Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
1st Quarter 1995

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Fig 5A Fig 5B Table 6

 

     By every measure of economic performance Central Wisconsin's economy advanced forward. The unemployment rates in the region were substantially lower and employment levels were much higher than in First Quarter 1994. Further, industrial sector employment, for almost all sectors, was well ahead of last year's totals. Historically speaking the growth in our industrial sectors over the 1985‑1995 time period has been dramatic. Finally business executives believe that the local economy has strengthened over the past year and they also hold the opinion that the future bodes well for their particular industry. 

     Unemployment rates in the area are much lower in First Quarter 1995 compared to those of last year (Table 2). Marathon, Portage, and Wood Counties seasonally unadjusted unemployment rates now stand at 6.2, 6.0, and 6.0 percent respectively. The labor force weighted unemployment rate for Central Wisconsin plunged from 6.6 to 6.1 percent. The state rate was even lower at 4.8 percent and the U.S. rate declined to 5.7 percent. Traditionally the winter results in higher rates in our area than the rest of the country due to the seasonal nature of many businesses. 

     As somewhat of a surprise, employment in our region expanded more rapidly than the state during First Quarter (Table 3). Marathon, Portage, and Wood County payrolls expanded by 1.1, 3.3, and 1.9 percent in a year over comparison basis. For Central Wisconsin employment progressed from 133.4 to 135.9 thousand or 1.9 percent. Portage County led in the expansion when it grew by 1,100 positions. Marathon and Wood Counties are each estimated to have added 700 jobs to their employment base. 

     Table 4 presents Central Wisconsin employment change by industrial sector. A very healthy amount of growth took place in the region's industrial sectors. Employment surged ahead rising from 125.1 to 129.3 thousand or 4.2 percent. Every sector except government registered substantial increases in its payroll. Trade, manufacturing, and services respectively added 1.7, 1.3, and 1.2 thousand people to their employment rosters. 

     Table 5A and Table 5B show how these major industrial sectors have tracked employment wise from 1985‑1995. These seasonally adjusted data clearly depict for the reader the amount of job growth that has taken place in our region over the time period. Of special note is the huge increase in service sector employment and the almost nonexistent increase in government payrolls over this time frame. 

     Table 6 presents the CWERB's business confidence index. Regional business executives express the belief that national economic conditions have not progressed appreciably but do say that recent improvements in local conditions are clearly identifiable. When asked to give their opinions concerning the course of future economic events they said that the local area and their industry conditions should strengthen in the months ahead. Generally, this group was more optimistic this quarter than in December when accessing economic conditions.

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
March 1994
Unemployment Rate
March 1995
Percent
Change
Portage
6.4%
6.0%
-6.3
Marathon
6.7%
6.2%
-7.5
Wood
6.7%
6.0%
-10.4
Central Wisconsin
6.6%
6.1%
-7.6
Wisconsin
5.6%
4.8%

-14.3

United States
6.0%
5.7%
-5.0
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
March 1994
(Thousands)
Total Employment
March 1995
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage
33.8
34.9

+3.3

Marathon
63.2
63.9
+1.1
Wood
36.4
37.1
+1.9
Central Wisconsin
133.4
135.9
+1.9
Wisconsin
2,605.9
2,645.6
+1.5
United States
120,844
123,943
+2.6
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
March 1994 (Thousands)
Employment
March 1995 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
30.0
31.3
+4.3
Durable goods
14.5
15.8
+9.0
Nondurable
goods
15.5
15.5

0

Services
45.0

46.2

+2.7
Trade

28.9

30.6
+5.9
Construction
3.7
3.9

+5.4

Government
17.5
17.3
-1.1

FIGURE 5A:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
MANUFACTURING, SERVICES AND TRADE

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FIGURE 5B:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
CONSTRUCTION AND GOVERNMENT

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TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
                                                         
Index Value
December 1994 
March 1995 
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions
66
54
Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
65
62
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
58
55
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions
57
63
Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
61
62
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481