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The
economic indicators for the Wausau area are as follows for Third Quarter 2002.
The unemployment rate, while low, has increased from a year ago; total
employment is up from last year, but industrial sector employment figures
suggest an overall decline in the number of jobs. In addition, retailers are
very upbeat. Sales tax figures however suggest a more modest assessment of the
situation. Help wanted advertising has plummeted in the area and for the
nation as a whole. Moreover, unemployment claims have shot up for the county.
Finally low interest rates continue to spur new residential construction
activity.
Table
7 shows industrial sector employment changes for Marathon county.
Manufacturing, construction, and government payrolls have all contracted from
a year ago. The respective declines in employment were 5.3, 24.3, and 1.3
percent for these sectors. Moreover, the large services sector is unchanged
from last year total. Only the trade sector registered an increase in its
employment level. Overall industrial sector employment is estimated to have
declined by 0.3 percent over the past twelve months. Thus job generation was
difficult to come by in the local economy.
Wausau
area retailers, in Table 8, continue to be upbeat about
the local retail scene. When asked to assess sales and store traffic they said
that both were moderately better than one year ago. However, sales tax data
seems to suggest that revenue collections are flat from a year ago. Their
forecast for future sales and store traffic during the crucial Christmas
selling season calls for marked increases over last year's total. Only time
will tell if this forecast comes to fruition.
Help
wanted advertising in the area continues to plunge. Table 9
shows that the Wausau area index fell from 99 to 66 over the past year. A drop
of about one third. More importantly the index shows that there are only 66
positions being advertised for every 100 positions in the base year. This
would indicate continued problems in labor market. Businesses are indicating a
reluctance to hire new workers until such time as there is a substantial
increase in the demand for their products. Likewise, the U.S. is experiencing
similar labor market problems.
The
unemployment claim information in Table 10 shows that
there has been a substantial increase in the level of local family distress.
New claims on a weekly average basis rose from 241 to 291, a gain of 20.7
percent. Moreover, total unemployment claims have climbed from 1,541 to 2,069
over the past twelve months, which means a 34.3 percent surge in claim
activity. Again we have an indication that the economy appears to be affected
by the employment picture.
However,
the dollar amount of construction activity in Table 11
shows that the economy has kept pace with last year's hot performance.
Please note, percentage changes increases may not appear large because last
year's figures were so robust. The number of permits issued rose 1.1
percent, but the value of this activity jumped by a very healthy 28.6 percent.
The number of housing permits increased by 0.9 percent over the same period.
The number of residential permits, while substantial, fell below the total of
last year, a decline of 3.3 percent. Lastly the value of alteration activity
is estimated to be 2.6 percent above the mark in 2001. In sum the residential
housing scene continues to do extremely well.
In
Table 12 percent changes are not given due to the
volatility nature of nonresidential activity. In other words a major project
can cause the numbers to fluctuate a great deal from year to year. The number
of permits issued was 11 and they are estimated to have a value of $21.9
million. Large new projects in the area include an increase to a local
insurance firm, the construction of the municipal parking structure, and a
major addition to a hospital. The number of business alteration permits was 54
and they had an estimated value of $6.5 million. Coincidently the number of
alteration permits and the estimate value for 2002 is almost identical to the
levels recorded in 2001.
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