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Once again it can be reported that the area
economy continues to perform at a healthy pace. Industrial sector employment is
significantly higher than a year ago as well as total employment. Area retailers
say that store activity is about the same a year ago and help wanted advertising
remains high even though it contracted dramatically from last yea's level.
Public assistance and unemployment claim data show a stable economic situation.
Also, residential construction has slowed but the pace in nonresidential
activity accelerated sharply. Finally, financial statistics were very strong for
both lending and deposits. Taken together the situation would imply that
economic matters are on an upward path in
Portage
county.
Table 7 shows that
industrial sector employment rose in nearly every category of activity.
Manufacturing payrolls grew by 1,008, services by 149, trade by 319, and
government by 1,051. The government figure is most likely inflated because last
year teachers were not counted in the figure and this year they were included.
Thus, most of the difference is due solely to timing. Construction employment
was lower by just 82 positions. Ignoring the reported gain in government
employment, it appears that industrial sector employment grew by 1,414 positions
or approximately 4.9 percent.
Retailer confidence is given in
Table 8. Local merchants say that store traffic and sales
during second quarter of 1995 were little changed from a year ago. Further, this
result is consistent with sales tax data in Table 5 which shows that state
disbursements to Portage
county were virtually unchanged from a year ago. Our panel of merchants forecast
for future store traffic and sales is that activity will moderately improve over
the next quarter as compared last year at the same time.
The help wanted advertising index fell from 409
to 308 since June 1994
(Table 9). The large decline of 24 percent reflects a
reduction in the hiring plans of employers in the local area as well as those of
outside advertisers. However, the 308 reading still means that there are 3
positions being advertised for every one that was listed in 1980. Thus, the drop
in this barometer signals a cooling in the job market, but not a deep freeze.
Public assistance tallies for second quarter
1995 indicate that new applications on a monthly average basis fell from 135 to
119 or 11.9 percent from a year ago
(Table 10). Meanwhile the total caseload for
Portage county rose from 1,474
to 1,872 or by 27.0 percent from last year. The total caseload figure had been
trending downward since early 1993 until this recent reversal.
New unemployment claim data on a weekly average
basis contracted slightly from last year falling from 53 to 50
(Table 11). Likewise total claims declined from 147 to 138 over the course of the
year. Thus, Tables 10 and 11 indicate a fairly stable community in terms of
family financial distress.
Residential construction activity was generally
lower in the area with three of five reporting categories experiencing decline
(Table
12). The number of residential permits issued was lower by 19 percent, the
estimated value of new homes fell by 13 percent, and residential alteration
permits was off by 4.5 percent. Categories of residential construction showing
expansion were the number of housing units, higher by 39.6 percent, and the
estimated value of residential alteration activity up by 39.4 percent. Please
note the number of housing units figure includes apartment units along with
single family homes.
Nonresidential construction in Stevens
Point‑Plover Area is displayed in
Table 13 without percentage changes due to the volatile
nature of capital investments. The number of new permits reached 12 with an
estimated value of $18.8 million. Further, the number of business alteration
permits climbed to 58 with an estimated value of $6.9 million. Thus, even though
percentage changes are not given the amount of proposed activity was very
substantial for second quarter.
Financial statistics in our sample of area
institutions are given in Table 14. A healthy amount of
growth took place in deposits and in lending. Deposit activity surged by $27.5
million dollars or by 8.6 percent from last year. Bank lending increased by an
even more impressive $30.7 million or 10.0 percent over the same period. The
lending and deposit number considered together indicate a growing local economy. |