Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
1st Quarter 1992
 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     The Wausau area economy expanded at a decent pace over the course of the past year. Total employment, industrial employment, retail activity, construction, and financial distress statistics indicate that the local area continued its upward economic trend. However, the seasonally unadjusted unemployment rate increased by 0.1 percent, and help wanted advertising fell from a year earlier. But, all things considered, it can be said that the local area has fared well, when compared to other areas of the country where pockets of economic stagnation still persist. Further, the national economy appears to have pulled out of the doldrums, albeit at a subdued pace. This can be only be interpreted as good news for the local area, and may suggest that, for all intents and purposes, the region has escaped the effects of the recession. This is contrary to what happened in the early 1980's when the Wausau area economy was wracked very severely by double‑digit unemployment rates. 

     Marathon County payrolls expanded by approximately 1000 positions from last year (Table 7). This represents a growth rate of 1.9 percent. Every category of industrial sector employment participated in the economic rally, except for the trade sector. The manufacturing, services, construction, and government sectors increased by 500, 300, 300, and 200 jobs respectively since March 1991. With nearly 54 thousand jobs now in the local labor market, it appears that the economy has successfully weathered the slowdown/recession experienced elsewhere in the nation.
 

     In Table 8 information concerning the health of the local retail sector is presented. Our panel of local merchants tells us that store traffic and sales are significantly better than one year ago during the same time period. Data concerning increases in local sales tax collections confirm the opinions of the merchants. This is good news for our local economy because retail sales are indicators of the vitality of a region. When quizzed about the future of the retail sector, these merchants say that they expect store traffic and sales to be ahead of last year's pace three months from now. Once again, information worth noting.
 

     In contrast to the upbeat information concerning retail activity, Table 9 shows that help wanted advertising is off last year's marks by nearly 19 percent. The index reading of 146 tells us that there are about 1.46 jobs being advertised for every one job advertised in the base year 1980. The index, of course, does not capture all possible job openings in the local area, but rather serves as a barometer of local labor market conditions.
 

     Measures of local family financial distress as depicted in Table 10 and
Table 11 show that some slight improvement has taken place since last year. Public assistance claims are given on a monthly average basis. New applications declined from 22 to 21, and similarly, total caseload fell from 93 to 91 over the course of the year. Thus, a great degree of stability has evolved over the past twelve months. Unemployment claim data on a weekly average basis declined by even more significant margins. Initial unemployment claims fell by 40 or 7.1 percent, and total unemployment claims contracted by 111 or 2.6 percent. Overall then, Tables 10 and 11 reflect stability and gradual improvement in the local situation.

 

     Residential construction activity over the past twelve months has exploded in the Wausau area (Table 12). Every category of activity is significantly higher than a year ago. Residential permits issued, their estimated value, and the number of housing units rocketed upward by 133 percent, 176 percent, and 134 percent respectively from March 1991. Similarly, residential alteration permits and the estimated value of alterations leaped by 140 percent and 196 percent. Needless to say, it takes low interest rates and a healthy dose of optimism on the part of buyers and builders to register and sustain such numbers.
 

     The volatile nonresidential construction categories in the Wausau area are displayed in Table 13. The business investment numbers for capital items are usually dominated by a few large dollar amount projects which occur on an irregular basis. Thus, percentage changes are not given. The number of permits for the period was 5 with an estimated value of $544,000. Further, the first quarter 1992 time period saw 19 permits issued for alteration activity with an estimated value of $731, 200.
 

     Financial statistics for the Wausau area are given in Table 14. Bank deposit activity, a measure of local income and liquidity, increased by $24 million from a year ago. The growth rate of 3.6% outpaced inflation by a slight margin, producing an inflation adjusted growth rate in the local area of about 0.3 percent. Bank lending, another gauge of the local economy expanded from $527.2 million to $537.9 million, a gain of $10.7 million or 2.0 percent. Thus, lending activity did not keep pace with the inflation rate of 3.2 percent.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
March 1991
(Thousands)
Employment
March 1992
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
14.5

15.0

+3.4
Services
17.1

17.4

+1.8
Trade
12.3

12.0

-2.4
Construction

2.2

2.5

+13.6
Government
6.6

6.8

+3.0

 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                                             
Index Value
December 1991
March 1992
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
68
69
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
69
69
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
68

70

Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
69

71

100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
                             
Index Value
1991
1992
Wausau
(March)
(1980 = 100)
179

146

U.S.
(February)
(1967 = 100)
96

89

TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY *

 

1991
First Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)

1992
First Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)

Percent
Change

New Application

22

21

-4.5

Total Caseload

93

91

-2.2

 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1991
First Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1992
First Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
564

524

-7.1
Total Claims
4,330

4,219

-2.6
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1991
First Quarter
1992
First Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
21

49

+133.3

Estimated Value of New Homes
$1,788.5
(thousands)

$4,946.5
(thousands)

+176.6

Number of Housing Units
29

68

+134.5
Residential Alteration Permits Issued
49

118

+140.8
Estimated Value of Alterations
$229.8
(thousands)

$681.7
(thousands)

+196.6
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1991
First Quarter
1992
First Quarter
Number of Permits Issued

3

5

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$666.9
(thousands)

$544.0
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits 
25

19

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$993.7
(thousands)

$731.2
(thousands)

 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1991
First Quarter
(Millions)
1992
First Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$672.3

$696.4

+3.6
Bank Loans
$527.2

$537.9

+2.0
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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