An early winter slowed the Stevens Point area economy
during the fourth quarter but the level of activity remains slightly above
the pace of a year ago. Evidence of the local economy's performance is
contained in Tables 7-13. These tables are based on information reflecting
the area's labor, construction and financial markets.
The estimate of non-farm wage and salary employment in
Portage
County indicates there
were 700 more jobs this past December than during the same period last year.
Most of this gain is reported to have occurred in the manufacturing sector (Table
7). However, just as in the third quarter, large gains (on a
year-to-year basis) showed up in the food processing industry. Further
investigation by the bureau has failed to substantiate these figures. The
Department of Industry, Labor and Human Relations is very likely to revise
the food processing employment estimates downward during its annual re-bench
marking procedure this spring. The net effect of this revision will be a
reduction in this quarter's unexpectedly large 18.2% increase in
manufacturing payrolls. However, gains in other
Portage County manufacturing industries are
almost certain to stand up in the revised estimates. In the past year
payrolls have expanded in the following industries: furniture and fixtures,
fabricated metal products, nonelectrical machinery, paper products and
printing.
The government and construction sectors also reported gains over last
December. Record enrollment at the University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
pushed government employment up 5.3% while the volatile construction sector
showed surprising strength. This gain is somewhat illusory because a
November to November comparison actually shows a slightly lower level of
construction employment in 1985.
Continuing a trend begun in the third quarter, the area's large service and
trade sectors reduced payrolls. Depressed by job losses in the
transportation service industry, total services employment slipped 1.6%. The
positive impact of the CenterPoint Mall has yet to influence the trade
employment figures as evidenced by last quarter's 8.0% drop from a year ago.
The help wanted advertising index for the
Stevens Point
area inched above the December 1984 level (Table 8).
The rate of improvement is very similar to that recorded by the nation. Help
wanted advertising remains below the December 1980 base year level.
For the second consecutive quarter, public assistance claims processed at
the Stevens Point office rose significantly (Table
9). This finding suggests that despite a falling county unemployment
rate, there is a growing number of financially stressed families in the
area.
Initial unemployment claims rose sharply over the third quarter level (Table
10). This is a seasonal pattern due to winter layoffs in the food
processing and construction industries. The number of claims is actually
down slightly (5.9%) from the fourth quarter 1984 level.
After showing a strong year-to-year gain in the third quarter, residential
construction was slowed by 1985's severe fourth quarter weather (Table
11). The number of residential permits and housing units dropped
slightly from last year's level, although the value of new homes crept up.
The weather-induced slowdown is probably temporary. Lower mortgage rates
are likely to improve seasonally adjusted conditions during the first half
of 1986.