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Preliminary estimates suggest that real gross domestic product rose by a
stronger than anticipated 3.3 percent over the past twelve months. Industrial
production in our nation's factories increased significantly by growing 3.3
percent. Short term interest rates rose from 4.79 to 5.14 percent over the past
year and the consumer price index rose by just 2.5 percent signaling that
inflation remains subdued.
Unemployment rates tumbled sharply lower in
Central Wisconsin, the state, and nation. Generally, speaking
economists say that an economy has reached full employment when the rate stands
at 5.5 to 6.0 percent. Thus, a 3.0 percent unemployment rate In Central
Wisconsin indicates a tight labor market for qualified workers. The same holds
true for many other locales in
Wisconsin.
For example the Fox Valley area and Dane county have very robust economies and
extremely low unemployment rates.
Employment in the area has been expanding almost without interruption for about
ten years. This quarter we see a modest 1.2 percent amount added to employment.
As of September there was 141.2 thousand people employed in the three‑county
area. Unless population and or the demographics of the area change, growth may
continue on this sort of path because of the labor constraint.
In detail, Central Wisconsin non‑farm employment grew by 1.8 percent rising from
130.8 to 133.1 thousand. Manufacturing, services, trade, and construction
expanded by 2.8, 1.9, 3.3, and 6.0 percent respectively. Only government
activity was abated with the number of people employed declining from 16.8 to
16.0 thousand.
Sales tax distributions In both
Portage
and Marathon counties have been trending steadily upward since about late 1991.
Approximately $800 thousand was collected in
Portage
and $1.6 million in Marathon. Tax collections are highly correlated with the
amount of transaction activity taking place in an area and thus give insight
into local economic conditions.
Business surveys are an important indicator of economic conditions. By gathering
a wide spectrum of opinions better insight can be gained into local and industry
conditions. These business people know their company's market prospects better
than outsiders. This group tells the CWERB mat local and industry conditions
should be stronger than a year ago. This bodes will for area job seekers because
expanding businesses translate into employment opportunities for workers.
The Stevens Point‑Plover area employment has grown a great deal over the past
ten years, last quarter for example. However, employment growth did not
transpire this quarter. Both total and non‑farm employment amounts were lower
than last years figures. In contrast to the employment information, the
unemployment rate was sharply lower, help wanted advertising was robust, and
nonresidential construction activity was strong. |