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The local economy
continues to display considerable strength. The seasonally unadjusted
unemployment rate stands at a very low 2.9 percent for 3rd Quarter, and
industrial sector employment growth was respectable for most of the reported
categories. Other indicators in the report suggest that while the local economy
is not expanding at a rapid uncontrolled pace, it is nonetheless performing at a
decent level.
The employment situation
in Portage county remains healthy (Table 7). Industrial
sector employment results show every sector expanding beyond last years totals
except for the slight decline in government employment. Services, as is typical,
lead the expansion growing by 300 positions. Area manufacturing and trade firms
each added 200 persons to their operations. Construction, meanwhile, added
approximately 100 jobs. Overall, we see these sectors growing by a respectable
2.2 percent from a year ago. Thus, once again it can be said that our local
economy is in reasonably good shape.
The CWERB's panel of
local merchants says that store traffic and sales were ahead of last year's
totals during 3rd Quarter
(Table 8).
As a matter of record their sentiments have been trending upwards since 3rd
Quarter 1996. With regard to their forecast of future activity this group
believes matters will improve in the months ahead. Here the trend in sentiment
has been decidedly more optimistic since about 1st Quarter 1996. Thus, all
measures of retailer confidence indicate the economy is performing well.
Another indicator of
local economic conditions is help wanted advertising
(Table 9).
Even though the index fell from 314 to 277, or 11.8 percent, the index remains
at an elevated level. In other words there are 2.8 jobs being advertised for
each one in the base year. For a historic perspective of the situation, the
index stood around 180 in early 1993. Thus, much improvement has taken place in
the job market for local residents.
An additional dimension
of economic performance is the rate of change in public assistance claim data
(Table
10). However,
the threat of the state of
Wisconsin's
W2 plan has caused many people to leave the ranks of the unemployed. Thus, the
decline in total caseload by 10 percent from last year will reflect this change
along with that associated with economic growth. Interesting though is that new
claims have increased slightly from 78 to 89 on a monthly average basis.
Unemployment claims for
Portage county are virtually unchanged from the already low levels of last year
(Table
11). New claims on a
weekly average basis rose from 47 to 52 and total claims for 3rd Quarter fell
from 143 to 142. Thus, little change is evident this period. However, one might
expect that any normally functioning economy will have some unemployment that is
associated with frictional and structural change.
Residential construction
is a method used to gauge the local economy
(Table
12). Permits issued
for new construction rose from 43 to 46. However, the associated value of this
activity contracted from $5.2 million to $3.9 million. The number of housing
units expanded from 50 to 54 over the year. In the residential alteration arena,
residential permits issued declined from 390 to 368 and likewise their value
fell from $1.6 million to $1.5 million.
Nonresidential construction, as usual, is presented without percentage changes
due to the volatility of this kind of activity
(Table 13).
The number of permits issued reached 15 in 3rd Quarter and this construction is
estimated to have a value of $3.5 million. The number of business
alteration permits was 36 and the value of this activity was $593 thousand.
In sum, nonresidential construction was somewhat off the pace of prior periods.
Results of our sample of financial institutions show that bank deposits have
risen by $7.0 million or by 2.5 percent from a year ago
(Table 14).
A more impressive change was the expansion of bank loans which grew by $28.0
million or by 9.6 percent from a year ago. This lending implies an
increase in the future purchases of goods and services by consumers and
businesses, which translates into jobs and income for the suppliers of these
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