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Division
of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens
Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774 (715)
346-2537 |
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Randy
F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director,
Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Marshfield
Area
2nd Quarter 1997
Table
7 Table 8 Table 9
Table 10 Table 11 Table
12 Table 13 Table14
Table 15 Table 16
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The Marshfield and Wood county area economy performed
well during Second Quarter 1996. Highlights of the report
include the low unemployment rate which while higher than last
year, remains at a very depressed level, moreover employment
figures are ahead of last year's pace, and almost all other
indicators of economic well being were improved over the period.
Unless some unforeseen shock hits the national economy, the
local area should continue to prosper.
Industrial sector employment for Wood county expanded
at an overall rate of 3.2 percent from June of last year (Table
7). The trade sector added the most to its payrolls by
adding 816 people. Manufacturing and services, which are the
largest sources of employment for area residents, increased by
220 and 467 respectively. However, over the same time interval
construction and government payrolls contracted by an estimated
75 and 62 positions.
The CWERB's panel of area merchants believes their
store sales were better than Second Quarter sales of a year ago
(Table 8). However they estimate that
store traffic was at about the same level or perhaps even
slightly lower. Our local retailers are also forecasting that
sales and traffic will be better next quarter as compared to
last year's levels. Thus, it appears that the local retail scene
is on firm ground and is doing well.
Help wanted advertising is a good barometer of local
labor market conditions (Table 9). The
index for June stood at 290 which means there are 2.9 jobs being
advertised for every position advertised in the base year. Even
though the index has declined from last year's mark it remains
at an elevated level. This suggests the local economy will
continue adding jobs to its industrial base.
Another important measure of economic performance is
public assistance claims data. Table 10
shows that the total number of new claims has dipped by 187
cases over the course of the year. This decline of over 7
percent bodes well for the local area. As a matter of record
public assistance in the county has been declining since early
1996. Clearly the impact of the state's W2 program is affecting
the results.
Unemployment claims data for Wood county brings more
good news to this quarters report (Table 11).
New claims on a weekly average basis fell from 65 to 51, or by
21.5 percent. Also encouraging is the decline in total claims.
This number had declined from 168 to 145, or 13.7 percent.
However, we might expect to see some upward movement in next
quarter's figures because of the impending closure of a local
food processing plant.
Residential construction was somewhat lower this year
when compared to last (Table 12). Figures
for Second Quarter are as follows. Residential permits issued
declined from 12 to 9, or 25.0 percent, and likewise the
estimated value of this construction fell from $1.35 million to
$922 thousand. In addition, the number of units slated for
construction slipped from 14 to 9. Alteration activity, however,
increased slightly over the period, growing from 85 to 86
permits. The estimated value of this alteration activity rose
from $451.0 thousand $465.9 thousand, or by about 3.3 percent.
Nonresidential construction data are not presented with
percentage changes because of the inherent volatility of this
type of building activity (Table 13).
In other words, these projects tend to be large singular events
which can greatly influence the totals. For Second Quarter new
nonresidential permits reached 19 with an estimated value of
approximately $1.3 million. During the same period the number of
alteration permits was 14 and the value was estimated at $264.3
thousand.
Financial statistics for this quarter are quite good
(Table 14). Deposits in our sample of
local institutions rose by nearly $16 million, or 5.8 percent,
from June 1996. Equally impressive was the gain recorded for
lending activity. Lending on the part of local institutions rose
by $25.2 million, or by about 11 percent.
Table 15 and
Table 16 present Clark county economic data. Clark is an
important market area for many Marshfield businesses. Hence the
inclusion of the data in this report. Generally speaking, Second
Quarter results were mixed for Clark County. Manufacturing,
trade, and construction payrolls rose over the period. However,
government and construction employment contracted. The
unemployment rate fell but so did the total number of employed.
