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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Stevens Point Area
2nd Quarter 1995

 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14
 

     Once again it can be reported that the area economy continues to perform at a healthy pace. Industrial sector employment is significantly higher than a year ago as well as total employment. Area retailers say that store activity is about the same a year ago and help wanted advertising remains high even though it contracted dramatically from last yea's level. Public assistance and unemployment claim data show a stable economic situation. Also, residential construction has slowed but the pace in nonresidential activity accelerated sharply. Finally, financial statistics were very strong for both lending and deposits. Taken together the situation would imply that economic matters are on an upward path in Portage county. 

     Table 7 shows that industrial sector employment rose in nearly every category of activity. Manufacturing payrolls grew by 1,008, services by 149, trade by 319, and government by 1,051. The government figure is most likely inflated because last year teachers were not counted in the figure and this year they were included. Thus, most of the difference is due solely to timing. Construction employment was lower by just 82 positions. Ignoring the reported gain in government employment, it appears that industrial sector employment grew by 1,414 positions or approximately 4.9 percent. 

     Retailer confidence is given in Table 8. Local merchants say that store traffic and sales during second quarter of 1995 were little changed from a year ago. Further, this result is consistent with sales tax data in Table 5 which shows that state disbursements to Portage county were virtually unchanged from a year ago. Our panel of merchants forecast for future store traffic and sales is that activity will moderately improve over the next quarter as compared last year at the same time. 

     The help wanted advertising index fell from 409 to 308 since June 1994
(Table 9). The large decline of 24 percent reflects a reduction in the hiring plans of employers in the local area as well as those of outside advertisers. However, the 308 reading still means that there are 3 positions being advertised for every one that was listed in 1980. Thus, the drop in this barometer signals a cooling in the job market, but not a deep freeze.
 

     Public assistance tallies for second quarter 1995 indicate that new applications on a monthly average basis fell from 135 to 119 or 11.9 percent from a year ago (Table 10). Meanwhile the total caseload for Portage county rose from 1,474 to 1,872 or by 27.0 percent from last year. The total caseload figure had been trending downward since early 1993 until this recent reversal. 

     New unemployment claim data on a weekly average basis contracted slightly from last year falling from 53 to 50 (Table 11). Likewise total claims declined from 147 to 138 over the course of the year. Thus, Tables 10 and 11 indicate a fairly stable community in terms of family financial distress. 

     Residential construction activity was generally lower in the area with three of five reporting categories experiencing decline (Table 12). The number of residential permits issued was lower by 19 percent, the estimated value of new homes fell by 13 percent, and residential alteration permits was off by 4.5 percent. Categories of residential construction showing expansion were the number of housing units, higher by 39.6 percent, and the estimated value of residential alteration activity up by 39.4 percent. Please note the number of housing units figure includes apartment units along with single family homes. 

     Nonresidential construction in Stevens Point‑Plover Area is displayed in
Table 13 without percentage changes due to the volatile nature of capital investments. The number of new permits reached 12 with an estimated value of $18.8 million. Further, the number of business alteration permits climbed to 58 with an estimated value of $6.9 million. Thus, even though percentage changes are not given the amount of proposed activity was very substantial for second quarter.
 

     Financial statistics in our sample of area institutions are given in Table 14. A healthy amount of growth took place in deposits and in lending. Deposit activity surged by $27.5 million dollars or by 8.6 percent from last year. Bank lending increased by an even more impressive $30.7 million or 10.0 percent over the same period. The lending and deposit number considered together indicate a growing local economy.

 
TABLE 7:
PORTAGE COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1994
(Thousands)
Employment
June 1995
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Manufacturing
5.5
6.5

+18.5

Services
10.7
10.9
+1.4
Trade
7.2
7.5

+4.4

Construction
1.0

1.0

-6.1
Government
4.7
5.7
+22.4
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA
                                        
Index Value
March 1995
June 1995
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
53
55
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
55
54
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
56
61
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
56
61
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN PORTAGE COUNTY
                                
Index Value
1994
1995
Stevens Point
(June)
(1980 = 100)
409
308
U.S.
(May)
(1967 = 100)
128
126
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1994
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1995
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Applications
135
119
-11.9
Total Caseload
1,474
1,872
+27.0
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1994
Second Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1995
Second Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Claims
53
50
-5.7
Total Claims
147
138
-6.1
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1994
Second Quarter
1995
Second Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
79

64

-19.0
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$8,520.0
(thousands)

$7,390.0
(thousands)

-13.3
Number of Housing Units

96

134

+39.6
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
267

255

-4.5
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$971.0
(thousands)

$1,353.3
(thousands)

+39.4
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1994
Second Quarter
1995
Second Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
13
12
Estimated Value of 
New Structures
$3,553.3
(thousands)
$18,826.4
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
36
56
Estimated Value 
of Business Alterations
$1,537.1
(thousands)
$6,895.4
(thousands)
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1994
Second Quarter
(Millions)
1995
Second Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$318.4
$345.9
+8.6
Bank Loans
$306.4
$337.1
+10.0
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481