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Since the mid 1980's our region, like the state, has experienced a very long
period of almost uninterrupted growth and development. This quarter's results
indicate the continuation of this trend. All indicators were positive about our
economic situation and signal that our region is partaking in the national
expansion. Further, unless some unforeseen shock hits the economy the trend is
most likely to continue into the year ahead.
Unemployment rates remain at very low levels in all of our reporting areas
(Table 2). The rates for Portage and Wood stood at just
2.9 percent. Marathon's unemployment rate was an even lower 2.7 percent.
Likewise, the state and nation once again registered fine performances. The
state unemployment rate was a minuscule 3.1 percent while the national mark was
a very respectable 4.7 percent. In general, rates were slightly higher this year
than last, but still remain at incredibly low levels.
Total employment growth in the region was slow
(Table 3).
As mentioned in previous reports tight labor markets currently exist after many
years of robust growth. This constraint will likely prevent large employment
gains from taking place in the foreseeable future. Most forecasters indicate
that Wisconsin
will now, after many years of exceeding the national job growth rate, begin to
trail the U.S. in job generation. In other words, the rest of the country will
catch up to Wisconsin in terms of job creation.
Better news about the Central Wisconsin employment situation comes from the
industrial sectors listed in Table 4. Manufacturing,
services, and trade grew by 2.9, 2.4, and 5.3 percent respectively. However, our
construction and government payrolls fell behind last years levels, declining by
3.4 and 2.2 percent respectively. In sum, all these sectors grew at a combined
rate of approximately 2.3 percent, or a gain of approximately 3,200 jobs.
Sales tax distributions are another useful indicator of economic activity in a
region (Table
5). In Portage
county the amount of tax increased from $914.1 thousand to $979.4 thousand or by
7.1 percent. The activity in Marathon county resulted in a rise from $1.9
million to $2.0 million in collections over the course of the year. Thus, both
counties experienced a substantial dollar change in purchasing activity. There
are no data available for Wood county because it does not have a county sales
tax.
Our CWERB panel of regional business executives believes that national and local
economic conditions have not changed all that much over the past twelve months
(Table
6). Given the
overall good performance of the national and local economies it becomes
difficult to imagine that matters would have dramatically improved. When queried
about the national, local, and industry conditions likely to prevail in the next
quarter they indicated that economic matters would follow the current course. In
other words, no major changes are foreseen |