Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
2nd Quarter 1988

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

 

     During the last year and a half the Wausau-Marathon County economy has made some rather impressive strides forward. Second quarter 1988 continued this trend. The unexpected vitality of the local area coincided with an underestimation of the national economy's performance. Evidence of vigorous local growth can be seen in this quarter's statistics. Some examples are the 5.7 percent surge in total employment and sharp decline in public assistance claims.

     Indicators of future economic activity at the national level are very positive as of July 1988. To the extent that the national and local economies are linked, this bodes well for the latter. There are many positive local indicators as well. Examples include the help wanted advertising index and the amount of residential construction activity. However, the drought of spring and early summer is causing financial distress in the Central Wisconsin farm economy. It is estimated that 5 to 10 percent of Wisconsin's farmers will go out of business as a result of the drought. Deterioration of this sector would have a significant effect on the rest of the county's economy.

     Table 7 gives Marathon County nonfarm employment by major industrial classification. Manufacturing led all sectors in job generation. This pattern has been evident for the past several quarters. Moreover, manufacturing has gained 2,700 positions since the CWERB began keeping track of the situation four years ago. Service and trade sector employment, like manufacturing, now stands at decade high levels for this time of year. Construction and government payrolls participated in the expansion by posting gains. In sum, nonfarm employment in Marathon County jumped upwards by an impressive 2,300 or 5.0 percent from last year.

     The CWERB's survey of local area retailers presents more good news about the local economy.  Table 8 reports that merchants feel they have seen an increase in store traffic and more importantly in sales. The 67 reading for sales is the highest recorded for the June time period. With regard to the future, retailers believe that activity will continue to expand in this sector of the economy. This is a positive indicator for Wausau and Marathon County.

     Another encouraging indicator is presented in Table 9. The help wanted advertising index is an example of one of several devices used by the CWERB in estimating the direction of the local economy. The figure reported for June was over 23 percent higher than last year's mark. Furthermore, the 280 reading is the highest recorded by the CWERB regardless of time of year. More specifically, local help wanted advertising is approximately 2.8 times greater than in June 1980.

     Public assistance and unemployment claims are gathered in order to gauge local family financial distress. This information is presented in Table 10 and Table 11. Dramatic decreases in the number of new applications and in total caseload for public assistance were reported over the past 12 months. The claim number for each category was the lowest since records have been compiled on a county-wide basis. Total unemployment claims were also much lower than a year ago. This figure contracted by nearly 13 percent since last June. The only measure of family financial distress to rise was initial unemployment claims. Overall, a great deal of improvement has taken place locally. However, the number also indicates that there are persons who, for a variety of reasons, have not been able to participate in the nearly six-year-long upward trend in the local economy.

     A leading indicator with great significance and implication for an economy is residential construction.  Table 12 presents this information for the Wausau area. Generally, activity was significantly higher which should generate a ripple effect on the area economy. As a matter of record, overall, the housing construction scene has never been as strong as during second quarter 1988. All reporting categories were much higher except for the number of units.

     Table 13 lists nonresidential construction for the Wausau area. Due to the singular nature of business construction these numbers are volatile and therefore large fluctuations are common from period to period. The data in Table 13 would be on the high end of the historic range. Two major projects are included in this quarter's numbers. First, Target is proceeding with plans for a new store on Wausau's east side. Second, UPS is constructing a new warehouse facility for this area.

     Financial statistics for Wausau are summarized in Table 14.  Bank lending and deposit levels were virtually unchanged from last year. The figures represent one of the few negative indicators to come out of the June time period.


 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1987
(Thousands)
Employment
June 1988
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
13.1

14.0

+6.9
Services
14.2

14.7

+3.5
Trade
11.3

11.6

+2.7
Construction
1.3

1.6

+23.1
Government
5.8

6.1

+5.2
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                   
Index Value
March 1988
June 1988
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year

64

67
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
65
65
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
66
67
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
65
66
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
       
Index Value
1987
1988
Wausau
(June)
(1980 = 100)
227

280

U.S.
(May)
(1967 = 100)

143

160

TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY

 

1987
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

1988
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

Percent
Change

New Applications

48

14

-70.8

Total Claims

273

120

-56.0

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims in Marshfield
are being compiled on a county-wide basis.

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TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1987
Second Quarter
1988
Second Quarter
Percent
Change
New Claims
2,451

2,862

+16.8
Total Claims
23,504

20,541

-12.6
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1987
Second Quarter
1988
Second Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
53
61
+15.1
Estimated Value of New Homes
$3,851.3
(thousands)
$4,957.9
(thousands)
+28.7
Number of Housing Units
72
65

-9.7

Residential Alteration Permits Issued
196
214
+9.2
Estimated Value of Alterations

$576.6
(thousands)

$976.2
(thousands)

+69.3

*Does not include the Town of Rib Mountain.
 Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1987
Second Quarter
1988
 Second Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
25
20
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$2,060.8
(thousands)
$5,144.9
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits 
15
33
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$1,894.5
(thousands)
$1,081.1
(thousands)
*Does not include the Town of Rib Mountain.
 Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1987
Second Quarter
(Millions)
1988
Second Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$553.8
$556.6

+0.5

Bank Loans

$423.8

$422.5

-0.3

*Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
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