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Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 

Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau

Marshfield Area
2nd Quarter 1986

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table14 Table 15 Table 16

     The Marshfield area economy demonstrated some growth when compared to last year. The unemployment rate is down 2.9%, and total employment has increased by a slight percentage. Areas of the local economy indicating continued improvement include the retailer confidence index, help wanted advertising, unemployment claims in Central Wisconsin, financial statistics, and the local construction scene.

     Table 7 presents Wood County employment by sector. Modest growth occurred in manufacturing (2.0%) and services (1.3%). Moreover, construction displayed a healthy gain of 67.1 %, but the increase is based on a small total employment number. Trade and government employment showed no improvement over second quarter 1985. Thus, Wood County nonfarm total employment increased by 860 over a year ago.

     The Marshfield employment index rose by 0.9% when compared to last year. This slight increase suggests sluggish growth in employment for Marshfield. The index was constructed from 1980 census data and county employment figures.

     Table 8 displays the Retailer Confidence Index. Twenty-five Marshfield area retailers were interviewed to determine retail trade conditions in the local region. When asked to compare sales and store traffic to the previous year, retailers responded that conditions have improved mildly. Expected sales and store traffic three months from now were forecast to be somewhat better than at present. A comparison with March 1986 conveys a slightly less optimistic attitude about future trends.

     Locally, labor demand has risen as indicated by the figures contained in Table 9.  The help wanted index, with a 26 point gain, signals that labor demand has significantly increased over last year. This index was constructed from information taken from the Marshfield News-Herald using 1980 as the base year.

     Public assistance claims, which measure family financial stress in Marshfield, have increased by 1.3% over second quarter 1985 (Table 10). This is a lagging economic indicator. The small percentage increase suggests that the Marshfield area economy has experienced little change from the preceding year.

     The unemployment claim data in Table 11 shows strong improvement for the Central Wisconsin area. This information is collected on a regional basis by the~Job Service in Wisconsin Rapids. Five counties are included in the totals. However, the data does provide insight into local labor market conditions. Specifically, new claims have decreased by 22.9% and total unemployment claims by 25.7% in the region when compared to a year ago.

     Lower mortgage rates, which provided a small stimulus in first quarter 1986, played a much more significant role during the second quarter due largely to improved weather conditions (Table 12). Even when seasonality is taken into consideration, expansion is still evident. In four out of five measures of residential activity, strong improvement was seen. Only alteration permits declined from last year. The category showing the most improvement was the estimated value of new home construction, which was up by 162.4% or $1.53 million.

     As can be seen in Table 13, nonresidential construction displayed improvement over last year. An area of considerable expansion was the estimated value of new structures. This category will add almost $1 million to the Marshfield area capital stock. Furthermore, business alterations will provide an additional increase of $.8 million to the value of local facilities.

     Financial statistics for the Marshfield area show that bank deposits and loans have risen (Table 14). Bank deposits increased by $10.1 million and bank loans by $7.2 million over last year. The gain in deposits over loans indicates the possibility of increased future economic activity.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1986
Employment
June 1985
Percent Change
Manufacturing
10,100

9,900

+2.0

Services
10,390

10,260

+1.3
Trade
7,200

7,200

0
Construction
1,320

790

+67.1

Government
3,900

3,900

0

Marshfield Employment Index
110

109

+0.9
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
 
Index Value
June 1986
March 1986
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
61
68
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
62
74
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
67
72
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
68
77
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
 
Index Value
1986
1985
Marshfield
(June)
(1980 = 100)
147

121

U.S.
(May)
(1967 = 100)

128

131

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1986
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
 1985
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications

34

31

+9.7

Total Caseload

828

817

+1.3

 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1986
Second Quarter
1985
Second Quarter

Percent
Change
New Claims
1,554

2,015

-22.9
Total Claims
4,367

5,876

-25.7
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1986
Second Quarter
1985
Second Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
25

15

+66.7
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$2,473.0
(thousands)

$942.3
(thousands)

+162.4
Number of Housing Units

47

28

+67.9
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
179

215

-16.7
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$581.8
(thousands)

$540.4
(thousands)

+7.7
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1986
Second Quarter
1985
Second Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
3

2

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$959.8
(thousands)

$195.0
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits
26

20

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$832.7
(thousands)

$432.2
(thousands)

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
1986
Second Quarter
(Millions)
1985
Second Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$196.0

$185.9

+5.4

Bank Loans
$120.5

$113.3

+6.4
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
 
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