| |
| |
|
|
|
Division
of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens
Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774 (715)
346-2537 |
| |
| |
Randy
F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director,
Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Marshfield
Area
2nd
Quarter 2001
|
|
Table
7 Table 8 Table
9 Table 10 Table
11 Table
12 Table 13 Table 14
Table15
|
|
The
economic indicators for the Marshfield area suggest that the area economy has
slowed down over the past twelve months.
A number of the indicators point to this conclusion. The economic difficulty seems to be centered in the
manufacturing sector. Over
capacity in many manufacturing industries in relation to worldwide demand has
greatly impacted this sectors' profitability.
Manufacturing
employment in Wood County has been hard hit by the national slowdown (Table
7).
Manufacturing payrolls are estimated to be nearly 3.0 percent lower
than one year ago. Government
employment, likewise, declined by approximately 2.0 percent in the county.
Offsetting these contractions were the employment gains in services and
trade. These sectors grew by 1.6
and 3.2 percent respectively. Construction
employment was unchanged in the year over comparison.
Due to Marshfield's greater reliance on the services sector than Wood
County as a whole, it is estimated through the Marshfield Employment Index
that local employment has increased by 1.7 percent.
Marshfield
retailers remain down beat in their assessment of local store sales and
traffic (Table 8). When asked to compare
store sales and traffic to the previous year they felt that activity was
lower. However, when this group
was asked to forecast expected sales and traffic three months from now
compared to a year ago, they indicated that matters would be moderately
higher. This bodes well for the
local retail scene.
Help
wanted advertising is a barometer of local labor market conditions (Table
9).
The index for the Marshfield area declined significantly, falling from
262 to 135. The 135 mark means
there are 1.35 jobs being advertised for each one in the base year.
However, the 1.35 positions is much below the 2.62 figure of just
twelve months ago. This indicates
that employers have greatly reduced their hiring plans.
A survey of Wisconsin employers, conducted by a temporary employment
provider, suggested that only about 24 percent of firms in the survey planned
to increase their workforces. From
a historic standpoint, this is a very low hiring rate.
Public
assistance claims on a countywide basis are presented in Table
10.
The total caseload on a monthly average basis increased form 2,597 to
2,813 or by 8.3 percent. This
result indicates that the level of financial distress has gone up for some
Wood County households.
Another
measure of household financial distress comes from the unemployment claim data
for Wood County (Table 11). The number of
new claims on a weekly average basis rose sharply from 213 to 334, or by
nearly 57 percent. Likewise,
total claims on a weekly average basis shot upwards from 1,031 to 1,643 or by
approximately 60 percent from a year ago.
Residential
construction in the Marshfield area is given in Table 12.
The number of permits declined from 21 to 10 or 52 percent in the year
over comparison. The estimated
value of the construction contracted by nearly 40 percent.
Residential alteration activity actually increased over the year as the
number of residential alteration permits rose from 62 to 72, a gain of 16
percent. The associated estimated value of the alteration activity
climbed by 3.3 percent.
As
usual, nonresidential construction activity is presented without percentage
changes (Table 13). This is a very volatile
time series and is subject to large percentage changes. The number of permits issued was 24 in Second Quarter of 2001
and the estimated value of the new structures hit $4.3 million.
Business alteration activity saw 16 permits being issued and they were
estimated to be worth $472 thousand.
Clark
County economic data are presented in Table 14 and Table
15.
The economic situation in Clark County has been surprisingly strong.
