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The most basic measure of economic activity is real GDP which measures the
country's output of goods and services. Real GDP grew by only 1.8 percent since
First Quarter 1995. Industrial production increased by a scant 1.3 percent
indicating that our nation's factories are producing slightly more than a year
ago. Compared to 1995 short‑term interest rates are significantly lower this
year than last. This of course is in contrast to the rise in long‑term rates.
The latter are much more sensitive to inflationary expectations of investors.
However, the inflation tiger still remained in its cage, rising by only 2.8
percent.
Unemployment rates decreased by 0.1 of a point in Portage and Marathon counties,
and for the United States. The rates exhibited by these areas along with that of
the state of Wisconsin are very low when considering the time of year. An
unemployment rate of under six percent is usually considered to indicate full
employment. In other words one would expect some frictional and structural
unemployment in a dynamic economy. Without these kinds of unemployment we would
live in a stagnant world.
Total employment in the region expanded by 2.9 percent. Marathon grew the most
posting a 3.8 percent increase, and Wood county employment also did well rising
by 2.7 percent. Portage county was off the pace somewhat with its payrolls
growing by only 1.2 percent over the past year. This mark was below that of the
nation which posted a 1.8 percent rate of change.
Industrial sector employment saw manufacturing in the region climb by 1.5
percent. Services expanded the most over the course of the year, rising by 3.2
percent. Government payrolls were up slightly, 1.6 percent and now stand at 18.7
thousand people. Trade employment growth is estimated to be almost nonexistent
and the number of construction related jobs fell by 2.4 percent.
Sales tax data for Portage county climbed from $716.7 to $775.8 thousand since last
year, or a healthy 8.2 percent. In contrast,
Marathon county activity was
only slightly higher over the period rising from $1.62 to $1.64 million.
Business leaders were very concerned with recent economic changes at the
national and local levels. The figures of 40 and 47 respectively are quite low
for this panel. This suggests that they saw a deterioration in economic
conditions. However, they also say that conditions should improve with better
weather, a budget accord taking place in Washington, etc.
Marshfield
area economic performance was improved in the areas of total employment and the
unemployment rate. However, some weakness was evident in other economic
indicators. For example unemployment claim data and residential construction
activity were much below last year's totals. Furthermore, the help wanted
advertising index tumbled from the mark established in 1995. |