|
Table
7 Table 8 Table 9 Table
10 Table 11 Table
12 Table 13 Table 14
Good economic news can be
reported for third quarter 1993. Every measure of economic activity was positive
for the Wausau area. Total employment and industrial sector employment were
above last year's marks by 1.8 and 4.5 percent respectively. The seasonally
unadjusted unemployment rate plunged from 5.9 to 3.5 percent from a year ago.
Retailer confidence with regard to both past and present conditions was strong
and help wanted advertising has improved steadily since 1992. Local family
financial distress is lower than a year ago according to public assistance and
unemployment claims data. Construction activity in the area remains brisk and
financial statistics for the area for the quarter indicate a quite healthy
economy.
The area has seen and will see
an even larger expansion in its retail sector. Clearly, this demonstrates that
area businesses have much confidence in the vitality of the Wausau area economy.
Even with all the good news, it should not be overlooked that the J.1. Case
plant finally closed after many years of providing high wage jobs to area
residents. Further the bad weather of 1993 surely caused many local farmers to
suffer significant financial setbacks.
Marathon
County
industrial sector employment gained 2,400 positions in a year over comparison
with September 1992 (Table 7). This increase of nearly 45
percent is well above the job generation rate for the U.S. In more detail,
services, trade, and construction employment were higher than last year by 5.9,
8.3, and 40.0 percent respectively. Manufacturing fell by 0.6 percent or 100
jobs and, similarly, government employment contracted by 300 positions or 4.5
percent. The long term trend since the mid 1980's shows that manufacturing
employment has increased on a seasonally adjusted basis from around 11,000 to
approximately 16,000 persons, an increase of 45 percent. Meanwhile, service
sector employment has also done well over the same time period increasing from
around 13,000 to approximately 18,000 or 38 percent on a seasonally adjusted
basis. Since 1985, trade, construction, and government employment have increased
by about 2500, 1800, and 500 persons each.
Retailer confidence in
Table 8 shows that local merchants are very upbeat about
sales and store traffic for the third quarter when compared to a year ago. As a
matter of record, these two series have been trending upward with little
interruption since late 1990. When this group was asked to forecast future sales
and traffic three months from now compared to last year, they replied that they
expected matters in the retail sector to be much improved. Once again, the trend
for these two indicators has been upward since late 1990 indicating that area
merchants have become increasingly more confident in their assessment of local
retail conditions.
Table 9
presents help wanted advertising for Wausau. This barometer of local labor
market conditions gained 13 points from last year. The 185 reading means there
are 1.85 jobs being advertised for every one job in 1980. The local help wanted
advertising index peaked on a seasonally adjusted basis in third quarter 1988 at
around 230, and later fell to a low of 160 in late 1989. Another major decline
(to 155) in advertising took place during the latter part of 1990 and continued
into early 1991. Since mid 1991 the index has been trending slowly upward.
Public assistance claims, a
measure of local family financial distress, are presented in
Table 10. New applications fell from 18 to 12 on a monthly average basis and
total caseload contracted from 90 to 61. Table 11 is
another measure of local family financial distress and it, too, tells a similar
story. Initial unemployment claims on a weekly average basis declined from 295
to 185 in a year over comparison, and total unemployment claims contracted from
1565 to 1248. Thus, the data in Tables 10 and 11 signals an abatement in the
level of local financial distress in the
Wausau
area.
Residential construction in the
Wausau area was brisk, but not
up to the robust levels achieved last year
(Table 12).
The number of permits issued, the estimated value of new construction, the
number of housing units, and the number of residential permits issued were 9.3,
7.4, 21.7, and 10.8 percent lower than third quarter 1992. Only the estimated
value of residential alterations was higher and by just 2.9 percent. However,
the long‑term secular trend for all the categories has been upward. For
instance, in 1985, the estimated value of new residential construction was
around 15 million, on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared to approximately 7.5
million in 1993, an increase of 400 percent.
Due to the singular and therefore volatile nature of nonresidential
construction percent changes are not given. The number of permits for new
construction was 8 with an estimated value of $3.95 million
(Table 13). With regard to alteration activity, 33 permits, valued at approximately
$5.7 million, were issued. The long‑term secular trend for new construction on a
seasonally adjusted basis has been stable (with an occasional sharp fluctuation
occurring about the trend line) since the mid 1980's.
Financial statistics for the
Wausau area are given in
Table 14. Bank deposits expanded by 40.3 million dollars
or 5.6 percent from one year ago. Since 1985 the sample of area deposits has
expanded from approximately $450 million to around $750 million on a seasonally
adjusted basis. This represents a 67 percent increase. Bank lending in our
sample expanded by $79.5 million or 14.6 percent from last year and by
approximately 70 percent from 1985. Both lending and deposit activity reflect
the overall economic health of the region. |