. The results for third quarter were stronger than expected. The unemployment rate is at an extremely low level and has declined despite an expanding labor force. Total employment increased by a respectable 1.8 percent; however, for the region as a whole, the rate of expansion was a much more modest 0.5 percent. This is important because of the strong economic linkages among the surrounding counties. Probably the brightest spot in the report comes from industrial sector employment where much improvement has taken place. The reader should note that total employment is calculated by the use of a household survey whereas the industrial sector employment figures are collected from employee data. Thus, the employment results can differ substantially. Finally, most of the remaining economic indicators were quite positive given the problems facing the country.
 

     Wausau industrial sector employment growth was exceptionally strong in third quarter 1990 Table 7. This is in contrast to other parts of the country where recession is already a fact of life. Manufacturing, services, and trade all posted substantial gains for third quarter. Manufacturing and trade employment reached all‑time highs regardless of the time of year, adding 1300 and 1600 people to their operations. Meanwhile, service sector employment reached a record level for the third quarter time period, jumping from 15.5 to 17.1 thousand. Construction employment was the only major sector to record a loss as employment contracted from 2.4 to 2.2 thousand. Government payrolls in the county remained unchanged at 6.2 thousand. In sum, industrial sector jobs grew by a surprising 4.5 thousand or 8.8 percent from 1989.
 

     Retailers in the Wausau area provided information suggesting that store traffic and total sales were noticeably higher than one year ago (Table 8). This is in sharp contrast to the nationwide sluggishness in retail activity. Further, this group believes that retail activity next quarter, when compared to last year, will be markedly higher. With consumer sentiments being so pessimistic nationally, high local expectations become noteworthy.
 

     Table 9 is a barometer of the local labor market situation. Locally and for the country as a whole help wanted advertising fell from last year's levels. In Wausau the index went from 199 to 177, a decrease of 11 percent. For the United States the index declined by about 14 percent from 1989. For Wausau the help wanted advertising index has declined four out of the last five quarters. This usually signals a decline in total employment growth, and this measure of economic performance did come in at a sluggish 1.8 percent for third quarter 1990 and at about 0.5 percent during the second quarter time period.
 

     Local family financial distress is measured in Table 10 and Table 11. New applications for public assistance declined by an average of 5.6 percent or about 1 case per month. The total caseload was down from an average of 99 per month to 74. In comparison the total monthly average caseload for third quarter 1987 was 231, with new applications averaging 49 per month. Thus, much progress has been made in the local area over the past several years. Table 11 presents unemployment claims in the Wausau area. Here we see that both initial and total claims, on a weekly average basis, have risen. Initial claims rose by 22.8 percent while total claims increased by 18.4 percent.

     An important leading indicator of future activity is residential construction. This data is presented in Table 12. After several quarters of brisk expansion, construction activity has leveled off somewhat during third quarter 1990.  Residential permits issued, the estimated value of new homes, and number of new units all were lower.  Only residential alteration permits issued and the value of residential alterations posted gains from third quarter 1989.  Nonresidential construction in area generally outpaced last year's activity with three out of four categories showing gains, Table 13.  These classifications were the estimated value of new structures, the number of alteration permits issued, and the value of nonresidential alterations.  No percentage changes are given due to the volatile nature of this type of activity.

     Financial statistics for the greater Wausau area are presented in Table 14.  Both lending and deposits reached all-time highs in the sample.  Deposits, a measure of local liquidity, increased by about 4.4 percent from a year ago.  At the same time bank lending activity increased by approximately $35 million or a brisk 7.3 percent.  Thus the local credit crunch so widely reported in the media, is not readily apparent here in our local area.  The data suggest a rather healthy situation exists presently in the local economy. 

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
September 1989
(Thousands)
Employment
September 1990
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
14.1

15.4

+9.2
Services

15.5

17.1

+10.3

Trade
12.5

14.3

+14.4
Construction
2.4

2.2

-8.3

Government

6.2

6.2

0
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                     
Index Value
June 1990
September 1990
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
65
67
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
66
66
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
67
68
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
67
67
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
 
Index Value
1989
1990
Wausau
(September)
(1980 = 100)
199

177

U.S.
(August)
(1967 = 100)
148

127

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY
 
1989
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1990
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications
18

17

-5.6
Total Caseload

99

74

-25.3

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims in Marshfield
are being compiled on a county-wide basis.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1989
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1990
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
127

156

+22.8
Total Claims
853

1,010

+18.4
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1989
Third Quarter
1990
Third Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
90

68

-24.4
Estimated Value of New Homes
$6,978.5
(thousands)

$6,052.4
(thousands)

-13.3
Number of Housing Units
121

87

-28.1
Residential Alteration Permits Issued
99

270

+172.7
Estimated Value of Alterations
$1,05493
(thousands)

$1,739.3
(thousands)

+64.9

 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1989
Third Quarter
1990
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued

18

15

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$3,218.3
(thousands)

$4,396.9
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits 
27

43

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$1,828.3
(thousands)

$3,082.7
(thousands)

 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1989
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1990
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$630.0

$657.8

+4.4
Bank Loans

$491.0

$527.0

+7.3

*Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
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