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Table 7 Table 8
Table 9 Table 10
Table 11 Table 12
Table 13 Table 14
First Quarter 1995 was very good in terms of the area's economic
performance. The unemployment rate dropped from a year ago and
total employment increased by 3.3 percent. Additionally, one
should consider that industrial sector employment is estimated
to have grown by 8 percent over the same time period. Help
wanted advertising advanced significantly signaling a
strengthening in the local job market and unemployment claim
data were much lower than last year. Nonresidential construction
was generally stronger than twelve months ago and the area's
financial statistics showed surprising vigor, especially in the
lending category.
As
usual, however, not all indicators turned up roses. Residential construction in
the local area was down from last year because of higher interest rates.
Moreover, the total caseload for public assistance, in the category of general
assistance, was up from a year ago.
Industrial sector employment increased in Portage county from 28.9 to 31.2
thousand since First Quarter 1994, or by a very healthy 8 percent (Table
7). All sectors of the economy participated in the growth. Services, trade,
and manufacturing operations expanded by 12.9, 10.1 and 5.7 percent respectively
to lead this quarter's results. Construction and government activity grew,
albeit at a much more modest pace of 1.5 and 1.7 percent.
Merchants in the Stevens Point area tell us in Table 8
that sales and store traffic are just slightly higher than a year ago. Further,
their level of confidence is somewhat down from December's levels. When their
attention was directed toward the future, the panel forecasted that store
traffic and sales would be only moderately better than last year. The evidence
suggests that this group feels the economy will be advancing but at a slower
rate in 1995 especially for their particular business.
Table 9 presents help wanted advertising for the local
area. Advertising has progressed from 175 to 278 or 59 percent from last March.
Local and state wide economic vitality is helping to drive this index upwards.
The U.S. index moved forward from 122 to 134, or 10 percent in a year over
comparison basis. To understand both indexes realize that a figure such as 278
indicates there are 2.8 jobs being advertised for each one in 1980.
Public assistance claims in Portage county are given in Table
10. New applications fell sharply from 151 to 116 on a monthly average
basis, a decline of 23 percent. State provided total caseload figures include
only general assistance claims. Income maintenance figures for total caseload
will hopefully become available at a later date. Thus, the total caseload
figures appear to be lower than the new applications figures which include the
income maintenance figures. With this fad in mind, total caseload climbed from
49 to 67, or 37 percent from last year.
Unemployment claim data in Table 11 provides good news to
the local area. New claims data on a weekly average basis contracted from 81 to
53, or nearly 35 percent from a year ago. Further, total claims declined as
well. On a weekly average basis total claims contracted from 177 to 150 or by
about 15 percent.
Residential construction was well off the activity pace of last year (Table
12). Higher interest rates undoubtedly depressed the number of residential
permits issued, their estimated value, and the number of housing units by 21, 19
and 24 percent respectively. However, residential alteration permits issued and
their estimated value expanded by 4 and 21 percent respectively. ft appears that
local residents rather than buying a new house are thinking more in terms of
modifying their current residence.
Better news in the construction arena is presented in Table
13 where nonresidential activity was generally higher than in First Quarter
1994. Number of permits issued reached 6 with an associated estimated value of
$4.1 million. The number of alteration permits was 25 with an estimated value of
$931.5 thousand. As usual, no percentage changes are given due to the volatile
nature of business investment.
Table 14 presents the area's financial statistics and
once again good news can be reported this quarter. Bank deposits increased by
$17.5 million or 5.4 percent from last year rising from $323.2 to $340.7
million. Equally impressive was the activity in bank lending. Lending in our
sample rose from $284.4 to $314.9 million, a gain of 10.7 percent. Lending of
course eventually equates to purchases of goods and services by the borrowers. |