Central Wisconsin is defined in this report to consist of
Portage, Marathon and
Wood Counties. This section analyzes economic
performance from a regional perspective. Measurement of economic conditions
is based on unemployment rates, total employment, employment by sector,
employment by key industry and the attitudes of regional business
executives. This information is contained in Tables 2-6.
The Central Wisconsin unemployment rate is
at the lowest level since the 1975-80 economic expansion (Table
2). The regional unemployment rate stands at 5.9%, slightly below the
Wisconsin rate and a full percentage point less than the
national rate. The Portage County
unemployment rate dropped to an impressive 5.1 % during September. Wood County
recorded a near equal rate of 5.4% while Marathon County
stands at 6.8%. All unemployment rates are seasonally unadjusted and
therefore overstate the strength of the labor market. However, the regional
unemployment rate shows improvement relative to September 1984 and all three
counties are slightly below the year earlier level.
Employment data for Central Wisconsin is far less encouraging (Table
3). For the second consecutive quarter, the regional employment total is
below the year earlier level. Although a drop in payrolls is disturbing, the
decline is small (.8%) and less than the Wisconsin
reduction (1.3%). It is standard cyclical behavior for employment gains to
become progressively smaller as the economy moves toward a peak. The
combined performance of Portage and
Wood
Counties is close to the U.S. job growth
rate. However, Marathon
County employment has
slipped 3.0% since last year. The sputtering Marathon County
economy is the primary reason for the decline in overall regional
employment.
The manufacturing sector was the main source of the limited job creation
which did take place in the regional economy (Table 4).
After showing very little improvement for several quarters, manufacturing
firms in the region expanded payrolls for the second straight quarter. Gains
were paced by nondurable goods manufacturers, which increased payrolls 5.8%
above the September 1984 level. Virtually no change in employment conditions
was recorded in other major sectors. Only the trade sector posted any
improvement, a miniscule .8%, while the service and government sectors
showed small employment declines.
With one important exception, job creation among
Central Wisconsin's key industries was nonexistent (Table
5). The food processing industry was the dramatic exception. Employment
in the industry leaped 26.8%. Eleven hundred (1100) workers were adped to
the industry's payrolls when compared to last year. The vast majority of
gains took place in Portage County.
Employment in paper products, the region's largest industry, was unchanged
compared to a year ago. Payrolls fell 6.8% in the slumping lumber and wood
products industry, while financial services employment remained stagnant.
Job losses in the insurance industry have been largely offset by employment
expansion in the savings and loan industry.
Perceptions of executives with Central Wisconsin's
leading companies show little change from the June survey (Table
6). National conditions are expected to continue improving moderately.
The local economy is seen as performing below the national average in the
next six months. Executives remain optimistic about conditions in their
respective industries.