Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
4th Quarter 1987

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6

 

     The regional economy continued to expand during fourth quarter 1987. Overall, 1987 was a very good year for the three county area. Table 2 shows that the unemployment rate in Portage and Marathon counties dipped substantially below last year's levels. An increase in Wood County's unemployment rate can be traced to plant closings by Preway and Sterling Engineered Products in Wisconsin Rapids. For the region, the unemployment rate decreased to 7.0%. However, the unemployment rate for the region and state were above the national mark for the first time in two quarters. This is due to the seasonal nature of the state's job market, i.e. winter conditions.

     Table 3 lists total employment figures. Job creation in Portage County was modest while Marathon and Wood counties registered identical percentage gains of 7.5%. Overall, the region saw 7,200 more people employed, a 6.3% rise. Based on percentage growth, the region expanded at a faster rate than the nation and state during the last part of 1987.

     Table 4 divides employment change into the major nonfarm classifications. Manufacturing, spurred on by the lower valued dollar, paced the overall expansion. Employment in manufacturing jumped by 1700 positions. Services, trade, and construction all registered solid gains. Government increased by 3.1% from last year, the smallest rise of any sector. In summary, total nonfarm employment grew by 4800 positions or 4.7% from fourth quarter 1986. Thus, a very respectable peformance was recorded for the region. Table 5 contains key Central Wisconsin industry employment data. The industries represented in this table are vital to the health and well being of the region's economy. Paper products, a capital intensive industry, gained 100 positions from last year and the lumber and wood products industry added 700 people to its payrolls. Food processing and finance, insurance, and real estate also demonstrated strength by posting gains of 8.3% and 5.3% respectively. To summarize, key industry employment grew by 1500 jobs or by 5.7%. As mentioned in the third quarter report, if the region is to prosper then these basic industries must lead the way. Forecasts predict that this group should continue to perform well during 1988.

     The business confidence index appears in Table 6. Interviews conducted by the CWERB indicate concern on the part of regional business executives. This concern focuses on the deterioration of national economic conditions. This group also perceives local conditions to be unimproved. This can be viewed positively since the-local economy has been expanding all year. Finally, this group believes that economic conditions in the nation, the region, and especially their industries will improve in the near term.

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
December 1986
Unemployment Rate
December 1987
Percent
Change
Portage
7.9%
6.7%
-15.2
Marathon
7.5%
6.4%
-14.7
Wood
7.6%
7.8%

+2.6

Central Wisconsin
7.6%
7.0%
-7.9
Wisconsin
7.1%
6.2%

-12.7

United States
6.3%
5.4%
-14.3
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
December 1986
(Thousands)
Total Employment
December 1987
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage
28.8
29.5

+2.4

Marathon

53.2

57.2

+7.5

Wood
33.2
35.7
+7.5
Central Wisconsin
115.2
122.4

+6.3

Wisconsin
2,251.7
2,348.8
+4.3
United States
110,588.0
113,679.0
+2.8
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
December 1986 (Thousands)
Employment
December 1987 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing

26.4

28.1
+6.4
Durable goods
11.4
12.9
+13.2
Nondurable
goods
15.0
15.4

+2.7

Services

32.2

33.7
+4.7
Trade
25.7
26.6
+3.5
Construction

2.7

2.9

+7.4

Government
16.0
16.5
+3.1
TABLE 5:
EMPLOYMENT IN KEY CENTRAL WISCONSIN INDUSTRIES
Industry
Employment
December 1987
(Thousands)
Employment
December 1988
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Paper Products

9.2

9.3

+1.1

Lumber and Wood
Products

4.5

5.2

+15.6

Food Processing

3.6

3.9

+8.3

Finance, Insurance,
and Real Estate

7.5

7.9

+5.3

TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Index Value
September 1987 December 1987
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions

59

40

Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions

56

49
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
49
56
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions

48

57

Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
62
67
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481