Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 

Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau

Marshfield Area
2nd Quarter 1997

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table14 Table 15 Table 16


     The Marshfield and Wood county area economy performed well during Second Quarter 1996. Highlights of the report include the low unemployment rate which while higher than last year, remains at a very depressed level, moreover employment figures are ahead of last year's pace, and almost all other indicators of economic well being were improved over the period. Unless some unforeseen shock hits the national economy, the local area should continue to prosper.

     Industrial sector employment for Wood county expanded at an overall rate of 3.2 percent from June of last year (Table 7). The trade sector added the most to its payrolls by adding 816 people. Manufacturing and services, which are the largest sources of employment for area residents, increased by 220 and 467 respectively. However, over the same time interval construction and government payrolls contracted by an estimated 75 and 62 positions.

     The CWERB's panel of area merchants believes their store sales were better than Second Quarter sales of a year ago (Table 8). However they estimate that store traffic was at about the same level or perhaps even slightly lower. Our local retailers are also forecasting that sales and traffic will be better next quarter as compared to last year's levels. Thus, it appears that the local retail scene is on firm ground and is doing well.

     Help wanted advertising is a good barometer of local labor market conditions (Table 9). The index for June stood at 290 which means there are 2.9 jobs being advertised for every position advertised in the base year. Even though the index has declined from last year's mark it remains at an elevated level. This suggests the local economy will continue adding jobs to its industrial base.

     Another important measure of economic performance is public assistance claims data. Table 10 shows that the total number of new claims has dipped by 187 cases over the course of the year. This decline of over 7 percent bodes well for the local area. As a matter of record public assistance in the county has been declining since early 1996. Clearly the impact of the state's W2 program is affecting the results.

     Unemployment claims data for Wood county brings more good news to this quarters report (Table 11). New claims on a weekly average basis fell from 65 to 51, or by 21.5 percent. Also encouraging is the decline in total claims. This number had declined from 168 to 145, or 13.7 percent. However, we might expect to see some upward movement in next quarter's figures because of the impending closure of a local food processing plant.

     Residential construction was somewhat lower this year when compared to last (Table 12). Figures for Second Quarter are as follows. Residential permits issued declined from 12 to 9, or 25.0 percent, and likewise the estimated value of this construction fell from $1.35 million to $922 thousand. In addition, the number of units slated for construction slipped from 14 to 9. Alteration activity, however, increased slightly over the period, growing from 85 to 86 permits. The estimated value of this alteration activity rose from $451.0 thousand $465.9 thousand, or by about 3.3 percent.

     Nonresidential construction data are not presented with percentage changes because of the inherent volatility of this type of building activity  (Table 13). In other words, these projects tend to be large singular events which can greatly influence the totals. For Second Quarter new nonresidential permits reached 19 with an estimated value of approximately $1.3 million. During the same period the number of alteration permits was 14 and the value was estimated at $264.3 thousand.

     Financial statistics for this quarter are quite good  (Table 14). Deposits in our sample of local institutions rose by nearly $16 million, or 5.8 percent, from June 1996. Equally impressive was the gain recorded for lending activity. Lending on the part of local institutions rose by $25.2 million, or by about 11 percent.

     Table 15 and Table 16 present Clark county economic data. Clark is an important market area for many Marshfield businesses. Hence the inclusion of the data in this report. Generally speaking, Second Quarter results were mixed for Clark County. Manufacturing, trade, and construction payrolls rose over the period. However, government and construction employment contracted. The unemployment rate fell but so did the total number of employed. The factor that caused this seemingly contradictory situation to take place is that the labor force was estimated to have contracted by an even faster rate over the period. Thus, it is possible to experience a declining unemployment rate and at the same time experience a decline in the number of people employed.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1996
(Thousands)
Employment
June 1997
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
10.5
10.7
+2.1
Services
15.7
16.2
+3.0
Trade
9.2
10.0
+8.9
Construction
1.8
1.7

-4.1

Government
4.9
4.8

-1.3

Marshfield Employment Index
149.4
155.6
+4.1
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
 
Index Value
March 1997
June 1997
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
59
60
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
56
48
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
65
62
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
62
57
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
 
Index Value
1996
1997
Marshfield
(June)
(1980 = 100)
332
290
U.S.
(May)
(1987 = 100)
80
81
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1996
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
 1997
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
Total Caseload
2,640
2,453
-7.1
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1996
Second Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1997
Second Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
65
51
-21.5
Total Claims
168
145
-13.7
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1996
Second Quarter
1997
Second Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
12
9
-25.0
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$1,350.0
(thousands)
$922.0
(thousands)
-31.7
Number of Housing Units
14
9
-35.7
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
85
86
+1.2
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$451.0
(thousands)
$465.9
(thousands)
+3.3
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1996
Second Quarter
1997
Second Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
15
19
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$936.0
(thousands)
$1,255.9
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
11
14
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$3,158.6
(thousands)
$264.3
(thousands)
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
1996
Second Quarter
(Millions)
1997
Second Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$273.0
$288.9
+5.8
Bank Loans
$227.8
$253.0
+11.1
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
Note: Figures for four quarters beginning Fourth Quarter 1998 have no
previous comparison points due to merger activity in the local area.
 
TABLE 15:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
 
June 1996
June 1997
Percent Change
Manufacturing
2,802
2,951
+5.3
Services
2,670
2,624
-1.7
Trade
2,034
2,114
+3.9
Construction
320
321
+0.3
Government 
2,014
1,901
-5.6
 
TABLE 16:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
 
June 1996
June 1997
Percent Change
Unemployment Rate
5.7%
5.5%
-3.5
Total Employed
16,742
16,160
-3.5
Total Unemployed
1,006
943
-6.3
Labor Force
17,748
17,103
-3.6
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481