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The national economy has expanded
for over seven consecutive years. This record peace‑time expansion continued,
albeit barely, during 4th quarter 1989. For the past year the national economy
grew at an inflation adjusted rate of 2.4 percent, (Table 1). However, during
the last several months, data suggest that the national economy grew by only 0.5
percent. To further underscore this point, the industrial production index rose
by a scant 1.7 percent. Moreover, interest rates from December 1988 have been
trending downward and inflation came in at 4.6 percent for the past year. The
major components contributing to the higher than expected price rise have been
energy and food.
The unemployment rate rose in
Portage, Wood, and Marathon
counties. The combined overall rate for Central Wisconsin was up by 1.4 percent.
The state also experienced an increase in its unemployment rate. However, the
reported percentages are still low for the area as measured by historic
standards. Employment growth in the counties was difficult to come by. Only
Marathon experienced a slight gain by adding 1.4 percent to its
payrolls. Central
Wisconsin did better than the state by posting a very modest 0.4 percent
increase while the latter experienced nearly a 2 percent decline in employment.
Even though the increase for
Central Wisconsin was slight, it was enough to allow for a record level of 4th
quarter employment.
The regional industrial sectors
added 3,300 people to their payrolls. This represents an increase of
approximately 3.0 percent No sector experienced a decrease, with several
establishing record levels of employment for 4th quarter. High‑paying
manufacturing registered a gain of 700 positions or 2.5 percent, but the
burgeoning service sector was the most active adding 1300 to its employment.
The Marshfield‑Wood County economy
experienced a decrease in the level of total employment. Further, the
unemployment rate was much above last year's levels. These plus other indicators
point toward a slowing in the area economy. This parallels what took place
during 4th quarter at the national level. Early indications are that the country
may get through this upcoming period without sinking into recession.
TABLE
1:
NATIONAL
ECONOMIC STATISTICS
| |
1988
Fourth
Quarter
|
1989
Fourth
Quarter
|
Percent
Change
|
|
Nominal
Gross Domestic Product (Billions) |
$5,017.3
|
$5,337.0
|
+6.4
|
|
Real
Gross Domestic Product (Billions of 1982$) |
$4,06942
|
$4,168.1
|
+2.4
|
Industrial
Production
(1977= 100) |
140.4
|
142.8
|
+1.7
|
|
Three
Month U.S. Treasury Bill Rate |
8.22%
|
7.77%
|
-5.5
|
Consumer
Price Index
(1982-84
= 100) |
120.5
|
126.1
|
+4.6
|
|