Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
1st Quarter 1999

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Fig 5A Fig 5B Table 6

 

     Economic conditions in Central Wisconsin have been improving over the past twelve months. The unemployment rates in the region are lower than a year ago and are at a very low level from a historical standpoint. Further, employment levels in most geographic areas are higher than in 1998. Growth in industrial sector employment moved upwards by about 3,500 positions over the time period.

     Unemployment rates (Table 2) in the three county areas fell below last year's figures. Portage, Marathon, and Wood had unemployment rates of 4.6, 4.2, and 5.3 percent respectively during 1st Quarter 1999. The Central Wisconsin unemployment rate of 4.6 percent was slightly higher than rates of the state and nation. Due to weather related factors our area tends to have higher rates than the state and nation during the first three months of the year.

     The employment situation (Table 3) presents us with a mixed picture of the local situation. Employment expanded in Marathon county by 3.9 percent and by 1.3 percent in Wood county. However, Portage county total employment is estimated to have contracted by about 1.4 percent from last year. Overall, Central Wisconsin employment gained about 2 percent from 1998. This rate of job generation exceeded that of the state and nation.

     Good employment news is shown in Table 4. Every major industrial sector except for government posted employment gains over the course of the year. Manufacturing and services payrolls expanded by 1.7 percent and 3.4 percent respectively. Meanwhile, trade added 3.0 percent and construction 14.3 percent from 1998. Approximately 3,500 new jobs were created in the three county areas in these categories.

     County sales tax distributions (Table 5) for Portage county contracted from $834.7 thousand to $814.9 thousand or by about 2.5 percent from a year ago. During the same period, Marathon county collections stayed relatively constant. For Marathon, the 1998 figure was $1.9 million, and $1.8 million in 1999,or a slight drop of about 0.6 percent. Thus, after many quarters of brisk expansion both counties experienced a pause in the growth in collections.

     Relating to the Marshfield county version of the report, Figure 5A and Figure 5B show at a glance that employment in Central Wisconsin for the five major industrial sectors has been strong.  Additionally, these figures demonstrate the movement of each sector relative to each other, showing the largest gain occurring in the services sector.

     The business confidence index in Table 6 shows that a rebound as such took place in the confidence levels of regional business expectations. Although recent changes in national and local conditions are judged to be unchanged, in December this group felt that matters had become definitely worse. The regional business executives now believe, however, that the future is brighter than in December. They look for their industry conditions to improve over the next quarter as well.

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
March 1998
Unemployment Rate
March 1999
Percent
Change
Portage
4.9%
4.6%
-6.1
Marathon
4.6%
4.2%
-8.7
Wood
6.1%
5.3%
-13.1
Central Wisconsin
5.1%
4.6%
-9.8
Wisconsin
3.9%
3.9%
0
United States
5.0%
4.4%
-12.0
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
March 1998
(Thousands)
Total Employment
March 1999
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage
35.4
34.9
-1.4
Marathon
68.9
71.6
+3.9
Wood
37.8
38.3
+1.3
Central Wisconsin
142.0
144.9
+2.0
Wisconsin
2,789.4
2,831.3
+1.5
United States
130,150
132,299
+1.7
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
March 1998 (Thousands)
Employment
March 1999 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
33.6
34.2
+1.7
Durable goods
17.8
18.5
+3.9
Nondurable
goods
15.8
15.6
-0.8
Services
48.4
50.1
+3.4
Trade
32.6
33.6
+3.0
Construction
4.8
5.4
+14.3
Government
18.7
18.3
-2.0
TABLE 5:
COUNTY SALES TAX DISTRIBUTION
 
1998 Sales Tax
First Quarter
(Thousands)
1999 Sales Tax
First Quarter
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage County
$834.7
$815.0
-2.4
Marathon County
$1,857.4
$1,845.6
-0.6
FIGURE 5A:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
MANUFACTURING, SERVICES AND TRADE

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FIGURE 5B:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
CONSTRUCTION AND GOVERNMENT
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TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
                                                         
Index Value
December 1998 
March 1999 
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions
35
50
Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
40
47
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
38
42
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions
42
53
Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
43
57
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
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