If the mild winter influenced first quarter 1987 results, the impact must
have been slight, because second quarter economic activity was as impressive
as that of the first period of the year. Evidence to support this
supposition is as follows. The unemployment rate has declined substantially.
In fact it is at a decade low. Total employment and nonfarm employment are
considerably above last year's levels. Retailers have indicated that second
quarter sales and store traffic were noticeably better than in June 1986.
Public assistance and unemployment claims have contracted from a year ago.
Lastly, bank loan activity supports the assertion that the economy was in an
expansive mode. The local economy should continue to be vibrant during the
remainder of 1987. Besides the favorable variables mentioned elsewhere in
the report, the following local data must be taken into consideration.
First, several key industries in the area are forecasted to have a strong
outlook. Regional business leaders have indicated that there will be a
continuation of present economic activities and retail executives assert
that store sales and traffic will be better in the future. Also, help wanted
advertising, residential and nonresidential construction, and bank deposit
data all point toward a vigorous third quarter.
Marathon
County's
nonfarm employment is listed by sector in Table 7.
Overall, nonfarm employment increased by 1700 positions from a year ago.
This translates into a very healthy 3.8% expansion. Manufacturing led all
sectors by posting a 10.7% gain. Trade employment also demonstrated
improvement with an increase of 500 jobs. Government employment was slightly
above the second quarter 1986 level, while the number of people holding
service related jobs remained constant. Construction employment was the only
sector that experienced a contraction in employment from June 1986. This was
due to the mild winter weather which allowed building activities to commence
earlier than usual. In summary, second quarter 1987 proved to be a very
healthy one for Marathon County.
The CWERB's retailer confidence index is presented in
Table 8. Retailers indicated that store traffic and sales have improved
from the previous year. This supports the position that economic activity
was expansive during last quarter. Moreover, when asked about expected sales
and store traffic, most retailers felt that economic conditions would
continue upward.
Labor demand is measured in Table 9. The help wanted
advertising index now stands at 227. This represents a 127% increase from
1980 in the number of jobs listed in the local newspaper. Moreover, the 227
index value represents the highest total ever recorded for Wausau regardless of the
time of year. In comparison to last year, there were 24% more positions
advertised. Thus we can expect payrolls to continue to grow in the local
community.
Table 10 gives the public assistance claims for the
Wausau
area. Good news comes from the fact that the total case load is
significantly reduced from a year ago. It should be noted that the figure
for new applications for public assistance in second quarter 1986 was
understated due to the fact that the process for filing claims was changed
last year and individuals may not have adjusted to the new circumstances.
Furthermore, as can be seen in Table 11, initial and
total unemployment claims are much lower than in June 1986. This evidence
supports the contention that the economic climate of the Wausau area has improved
considerably from last year.