Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Marshfield Area
4th Quarter 1988

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Table 15 Table 16

     The local expansion continued during fourth quarter 1988. Total employment and nonagricultural payrolls moved to all-time highs regardless of the time of year. The unemployment rate fell to 4.7 percent, the lowest level seen since the early 1970s. The performance of Wood County was closely paralleled by Portage and Marathon counties. Many of the variables considered in the report support the expansion thesis.

     National and local variables point toward an expansionary period. For example, local business and merchant sentiment about the future is not the least bit pessimistic. Moreover, construction and help wanted advertising give additional evidence that the area economy still has momentum.

     Mirroring the national trend, the Marshfield and Wood County economies expanded from a year ago. Table 7 shows that the Marshfield employment index is at 127.8 or 2.7 percent higher than in December 1987. A breakdown of employment by major industrial sector indicates that government, services, and construction were big gainers. Moreover, the fourth quarter employment totals for these sectors represent all time highs. On the negative side of the situation, manufacturing employment slipped by 1.9 percent. Overall, Wood County employment grew by a respectable 2.1 percent.

     The retail sector can give valuable insight into local conditions. Therefore, the CWERB conducts a survey of local merchants in order to gain this perspective. Table 8 displays the results of the polling. Retailers said that store traffic was noticeably heavier than last year and that store sales were moderately better. When asked about their expectations, this group was confident that store traffic and sales would be better than a year ago. This bodes well for the Marshfield area economy. The likely direction of area payrolls is a matter of considerable importance and should command much attention. The help wanted advertising index is a method to estimate this movement.

     Table 9 tells us that advertising is almost twice as great as in 1980. Furthermore, it was up almost 12 percent from just a year ago. This advertisement will eventually translate into higher employment and greater income for the local area.

     Table 10 and Table 11 give clues into local family financial distress. The number of new applications for public assistance was up by 2 while the total caseload was lower by 74. For the United States unemployment claims were higher than a year ago. This trend holds true for the Marshfield area as well as for the cities of Stevens Point and Wausau. Data in Table 11 show that initial and total claims were substantially higher than last year. The layoffs at Tombstone Pizza may have contributed to the sitlia'tion by affecting some local area residents.

     Construction activity is a leading economic indicator. In other words, this type of activity usually preceeds a broader advancement. Table 12 lists the results for fourth quarter. All categories except one were higher than twelve months ago. Despite higher interest rates, the number of housing units was up by nearly thirty percent from fourth quarter 1987. In sum, this precursor for general economic expansion brings very positive news.

     In conjunction with this, nonresidential construction data in Table 13 also indicate a higher level of activity than a year ago. The estimated value of new structures has reached a new benchmark regardless of the quarter. This suggests that the local economy should continue on its upward trend.

     Marshfield financial statistics can be found in Table 14.  Clark County employment statistics can be found in Table 15 and Table 16.   

      

 

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1987
Employment
December 1988
Percent Change
Manufacturing
10,300
10,100
-1.9
Services
11,690
11,930
+2.1
Trade
9,100

9,200

+1.1
Construction
780
980
+25.6
Government

3,900

4,300
+10.3
Marshfield Employment Index
124.4
127.8
+2.7
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
                                               
Index Value
September 1988
December 1988
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
60
58
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
58
68
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
69
70
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
66
71
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
                              
Index Value
1987
1988
Marshfield
(December)
(1980 = 100)

170

190

U.S.
(November)
(1967 = 100)

163

158

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1987
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1988
Fourth Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications

32

34

+6.3

Total Caseload

698

624

-10.6

* As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims are
being compiled on a county-wide basis
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1987
Fourth Quarter
1988
Fourth Quarter
Percent
Change
New Claims
994

1,379

+38.7

Total Claims

1,759

2,248

+27.8
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1987
Fourth Quarter
1988
Fourth Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
8
15
+87.5
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$1,042.0
(thousands)
$1,771.0
(thousands)
+70.0
Number of Housing Units
25
32

+28.0

Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
22
28
+27.3
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$125.9
(thousands)
$104.1
(thousands)
-17.3
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1987
Fourth Quarter
1988
Fourth Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
11
14
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$719.9
(thousands)
$3,554.6
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits

10

22

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$1,963.3
(thousands)
$6,661.1
(thousands)
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
1987
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
1988
Fourth Quarter
(Millions)
Percent 
Change
Bank Deposits

$208.6

$210.2

+0.8

Bank Loans
$128.0

$146.4

+14.4

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 15:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
 
December 1987
December 1988
Percent Change
Manufacturing
1,870

1,650

-11.8
Services
1,740

1,750

+0.6
Trade
1,750

1,820

+4.0
Construction
280

210

-25.0
Government 
1,940

2,100

+8.2
 
TABLE 16:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
 
December 1988
December 1989
Percent Change
Unemployment Rate
9.0%

6.9%

-23.3

Total Employed
13,200

12,200

-7.6
Total Unemployed
1,310

900

-31.3

Labor Force
14,500

13,100

-9.7
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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