Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau

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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
 

Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau


Marshfield Area
3rd Quarter 1988

 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Table 15 Table16

 

     The Marshfield area economy continued to expand during third quarter 1988. As evidence of this, the unemployment rate for the county stood at 4.3 percent. Not since the 1970s have unemployment rates been so low and total employment for the county is at an all time high. In addition, the Marshfield employment index indicates that the city has also achieved record employment. The CWERB estimate is that local employment grew by a respectable 2.4 percent during the year.

     Many factors, such as the responses of regional business persons and local retailers, suggest that the local economy should continue to grow. Furthermore, the help wanted advertising index foretells of expanding payrolls. On the down side, residential construction is not as robust as last year. However, local financial statistics are consistent with those of an expanding economy.

     Wood County major industrial sector employment figures are presented in Table 7. Services, trade, and construction payrolls expanded from a year ago. While service sectors gained 140 positions and trade and construction grew by 100 and 190 respectively, manufacturing and government employment contracted from last year's levels. The primary cause for the downturn in manufacturing was the plant closings in the Wisconsin Rapids area, e.g. Preway and Sterling Engineered Products. Overall, Wood County major sector employment fell by .47 percent or 170 positions. As no regularly published employment data exist for the city of Marshfield, the CWERB constructs a Marshfield employment index. This method of estimation indicates a 2.4 percent increase in Marshfield employment over the past year.

     To gauge local consumer spending, a retailer survey is conducted by the CWERB (Table 8). Total sales and store traffic are judged to be somewhat better than a year ago according to this group. Moreover, local retailers believe that sales and store traffic three months from now when compared to a year ago will be higher in volume. The results of the survey suggest that third quarter activity was higher than a year ago and that expansion can be expected in retail activity.

     Table 9 is the CWERB's help wanted advertising index. This index measures local labor market conditions. The data show that approximately two and a half jobs were being advertised in September 1988 for everyone position advertised in September of 1980. The 245 measurement is the highest mark ever recorded regardless of the time of year. Furthermore, there has been a 29 percent jump in job advertising from third quarter 1987. Thus, Marshfield payrolls should be expanding in the months ahead. Unfortunately, the index is not designed to generate information about the quality of the jobs being advertised. This type of information is more difficult to obtain. -.,.

     More encouraging information comes from Table 10 and Table 11. Together they give a measure of local family financial distress. Public assistance claims in Marshfield are significantly lower than last year for both new applications and total caseload. And unemployment claims filed, both initial and total, are down. The data tell of an improving situation, but for a variety of reasons there are still a few individuals who have not benefited from the local expansion.

     Residential construction (Table 12) is a leading economic indicator. Construction activity was lower in all five categories. However, residential construction is a function of many variables - population growth, interest rates, income levels, etc., and population growth is one of the more important determinants of this type of activity.

     Where population growth is moderate, as in the case of Marshfield, residential construction activity will likely also be moderate. Nonresidential construction information is given in Table 13. The number of permits and the estimated value of new nonresidential construction were lower than a year ago. However, the number and value of business alteration permits were higher. Nonresidential construction total can be volatile because one or two major projects can have a substantial influence on the totals. For this reason we do not calculate the year-to-year percentage change.

      Financial statistics for the Marshfield area are presented in Table 14. Local deposits were up by nearly $10 million from last year. This reflects the fact that conditions for the past couple of years have been favorable for the area. Bank loans were nearly 16 percent or $20 million higher. Higher loan activity is usually associated with an expanding economy. Thus, together the statistics indicate that the local economy has been in an expansive mode.

      Clark County employment statistics also can be found in Table 15 and Table 16.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
 
Employment
September 1987
Employment
September 1988
Percent Change
Manufacturing
11,000
10,500

-4.5

Services
11,640
11,780
+1.2
Trade

8,800

8,900

+1.1

Construction
1,200
1,390
+15.8
Government

3,600

3,500

-2.8

Marshfield Employment Index
125.3
128.3
+2.4
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
 
 
Index Value
June 1988
September 1988
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
65
60
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
60
58
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
71
69
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
70
66
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
 
 
Index Value
1987
1988
Marshfield
(September)
(1980 = 100)
190

245

U.S.
(August)
(1967 = 100)
155

160

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
 
1987
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1988
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications

30

23

-13.6

Total Caseload

721

623

-23.3

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims in Marshfield are being compiled on a county-wide basis.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
 
1987
Third Quarter
1988
Third Quarter
Percent
Change
New Claims
390

336

-13.8

Total Claims

718

684

-4.7

 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
 
1987
Third Quarter
1988
Third Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
26
14
+46.2
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$1,755.0
(thousands)
$948.0
(thousands)
-46.0
Number of Housing Units
28
17

+39.3

Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
66
59
+10.6
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$490.4
(thousands)
$226.3
(thousands)
+53.9
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
 
1987
Third Quarter
1988
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
17
14
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$441.7
(thousands)
$104.4
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
4
8
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$21.5
(thousands)
$232.6
(thousands)
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
 
1987
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1988
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$196.1

$205.4

+4.7
Bank Loans
$119.8

$138.9

+15.9
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 15:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
 
 
September 1987
September 1988
Percent Change
Manufacturing

1,860

1,690

-9.1

Services
1,740
1,760
+1.1
Trade
1,820

1,820

0.0
Construction
300
270
-10.0
Government 
1,780

2,000

+12.4

 
TABLE 16:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
 
 
September 1987
September 1988
Percent Change
Unemployment Rate
5.5%
4.6%
-16.4
Total Employed
13,200
13,300
+0.8
Total Unemployed
760

640

-15.8

Labor Force
14,000
13,900
-0.7
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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