| |
| |
|
|
|
Division
of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens
Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774 (715)
346-2537 |
| |
|
|
Randy
F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director,
Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Stevens
Point Area
1st
Quarter 1998
|
| |
|
Table
7 Table 8 Table
9 Table 10 Table
11 Table 12 Table
13 Table 14
First Quarter 1998 was very good to the Stevens Point ‑ Plover
area economy. The seasonally unadjusted unemployment rate fell
to 4.7 percent compared to 5.0 percent of last year. Total
employment and industrial sector employment increased by 1.7 and
2.0 percent respectively. Further, almost every indicator of
economic performance was improved over the past twelve months. A
special note of interest is the large amount of nonresidential
construction taking place in the area.
Good news is reported in Table 7
of this quarters report. Every industrial sector, except for
government, reported employment gains over the past year.
Manufacturing and services expanded by 3.4 and 1.8 percent
respectively, adding 200 positions each. Trade and construction
likewise grew by 1.4 and 9.1 percent, or 100 positions apiece.
Government employment payrolls were unchanged at 6.1 thousand.
Overall industrial sector employment rose by nearly 2.0 percent
and now stands at approximately 31.0 thousand.
The biggest surprise in this quarter's report came from
the CWERB's retailer confidence survey (Table
8). When our panel of local merchants was asked to assess
total sales compared to a year ago they indicated there was
little to no change in sales when compared to First Quarter
1997. However, they did indicate that store traffic was much
above what they experienced a year earlier. This group is also
very optimistic with regard to future sales and store traffic.
This of course bodes welt for the local area.
Help wanted advertising was very strong in March 1998
(Table
9).
The index shot up by 63 points, or by approximately 36 percent.
This surge in local advertising contrasts sharply with the
meager 3 point gain in the national index. The Stevens Point
index has been trending higher since early 1996. The upward
movement clearly indicates a strengthening of the local
employment situation.
A measure of local family financial distress is public
assistance
(Table
10).
New claims were very stable over the course of the year, rising
from 99 to just 104. The total caseload figure fell from 1.885
to 1,781, or by 5.5 percent during the same period. Another
measure of local family financial distress is unemployment
claims data
(Table
11).
Both new and total claims contracted from last year. New claims
declined from 91 to 87 and total claims contracted from 205 to
200.
Residential construction in the local area demonstrated
much strength during the quarter
(Table
12).
This is similar to data at the national level which shows that
construction activity is very robust in this period of low
interest rates and rising income levels. Residential permits
rose 32.0 percent in the greater Stevens Point‑Plover area and
their estimated value rose by nearly 40.0 percent. Residential
alteration permits climbed by 50.0 percent over last year's
total and similarly the estimated value was 49.4 percent higher.
This quarter's nonresidential construction activity was
truly noteworthy
(Table 13).
The estimated value of new structures reached $4.8 million.
Major new construction projects during First Quarter include the
new County Market, Staples Superstore, Stage Department Store,
and Ortho Molecular Products. This activity underscores the
belief by businesses as to the long run vitality of our Stevens
Point‑Plover economy. With these new additions more jobs and
income will be created for the community.
Financial statistics for the area indicate that bank
deposits rose from $281.1 to $288.4 million, or by 2.6 percent,
in our sample of local financial institutions
(Table 14).
During the same period bank lending increased by approximately
$15 million. The rise in lending from $295.4 to $310.1 million
represents a gain of 5.0 percent.
|
|
| |
TABLE
7:
PORTAGE
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
| |
Employment
March
1997
(Thousands)
|
Employment
March
1998
(Thousands)
|
Percent
Change
|
| Manufacturing |
5.8
|
6.0
|
+3.4
|
| Services |
11.0
|
11.2
|
+1.8
|
| Trade |
7.3
|
7.4
|
+1.4
|
| Construction |
1.1
|
1.2
|
+9.1
|
| Government |
6.1
|
6.1
|
0
|
|
| |
TABLE
8:
RETAILER
CONFIDENCE IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA
|
|
Index
Value
|
|
December 1997
|
March 1998
|
|
Total
Sales Compared
to Previous Year
|
68
|
53
|
|
Store
Traffic Compared
to
Previous Year
|
64
|
75
|
|
Expected
Sales Three
Months
From Now
|
67
|
69
|
|
Expected
Store Traffic
Three
Months From Now
|
64
|
69
|
100
= Substantially Better
50
= Same
0
= Substantially Worse |
|
| |
TABLE
9:
HELP
WANTED ADVERTISING IN PORTAGE COUNTY
|
|
Index
Value
|
|
1997
|
1998
|
|
Stevens
Point
(March)
(1980
= 100)
|
175
|
238
|
|
U.S.
(February)
(1987
= 100)
|
89
|
92
|
|
| |
TABLE
10:
PUBLIC
ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
| |
1997
First
Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
|
1998
First
Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
|
Percent
Change
|
| New
Applications |
99
|
104
|
+5.1
|
| Total
Caseload |
1,885
|
1,781
|
-5.5
|
|
| |
TABLE
11:
UNEMPLOYMENT
CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
| |
1997
First
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
|
1998
First
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
|
Percent
Change
|
| New
Claims |
91
|
87
|
-4.4
|
| Total
Claims |
205
|
200
|
-2.4
|
|
| |
TABLE
12:
RESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
| |
1997
First
Quarter
|
1998
First
Quarter
|
Percent
Change
|
| Residential
Permits Issued |
25
|
33
|
+32.0
|
Estimated
Value of
New
Homes |
$3,392.3
(thousands)
|
$4,705.5
(thousands)
|
+38.7
|
| Number
of Housing Units |
46
|
40
|
-13.0
|
Residential
Alteration
Permits
Issued |
86
|
129
|
+50.0
|
Estimated
Value
of
Alterations |
$357.8
(thousands)
|
$534.6
(thousands)
|
+49.4
|
| *Includes
Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon,
and Plover. |
|
| |
TABLE
13:
NONRESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
| |
1997
First
Quarter
|
1998
First
Quarter
|
| Number
of Permits Issued |
6
|
7
|
Estimated
Value of
New
Structures |
$773.0
(thousands)
|
$4,809.0
(thousands)
|
| Number
of Business Alteration Permits |
28
|
45
|
Estimated
Value
of
Business Alterations |
$2,429.6
(thousands)
|
$777.2
(thousands)
|
| *Includes
Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon,
and Plover. |
|
| |
TABLE
14:
FINANCIAL
STATISTICS FOR PORTAGE COUNTY
| |
1997
First
Quarter
(Millions)
|
1998
First
Quarter
(Millions)
|
Percent
Change
|
| Bank
Deposits |
$281.1
|
$288.4
|
+2.6
|
| Bank
Loans |
$295.4
|
$310.1
|
+5.0
|
|
| |
|
Back
to 1st Quarter Report
CWERB
Home
|
| |
E-mail
DBE Phone: (715) 346-2728 Fax: (715) 346-3310 Webmaster
University of
Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business
and Economics
Stevens Point,
Wisconsin 54481
|
| |
| |