|
Table
7 Table 8 Table 9 Table
10 Table 11 Table
12 Table 13 Table 14
The Wausau area economy
results for second quarter 1991 were a mixed bag. Some indicators were good
while others were not up to past standards. The total number of people employed
increased by approximately 1.3 percent and nonfarm employment grew by
approximately 3.6 percent. These measures plus others in this quarter's report
show that on balance the economy is growing, but there are some weak spots that
should not go unreported. Principally, the unemployment rate rose to 5.5
percent. This mark still remains below the full employment threshold but the
upward trend is worth watching. Further, unemployment and public assistance
claims data indicate that some important local employers are being forced to cut
back their work forces. With this in mind, financial statistics for the area
increased not at all from last year if the nominal numbers are adjusted for
inflation. Lastly, with regard to the county's dairy farmers, the reduced level
of milk price supports creates a real loss of income to our area. In sum, the
local area economy continues to weather the recessionary storm that is sweeping
other parts of the nation. But that does not preclude its influence being felt
by some of our residents.
Marathon
County
nonfarm employment by major industrial sector shows the recession has had little
impact on this quarter's results, Table 7. Each and every
category of employment reached an all time record regardless of the quarter of
the year. Even though the nation is in the midst of an economic downturn, the
area economy created approximately 1900 jobs for a gain of 3.6 percent. Service
sector employment paced the local expansion by providing 900 new jobs.
According to the CWERB's
panel of local merchants, store traffic and sales were much better than one year
ago (Table 8). The measures are the highest ever recorded
for the month of June. This is a very pleasant development for the local
economy. Further, the degree of optimism expressed was equally impressive. Local
retailers are quite confident that store sales and traffic will continue to
exceed last year's levels.
Local labor market conditions, while softer than a year ago, remain
stronger than during the base year of 1980 (Table 9).
Note, as a matter of record, the help wanted advertising index has been below
the corresponding quarter of the previous year in six of the last eight
quarters. Lastly, and not surprisingly, the
U.S.
index fell by nearly 30 percent from a year ago.
Recent layoffs in the
Wausau
area are reflected in the measures of local family financial distress.
Table 10 indicates that new public assistance claims on a
weekly average basis rose from 10 to 15 cases or by 50 percent. The total
caseload for public assistance went from 76 to 90, which represents an 18.4
percent jump in this important measure of economic well being. The counterparts
to public assistance claims are the unemployment claims figures (Table
11). Here too, initial claims shot up from 172 to 298 or a 73.3 percent gain
on a weekly average basis. Further, total claims increased from 1493 to 2229, a
49.3 percent increase. Thus, it is apparent that some local employers are
reducing their work forces, but the positive employment figures indicate that
these job losses are being compensated for by other employers who have expanded
operations.
Signals from residential construction in the greater
Wausau area were mixed for
second quarter, Table 12. The number of residential
permits issued, the number of alteration permits issued, and the estimated value
of residential alterations were above last year's values by 5.1, 18.0, and 19.2
percent respectively. Categories showing declines were the estimated value of
new homes and the number of housing units. The estimated value of new homes fell
from $7,895,300 to $6,942,300 and the number of units dropped from 121 to 96
from last year.
In
Table 13 nonresidential construction numbers are presented for inspection.
Due to the singular nature of this kind of activity no percentage changes are
given. The number of permits issued during second quarter was 8, This is
somewhat below the second quarter average for this type of activity. The same is
true for the total estimated value of new nonresidential construction. On a more
positive note, the number of alteration permits, 34, and the estimated value of
nonresidential alterations were above historic second quarter averages.
Financial data for Wausau in Table
14 clearly demonstrates a slowing in the rate of bank deposit expansion. In
past quarters the growth rate has been above the 2.7 percent mark registered for
this time period. Bank lending expanded by about $18.3 million. Here too, the
rate of growth is smaller than in past years. Further, when the inflation rate
is introduced into analysis, in real terms the dollar amounts are actually lower
than in the preceding year.
|