The factor that caused this seemingly contradictory situation to
take place is that the labor force was estimated to have
contracted by an even faster rate over the period. Thus, it is
possible to experience a declining unemployment rate and at the
same time experience a decline in the number of people employed. |
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TABLE
7:
WOOD
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
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Employment
June
1996
(Thousands)
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Employment
June
1997
(Thousands)
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Percent
Change
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| Manufacturing |
10.5
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10.7
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+2.1
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| Services |
15.7
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16.2
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+3.0
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| Trade |
9.2
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10.0
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+8.9
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| Construction |
1.8
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1.7
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-4.1
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| Government |
4.9
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4.8
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-1.3
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| Marshfield
Employment Index |
149.4
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155.6
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+4.1
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TABLE
8:
RETAILER
CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
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Index
Value
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March 1997
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June 1997
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Total
Sales Compared
to Previous Year |
59
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60
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Store
Traffic Compared
to Previous Year |
56
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48
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Expected
Sales Three
Months From Now |
65
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62
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Expected
Store Traffic
Three Months From Now |
62
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57
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100
= Substantially Better
50
= Same
0
= Substantially Worse
*Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
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TABLE
9:
HELP
WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
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Index
Value
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1996
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1997
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Marshfield
(June)
(1980
= 100) |
332
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290
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U.S.
(May)
(1987
= 100) |
80
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81
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TABLE
10:
PUBLIC
ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
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1996
Second
Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
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1997
Second
Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
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Percent
Change
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| Total
Caseload |
2,640
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2,453
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-7.1
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TABLE
11:
UNEMPLOYMENT
CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
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1996
Second
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
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1997
Second
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
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Percent
Change
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| New
Claims |
65
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51
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-21.5
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| Total
Claims |
168
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145
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-13.7
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TABLE
12:
RESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
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1996
Second
Quarter
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1997
Second
Quarter
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Percent
Change
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| Residential
Permits Issued |
12
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9
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-25.0
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Estimated
Value of
New
Homes |
$1,350.0
(thousands)
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$922.0
(thousands)
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-31.7
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| Number
of Housing Units |
14
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9
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-35.7
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Residential
Alteration
Permits
Issued |
85
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86
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+1.2
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Estimated
Value
of
Alterations |
$451.0
(thousands)
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$465.9
(thousands)
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+3.3
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| *Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
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TABLE
13:
NONRESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
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1996
Second
Quarter
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1997
Second
Quarter
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| Number
of Permits Issued |
15
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19
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Estimated
Value of
New
Structures |
$936.0
(thousands)
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$1,255.9
(thousands)
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| Number
of Business Alteration Permits |
11
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14
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Estimated
Value
of
Business Alterations |
$3,158.6
(thousands)
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$264.3
(thousands)
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| *Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
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TABLE
14:
FINANCIAL
STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
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1996
Second
Quarter
(Millions)
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1997
Second
Quarter
(Millions)
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Percent
Change
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| Bank
Deposits |
$273.0
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$288.9
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+5.8
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| Bank
Loans |
$227.8
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$253.0
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+11.1
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*Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
Note:
Figures for four quarters beginning Fourth Quarter 1998 have no
previous
comparison points due to merger activity in the local area. |
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TABLE
15:
CLARK
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
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June 1996
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June 1997
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Percent
Change
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| Manufacturing |
2,802
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2,951
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+5.3
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| Services |
2,670
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2,624
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-1.7
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| Trade |
2,034
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2,114
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+3.9
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| Construction |
320
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321
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+0.3
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| Government |
2,014
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1,901
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-5.6
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TABLE
16:
CLARK
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
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June 1996
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June 1997
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Percent
Change
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| Unemployment
Rate |
5.7%
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5.5%
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-3.5
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| Total
Employed |
16,742
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16,160
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-3.5
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| Total
Unemployed |
1,006
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943
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-6.3
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| Labor
Force |
17,748
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17,103
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-3.6
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University of
Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business
and Economics
Stevens Point,
Wisconsin 54481
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