Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
WI.gif (1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
3rd Quarter 1995
 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     The Wausau area economy expanded at a modest pace during Third Quarter. Total employment increased by 1.2 percent and non‑farm payrolls climbed by a respectable, although not spectacular, 2.4 percent. The unemployment rate continues to tumble ever lower. This strongly suggests that labor markets are becoming increasingly more tight for qualified workers. 

     Retailers are very upbeat concerning sales and store traffic and expect a better than average Christmas selling season. Help wanted advertising remains elevated for the local area labor market. Unemployment data reveals there has been an increase in the number of claims compared to last year. Construction of residential structures was relatively flat when all factors are considered. However, financial statistics for the Wausau area were much above the reported activity levels of a year ago. As is usually the case, the economic indicators present us with mixed signals with regard to the rate of economic development. 

     Marathon county non‑farm employment expanded 1.4 thousand since last September (Table 7). This gain represents a 2.4 percent change in area payrolls. Manufacturing jobs increased by 500, trade by 800 positions, and construction added 400 people. In an unusual reversal of fortune, the services sector is estimated to have lost 100 jobs. Government employment, as is usually the case, was little changed from a year ago falling by about 200. Thus, in sum, Marathon county non‑farm employment has now reached nearly 60.0 thousand jobs during the Third Quarter. 

     The CWERB panel of local merchants is exuberant about sales and store traffic during Third Quarter 1995 (Table 8). This group was equally upbeat in.‑ their assessment of matters during June. When asked to forecast the Christmas selling season this group believes store traffic and sales will be stronger than last year. Even the most casual observer of the economy is aware of the tremendous explosion of retail related activities in the greater Wausau area. 

     Help wanted advertising remains strong in the local area (Table 9). The reading of 182 means there are nearly two jobs being advertised for every one job in 1980. Consistent economic growth over the past ten years in our area and the state have caused the index to elevate and the unemployment rate to sink. The need for qualified workers has been gradually intensified by the very long economic expansion. 

     Public assistance claims on a monthly average basis fell from 21 to 16, or 23.8 percent. The total caseload, likewise, declined sharply from 76 to 53, or 33.3 percent. The data in Table 10 are collected on a county‑wide basis and serve as another measure of local economic conditions. In contrast to these numbers, however, unemployment claim data rose for new requests 235 to 301 and total claims jumped by 25.1 percent over last year's situation (Table 11)

     Residential construction figures are given in Table 12. The number of housing units bounded upward this period and this result can be attributed to a large apartment building project in Wausau. The rest of this quarter's results are much more modest. The number of permits issued rose by just 3.4 percent and the estimated value of new homes increased by 9.4 percent. The number of residential alteration permits issued declined by 9.4 percent and their estimated value by 17.1 percent. Thus, except for the apartment project mentioned earlier activity was relatively flat in the area. 

     Nonresidential construction activity is very volatile thus no percentage changes are given (Table 13). The number of permits reached 18 with an estimated value of $2.0 million. Further, there were 45 business alteration permits and their value was estimated at $2.4 million. Investment in physical capital is critically important for an area's economy because it represents expansion in a basic component of job creation. Steady incremental increases in physical capital means that employers are doing well and are upgrading or adding to their production capabilities. 

     Financial statistics for the area grew dramatically since last year (Table 14). Accumulated bank deposits rose from $1.09 billion to $1.22 billion, or by 11.8 percent. Lending by area financial institutions climbed from $908.9 million to $1.04 billion, or 14.8 percent over the past twelve months. Only a growing vibrant economy could produce the magnitude of change witnessed this quarter. A less than robust economy would not be able to generate such results.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
September 1994
(Thousands)
Employment
September 1995
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
15.7
16.2
+3.2
Services

19.3

19.2
-0.5
Trade
14.0
14.8
+5.7
Construction
2.3
2.7

+17.4

Government

7.0

6.8
-2.9
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                     
Index Value
June 1995
September 1995
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
73
71
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
74
72
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
74
72
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
75
72
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
 
Index Value
1994
1995
Wausau
(September)
(1980 = 100)
190
182
U.S.
(August)
(1967 = 100)
127
130
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY
 
1994
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1995
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications
21
16
-23.8
Total Caseload
76
53
-30.3
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1994
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1995
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
235
301
+28.1
Total Claims
1,432
1,792
+25.1
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1994
Third Quarter
1995
Third Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
89

92

+3.4
Estimated Value of New Homes
$10,416.8
(thousands)

$11,392.9
(thousands)

+9.4
Number of Housing Units
99

153

+54.5
Residential Alteration Permits Issued
286

259

-9.4
Estimated Value of Alterations
$1,557.0
(thousands)

$1,290.7
(thousands)

-17.1
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1994
Third Quarter
1995
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
14
18
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$4,047.4
(thousands)
$2,042.6
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits 
46
45
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$3,004.5
(thousands)
$2,375.0
(thousands)
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1994
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1995
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$1,094.6
$1,223.6
+11.8
Bank Loans
$908.9
$1,043.7
+14.8
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481