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The Central Wisconsin economy has expanded
rapidly over the past year. The rate of growth accelerated during the first
quarter of 1984. It is unlikely that the rate of job creation over the past year
will be maintained in the coming months, particularly in Wood and
Marathon
counties. However, an expanding national economy (though at a slower pace) and
seasonal factors should provide enough impetus to keep the expansion going.
Moreover, labor force growth appears to have subsided over the last three
months, thus making reductions in the unemployment rate more attainable.
As
always, questions about the region's future economic performance remain. These
questions include:
1. Will
rising interest rates stifle the residential construction boom? There is some
evidence that the pace of construction activity has slowed in the Stevens
Point-Plover area, though it is too early to pinpoint a pattern. More
importantly, a drop in construction nationally would impede the lumber and wood
products expansion. This industry has been an extremely potent regional job
generator over the past year.
2. Has
the paper industry reached capacity? Nationally, paper has a higher capacity
index reading than any other industry. If regional paper producers have reached
their short run potential, further employment gains are unlikely.
3. How will the Portage County economy weather another major
plant closure? The shutdown of the Preway Corporation branch plant in Stevens Point will idle 50
workers in the fabricated metal products industry. The loss of an "export"
oriented firm will put a further damper on the county's economic expansion.
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