Randy
F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director,
Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Wausau
Area
4th Quarter 2001
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Table
7 Table 8 Table 9 Table
10 Table 11 Table
12
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The
Wausau economic indicators suggest that the area has been touched by the
national recession. For example,
the unemployment rate is up from a year ago, and total employment has
contracted. In addition, employment
in the manufacturing sector is estimated to be 4.1 percent lower than a year
ago. Other indicators like
unemployment claim data suggest a deterioration in economic conditions.
A
complete listing of Marathon County's industrial sector employment is given in
Table 7. As mentioned elsewhere in
the report manufacturing has taken the brunt of the contraction.
Manufacturing payrolls are estimated to have contracted from 19.3
thousand to 18.5 thousand, or 4.1 percent from Fourth Quarter 2000.
Trade was also lower over the course of the year.
Trade payrolls declined from 18.1 to 18.0 thousand.
Good news, comes however from the robust services sector.
This sector managed to add 2.7 percent to its payrolls. Similarly the
construction and government sectors increased by 100 and 200 positions
respectively. These figures
represent solid gains of 3.0 and 2.5 percent.
Overall industrial sector employment currently at 71 thousand is
estimated to be unchanged over the past twelve months.
Table
8 presents the CWERB retailer confidence survey. Local area merchants remain
upbeat in their assessment of the retail scene. When asked about store traffic and sales compared to one year
ago this group indicated that matters were better than a year ago.
Moreover, when they were asked to forecast future levels of store traffic
and sales they thought next quarter would see measurable gains in activity
levels. Thus, it appears that the
retail sector has held up fairly well in light of the fact that the county is in
a recession.
Table 9 shows that help wanted
advertising fell dramatically from one year ago. This barometer of local labor
market conditions tumbled from 159 to 108 or by 32 percent.
The national index likewise took a sharp drop from 79 to 45, or a 43
percent decline. Both indexes
indicate that employers have drastically altered their hiring plans.
This comes as little surprise given the recessionary environment and
suggests that the area labor market is not as strong as it was previously.
Another sign of the weak
economic condition comes from the unemployment claims data for the Marathon
County area (Table 10). New claims on a weekly
average basis climbed from 456 to 538, which represents a substantial increase
of 18.0 percent. Area layoffs have
also had an impact on total unemployment claims figure. Total claims have
rocketed upwards from 1,653 to 2,101, or by 27 percent over the course of the
year. Clearly the slowing economy
has played a major influence on these unemployment claim figures.
Even though residential
construction activity is generally lower than a year ago, the totals remain at
elevated levels (Table 11). For the Fourth
Quarter the number of permits issued contracted by 3.1 percent and the
associated value of this new home construction was 22.0 percent behind last
year's pace. Further the number
of new housing units was down by 8.2 percent from a year ago.
On the brighter side of things, the number of residential alteration
permits issued was 23 percent higher than in 2000, and the value of this
activity rose by an estimated 3.6 percent.
Nonresidential
construction is presented without percentage changes (Table
12). This type of activity is very volatile and can change
dramatically from year to year. The
number of new permits issued was 12 in Fourth Quarter 2001.
Moreover, the estimated value of this activity was approximately $7.2
million. During the same period the
number of business alteration permits climbed to 54, and they had an approximate
value of $4.5 million.
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TABLE
7:
MARATHON
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
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Employment
December 2000 (Thousand)
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Employment
December 2001 (Thousands)
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Percent
Change
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| Manufacturing |
19.3
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18.5
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-4.1
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| Services |
22.4
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23.0
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+2.7
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| Trade |
18.1
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18.0
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-0.6
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| Construction |
3.3
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3.4
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+3.0
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| Government |
7.9
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8.1
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+2.5
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TABLE
8:
RETAILER
CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
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Index
Value
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September
2001
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December
2001
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Total
Sales Compared
to Previous Year |
66
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65
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Store
Traffic Compared
to Previous Year |
63
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64
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Expected
Sales Three
Months From Now |
64
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66
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Expected
Store Traffic
Three Months From Now |
64
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66
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100
= Substantially Better
50
= Same
0
= Substantially Worse |
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TABLE
9:
HELP
WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
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Index
Value
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2000
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2001
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Wausau
(December)
(1980
= 100) |
159
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108
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U.S.
(November)
(1987
= 100) |
79
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45
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TABLE
10:
UNEMPLOYMENT
CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
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2000
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
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2001
Fourth Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
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Percent
Change
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| New
Claims |
456
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538
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+18.0
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| Total
Claims |
1,653
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2,101
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+27.1
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| *
Includes Medford Area. |
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TABLE
11:
RESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
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2000
Fourth Quarter
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2001
Fourth Quarter
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Percent
Change
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| Residential
Permits Issued |
64
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62
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-3.1
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| Estimated
Value of New Homes |
$11,746.4
(thousands)
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$9,159.2
(thousands)
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-22.0
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| Number
of Housing Units |
134
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123
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-8.2
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| Residential
Alteration Permits Issued |
169
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208
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+23.1
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| Estimated
Value of Alterations |
$1,295.5
(thousands)
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$1,342.3 (thousands)
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+3.6
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TABLE
12:
NONRESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
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2000
Fourth Quarter
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2001
Fourth Quarter
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| Number
of Permits Issued |
13
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12
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Estimated
Value of
New
Structures |
$12,866.7
(thousands)
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$7,166.9
(thousands)
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| Number
of Business Alteration Permits |
49
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54
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Estimated
Value
of
Business Alterations |
$6,344.1
(thousands)
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$4,465.7
(thousands)
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Back
to 4th Quarter 2001 Report
CWERB
Home Page
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DBE Phone: (715) 346-2728 Fax: (715) 346-3310 Webmaster
University of
Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business
and Economics
Stevens Point,
Wisconsin 54481
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