The greater Wausau area experienced an outstanding third
quarter. The economy grew dramatically during this time period. This can be
attributed to the abatement of inflation, favorable interest rates, a
lowering of the dollar, and the general improvement in local area and
industry conditions. However, the future direction of the Wausau area economy should be viewed with
guarded optimism. Events taking place in the world's financial markets will
have an impact on Central Wisconsin, the
extent of which is as yet unknown.
Fundamentally, the Wausau economy remains
strong and its near term prospects, based on local factors, continue to be
favorable. The unemployment rate is at a decade low. Total employment is at
a record high level for the third quarter time period. Key Central Wisconsin
industries are performing much better than they were in the past, and
regional business executives are optimistic about conditions in their
industries. Manufacturing in Wausau
led the expansion in employment. This has positive implications for the
area. Retailers report that activity is improved and is expected to expand
even more next quarter. Help wanted advertising in
Wausau
remains at a high level, which should translate into more jobs. Unemployment
claims are lower, indicative of improved conditions. Finally residential
construction and financial data indicate that the area economy still has a
considerable amount of momentum.
Employment in the Wausau area expanded
during third quarter as can be seen in Table 7. A
total of 2,300 people were added to local payrolls. This represents an
increase of approximately 5.10/0. As in second quarter, manufacturing led
the improvement. The change in manufacturing accounted for nearly 570/0 of
the growth in nonfarm employment. Good news also comes from the services and
trade sectors. Expansion in these areas is representative of a strong local
economy. Government and construction employment were virtually unchanged
from last year. The data in Table 7 strongly suggests that the
Marathon
County economy continued
to expand in third quarter. This rapid rate of growth commenced in first
quarter 1987. Furthermore, manufacturing, services, and trade employment
stand at decade high levels.
The retailer confidence survey is given in Table 8.
The response level for each question asked is essentially unchanged from
last quarter. This is an encouraging sign showing continued confidence in
the strength of the local economy. Retailers expected store traffic and
sales three months from now to be higher than last year. This means that the
consumption of retail goods and services may serve as a catalyst for fourth
quarter Marathon
County activities.
Another indicator pointing toward a continuation of the expansion can be
found in Table 9. The CWERB Help Wanted Advertising
Index registered a value of 166. This is the highest score ever recorded for
the month of September. Compared to the base period of 1980, there has been
a 66% increase in the number of advertised jobs and an 11 % increase in job
advertisment compared to last year. This information indicates that local
employment should grow next quarter, all else being eqval.
Table 10 gives the data on public assistance claims.
The number of new applications and total caseloads remain almost unchanged
from a year ago. However, unemployment claims in Table 11
are substantially lower than last year. Initial claims and total claims are
down by 22.7% and 1l.00/0 respectively. These are the lowest values ever
recorded by the CWERB in any quarter. This information lends support to the
contention that the local economy has grown significantly during the first
three quarters of 1987.
Residential construction in the
Wausau area is given in Table 12.
The third quarter of 1987 evidenced a great amount of activity. As a matter
of fact, this is the strongest third quarter on record. Substantial gains
took place in all reporting areas. Residential construction is a leading
economic indicator. Therefore, it is expected that this will create
additional rounds of buying and income generation. Table
13 presents nonresidential construction for the
Wausau
area. The third quarter saw numerous additions being made to the local
capital stock. Due to the singular nature of nonresidential construction,
volatility in the numbers is common. Therefore, it is encouraging that
quarter after quarter we have seen steady growth taking place in the greater Wausau area.
Table 14 gives the financial statistics for
Wausau. Deposits are at a record high for this time
period, having expanded by a very healthy 6.50/0 over last year's total.
This means that the liquidity of the local area is improved and that the
potential for future spending remains good. Loan activity is at an all time
high regardless of the quarter. For example, loan activity for third quarter
1987 is 25% above third quarter 1984. Even allowing for a 9.5% price level
change between the two periods, the percentage change was substantial. The
5.0% increase in loans over last year is further evidence that local
economic activity was vigorous in the July to September time frame.