Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Overview
3rd Quarter 1988

 Table 1

     The national economy expanded by a healthy 3.7 percent from a year ago (see Table I). However, during the last three months the economy has been growing at an annual rate of 2.2 percent, somewhat slower than anticipated. Industrial production and factory utilization rates increased steadily over the course of the year coinciding with a continuation of the country's record economic expansion. Interest rates have been creeping upward during the year which reflects a general tightening of credit conditions and rising price levels. Inflation, while still under control, looms as a potential problem for the U.S.

     Unemployment rates have declined dramatically in Portage and Marathon counties, and improved in Wood County since third quarter 1987. Likewise, the state and nation have benefited from a downward trend in this measure of economic success. Unemployment rates for all reporting areas now stand at the lowest levels since the early 1970s. Total employment for the region, state, and nation have set all-time records.

     Nonfarm employment in Central Wisconsin continued to expand during the year. Jobs in the service and trade sector posted the largest gains. For the first time in 1988 manufacturing was not the driving force behind regional employment growth. This development will be closely monitored in future quarters.

     Employment in key Central Wisconsin industries was down by 0.3 percent or 100 jobs. The major areas of concern were food processing and finance, insurance, and real estate. Food processing, for instance, declined by 300 positions or 6.1 percent from third quarter 1987. The summer drought was a major contributor to this phenomenon. However, the paper, lumber and wood products industries continued to expand due to favorable market conditions.

     Regional business leaders indicate that recent changes in national and local economic conditions have been generally positive. However, the group voiced reservations about the economic future of the country. This attitude also is reflected in national polls.

 
TABLE 1:
NATIONAL ECONOMIC STATISTICS
 
1988
Third Quarter
1989
Third Quarter
Percent
Change
Nominal Gross Domestic Product (Billions)
$4,568.0
$4,899.5
+7.3
Real Gross Domestic Product (Billions of 1982 $)
$3,865.3
$4,007.3
+3.7
Industrial Production
(1977 = 100)
131.0

138.3

+5.6
Three Month U.S. Treasury Bill Rate
6.59%

7.23%

+9.7
Consumer Price Index
(1982-84 = 100)
115.0

119.8

+4.2
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481