Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Marshfield Area
4th Quarter 1991

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Table 15 Table 16

     The Marshfield‑Wood County economy is showing the influence of the national economic slowdown. The data for fourth quarter paints a picture of a regional economy that is facing some difficulty in growing or maintaining previous gains in employment. Total employment in Wood County is off by 1200 jobs, industrial sector employment expanded by only 0.9 percent from a year ago, and the unemployment rate, while still very low, increased by seven‑tenths of a point. Other variables in the report would also confirm this assessment of the local situation. However, the numbers, while not as rosy as in past periods, are still well above the marks of the 1980's. In other words, the area has seen much growth over the past several years and this slowdown has not erased those gains to any significant degree.
 

     Table 7 presents nonfarm employment data for the various industrial classifications. Wood County is feeling the effects of the national economic situation. Manufacturing, trade, and construction payrolls fell from last year's levels. But good news comes from the services and governmental sectors where employment expanded by 1,150 and 200 respectively. The Marshfield employment index contracted by 6 points or by 4.5 percent. The index suggests that local payrolls have declined over the course of the year.
 

     Local merchants were surveyed in order to gauge the level of local retail activity and to determine what the future may hold for the area (Table 8). When queried about store traffic and sales, the marks of 46 and 54 indicate that local cash registers were about as busy as a year ago. Further, this group believes that activity will accelerate once the national economy gets back on course. Thus, the data in Table 8 lends evidence to the belief that retail activity during fourth quarter may have been stronger than expected going in to the Christmas buying season.
 

     Help wanted advertising was well below last year's total for Marshfield
(Table 9). In December of 1990 the index stood at 184, the current level is a much lower 129. This represents a drop of nearly 30 percent. The U.S. figure was down by a similar magnitude, 20 percent. The results for the local area and nation are, of course, related due to economic inter linkages that exist between the two.
 

     Local family financial distress is depicted in Table 10 and Table 11. The slowdown nationally is percolating into the local area. New applications for public assistance rose from an average of 28 per month to 79, a 182 percent increase from a year ago. Besides the obvious economic factors contributing to this development, a change in administrative rules allowing formerly ineligible SSI recipients to apply for food stamps caused a sharp increase in new applications for public assistance during fourth quarter. Thus the surge in new applications may be somewhat misleading. Total caseload, in comparison, increased by a much smaller 15 percent rising from a monthly average of 575 cases to 662. Further, initial unemployment claims on a weekly average basis remained unchanged from last year, but total claims rose noticeably from 176 to 242 per week.
 

     Generally speaking, residential construction in the local area was off the pace of last year. But we should remember that 1990 fourth quarter was a period of robust activity. Table 12 tells us that the number of residential permits issued was unchanged from a year ago, while the estimated value of new homes the number of housing units, residential alteration permits issued, and the estimated value of residential alterations were down from 1990's marks.
 

     As mentioned in previous Economic Indicators, business spending on capital items is very volatile and quite singular in nature (Table 13). Therefore, percentage changes are not given. Even though the numbers are below last year's figures for fourth quarter, they are well within established parameters when compared to historic ranges.
 

     Financial statistics for the Marshfield area reflect the slowing in local economic growth (Table 14). Bank lending rose by just $3.5 million or 1.6 percent, which is well below the growth rates established in the 1980's and early 1990's. This indicator is a reflection of local liquidity and income growth. Bank lending, a gauge of the rate of expansion in the local economy, was lower than a year ago, falling by about $3 million or 1.7 percent. In conclusion the financial statistics for the area indicate that both bank lending and borrowing failed to keep pace with inflation.

 

     Economic data for Clark County are presented in Table 15 and Table 16 in recognition of the importance of Clark County as an important market for Marshfield area businesses. Overall, economic conditions in Clark County continue to be less robust than in some of the more industrialized areas in Central Wisconsin.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1990
Employment
December 1991
Percent Change
Manufacturing
10,200
9,800
-3.9
Services
13,790
14,940
+8.3
Trade
8,700

8,200

-5.7
Construction
940
860
-8.5
Government

4,200

4,400
+4.8
Marshfield Employment Index
134.0
128.0
-4.5
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
                                               
Index Value
September 1991
December 1991
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
59
54
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
54
46
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
63
65
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
65
65
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
                              
Index Value
1990
1991
Marshfield
(December)
(1980 = 100)
184

129

U.S.
(November)
(1967 = 100)
108

89

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1990
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1991
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications

28

79

+182.1

Total Caseload

575

662

+15.1

* As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims are
being compiled on a county-wide basis
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1990
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1991
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
90

90

0

Total Claims

176

242

+37.5
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1990
Fourth Quarter
1991
Fourth Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
11

11

0
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$1,006.1
(thousands)

$920.0
(thousands)

-8.6
Number of Housing Units
14

12

-14.3

Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
28

21

-25.0
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$195.5
(thousands)

$188.1
(thousands)

-3.8
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1990
Fourth Quarter
1991
Fourth Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
9

9

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$7,177.8
(thousands)

$601.3
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits

11

9

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$1,343.9
(thousands)

$828.1
(thousands)

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
1990
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
1991
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
Percent 
Change
Bank Deposits

$225.1

$228.6

+1.6

Bank Loans
$172.1

$169.1

-1.7

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 15:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
 
December 1990
December 1991
Percent Change
Manufacturing
2,150

1,850

-14.0
Services
1,580

1,760

+11.4
Trade
1,710

1,870

+9.4
Construction
150

90

-40.0
Government 
1,980

1,990

+0.5
 
TABLE 16:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
 
December 1990
December 1991
Percent Change
Unemployment Rate
6.1%

8.0%

+31.1

Total Employed
13,200

12,700

-3.8
Total Unemployed
860

1,110

+29.1
Labor Force
14,000

13,800

-1.4
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
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