Manufacturing, services, and construction payrolls are ahead of last
year's marks. Trade was
unchanged over the period and government employment is estimated to be lower
than a year ago. Total employment
is also higher rising from 15,769 to 16,179 or by 2.6 percent. However, due to a surge in the labor force the unemployment
rate rose from 5.7 to 6.7 percent. Simply
stated, the number of people wanting jobs grew more quickly than the ability
of the economy to generate positions.
|
|
| |
TABLE
7:
WOOD
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
| |
Employment
June 2000
(Thousands)
|
Employment
June 2001
(Thousands)
|
Percent
Change
|
| Manufacturing |
10.5
|
10.2
|
-2.9
|
| Services |
18.2
|
18.5
|
+1.6
|
| Trade |
9.3
|
9.6
|
+3.2
|
| Construction |
2.0
|
2.0
|
0
|
| Government |
5.2
|
5.1
|
-1.9
|
| Marshfield
Employment Index |
168.0
|
171.0
|
+1.7
|
|
| |
TABLE
8:
RETAILER
CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
|
|
Index
Value
|
|
March 2001
|
June 2001
|
Total
Sales Compared
to Previous Year |
38
|
45
|
Store
Traffic Compared
to Previous Year |
34
|
45
|
Expected
Sales Three
Months From Now |
43
|
57
|
Expected
Store Traffic
Three Months From Now |
39
|
57
|
100
= Substantially Better
50
= Same
0
= Substantially Worse
*Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
|
| |
TABLE
9:
HELP
WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
|
|
Index
Value
|
|
2000
|
2001
|
Marshfield
(June)
(1980
= 100) |
262
|
135
|
U.S.
(May)
(1987
= 100) |
83
|
60
|
|
| |
TABLE
10:
PUBLIC
ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
| |
2000
Second
Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
|
2001
Second
Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
|
Percent
Change
|
| Total
Caseload |
2,597
|
2,813
|
+8.3
|
|
| |
TABLE
11:
UNEMPLOYMENT
CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
| |
2000
Second
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
|
2001
Second
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
|
Percent
Change
|
| New
Claims |
213
|
334
|
+56.8
|
| Total
Claims |
1031
|
1643
|
+59.4
|
|
| |
TABLE
12:
RESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
| |
2000
Second
Quarter
|
2001
Second
Quarter
|
Percent
Change
|
| Residential
Permits Issued |
21
|
10
|
-52.4
|
Estimated
Value of
New
Homes |
$3,555.0
(thousands)
|
$2,172.0
(thousands)
|
-38.9
|
| Number
of Housing Units |
28
|
40
|
+42.9
|
Residential
Alteration
Permits
Issued |
62
|
72
|
+16.1
|
Estimated
Value
of
Alterations |
$525.3
(thousands)
|
$542.6
(thousands)
|
+3.3
|
| *Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
|
| |
TABLE
13:
NONRESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
| |
2000
Second
Quarter
|
2001
Second
Quarter
|
| Number
of Permits Issued |
31
|
24
|
Estimated
Value of
New
Structures |
$2,069.0
(thousands)
|
$4,313.8
(thousands)
|
| Number
of Business Alteration Permits |
13
|
16
|
Estimated
Value
of
Business Alterations |
$752.5
(thousands)
|
$472.6
(thousands)
|
| *Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
|
| |
|
TABLE
14:
CLARK
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
| |
June 2000
|
June 2001
|
Percent
Change
|
| Manufacturing |
3,296
|
3,445
|
+4.5
|
| Services |
2,196
|
2,221
|
+1.1
|
| Trade |
1,977
|
1,977
|
0
|
| Construction |
580
|
618
|
+6.6
|
| Government |
2,153
|
2,067
|
-4.0
|
|
| |
|
TABLE
15:
CLARK
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
| |
June 2000
|
June 2001
|
Percent
Change
|
| Unemployment
Rate |
5.7%
|
6.7%
|
+17.5
|
| Total
Employed |
15,769
|
16,179
|
+2.6
|
| Total
Unemployed |
946
|
1,155
|
+22.1
|
| Labor
Force |
16,715
|
17,334
|
+3.7
|
|
| |
|
Back
to 2nd Quarter 2001 Report
CWERB
Home Page
|
| |
E-mail
DBE Phone: (715) 346-2728 Fax: (715) 346-4215 Webmaster
University of
Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business
and Economics
Stevens Point,
Wisconsin 54481
|
| |
| |