Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Picture (42x43, 1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 

Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
4th Quarter 2004
 

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6

A summary of the economic indicators for our region is as follows.  The unemployment rates were significantly below those of a year ago.  Total employment was higher in almost all the reporting areas, and the rates of employment change were very impressive.  Nonfarm employment grew almost in all categories--the exception being manufacturing and government payrolls.  Retail sales activity was mixed with some counties experiencing more sales growth than others.  Lastly, the survey of regional business leaders suggests that the local economy will grow more rapidly in the months ahead when compared to a last year's performance. 

               Unemployment rates were significantly lower for all reporting areas (Table 2).  The unemployment rates for Marathon, Portage, and Wood counties stood at 3.3, 4.0, and 4.9 percent respectively.  The unemployment rate for the state was 4.2 percent and for the nation 5.1 percent.  In both cases, the aforementioned rates represent significant declines from the previous year's marks.  In sum, there has been a marked improvement in the unemployment situation which reflects an improving economic situation. 

            Employment figures are given in Table 3.  Portage and Marathon experienced good amounts of growth in their payrolls, 1.8 and 2.2 percent respectively.  In contrast, Wood county payrolls were at about the same level as a year ago.  Wisconsin and the United States employment figures climbed, 1.7 and 1.2 percent respectively when compared to last year.  Finally, the number of people employed in Central Wisconsin expanded from 152.1 to 154.4 thousand, or about 1.5 percent from a year ago.  Lastly, employment growth in most geographic areas appears to be accelerating.  

            Employment figures based on a government survey of employers is given in Table 4.  Total nonfarm employment is estimated to have risen from 149.0 to 151.0 thousand or about 1.3 percent from December 2003.  Good news comes from the manufacturing sector where the decline in employment appears to have leveled off.  The only other sector to register a decline was the government sector.  All other sectors in Central Wisconsin were reported to have made nice gains in their payroll levels.

            County sales tax collections are a barometer or a gauge of economic activity (Table 5).  Portage County's sales tax collections are estimated to have declined slightly from $1.17 to $1.13 million over the year or about 3.5 percent.  In Marathon County, sales tax collection rose from $2.58 to $2.70 million or about 5 percent.  Wood County had no sales tax in place as of fourth quarter 2003, thus no comparison can be made with the 2004 collection. 

            The business confidence index in Table 6 shows that recent changes at the national and local level were judged in a positive light by the survey groups.  It seems that they were particularly pleased with the recent changes at the national level.  The survey group also felt that economic matters would improve locally and their particular industry should show a marked amount of sales growth in the quarters ahead.  The response for the industry question was encouraging because it has strong implications for job and income growth in our area.  

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
December 2003
Unemployment Rate
December 2004
Percent
Change
Portage 4.1%

4.0%

-3.5
Marathon 3.9%

3.3%

-14.2
Wood

5.3%

4.9% -7.8
Central Wisconsin 4.3% 3.9% -9.3
Wisconsin 4.9% 4.2% -15.1
United States

5.4%

5.1%

-5.2

TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
December 2003
(Thousands)
Total Employment
December 2004
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage 38.4 39.1 +1.8
Marathon 74.0 75.7 +2.2
Wood 39.7 39.6 -0.2
Central Wisconsin 152.1 154.4 +1.5
Wisconsin 2,915.3 2,963.8 +1.7
United States 138,556 140,278 +1.2
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 

Employment
December 2003 (Thousands)

Employment
December 2004 (Thousands)

Percent Change

Total Nonfarm 149.0 151.0 +1.3
Total Private 129.2 131.5 +1.8
Construction & Natural Resources 5.4 5.5 +1.9
Manufacturing 29.8 29.7 -0.3
Trade 28.0 28.4 +1.4
Transportation & Utilities 8.0 8.2 +2.5
Financial Activities 9.8 10.0 +2.0
Education & Health Services 21.6 22.0 +1.9
Leisure & Hospitality 10.7 11.0 +2.8
Information & Business Services 15.9 16.6 +4.4
Total Government 19.8 19.6 -1.0

top

TABLE 5:
COUNTY SALES TAX DISTRIBUTION

  2003 Sales Tax
Fourth Quarter
(Thousands)
2004 Sales Tax
Fourth Quarter
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage County $1,171.4 $1,130.9 -3.5
Marathon County $2,575.5 $2,704.7 +5.0
Wood County NA $1,113.9 NA
TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Index Value

September 2004

December 2004
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions

60

65

Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
58 58
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
65 60
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions
57

58

Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
60 62

100 = Substantially Better                50 = Same                  0 = Substantially Worse

 

Back to 4th Quarter 2004 Report

CWERB Home Page

 

E-mail DBE  Phone: (715) 346-2728  Fax: (715) 346-3310  Webmaster
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481