Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
 

Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau


Marshfield Area
3rd Quarter 1993

 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Table 15 Table16

 

     The Marshfield area economy held its own during the past twelve months. Most economic indicators were positive. For example, the unemployment rate was much lower than a year ago at this time, total employment for the county increased, and job gains were recorded in most of the industrial sector categories. Other highlights include upbeat comments from area merchants, and overall improvement in unemployment claims data. 

     Indicators that were not as robust in a year over comparison include residential construction activity and area financial statistics. Further, the wet and cold weather of this past growing season has placed an additional financial burden on area farmers and their pocketbooks. 

     Industrial sector employment for Wood County rose by 1130 positions since third quarter 1992 (Table 7). This gain of 25 percent was distributed in the following manner. Services, trade, and construction payrolls rose by 1030, 300, and 200 positions respectively. In contrast, manufacturing and government sector employment contracted by 300 and 100 jobs. The Marshfield employment index rose from 142.8 to 146.2 indicating that area payrolls expanded during the past twelve months.

     When we look back in time to the mid 1980's, it is clear that the fastest growing sectors in the Wood County economy have been services and trade. These sectors expanded by 38 and 28 percent respectively. In comparison, manufacturing employment has been almost constant, and government employment has increased by only 10 percent during the same time period.

     Merchants in our Marshfield retailer survey believe that store traffic and sales were stronger in September 1993 than at the same time last year (Table 8). Further, their optimism exceeds that expressed in June. In addition, this panel forecasts that sales and store traffic will be much improved during the up and coming, all important Christmas shopping season. Since late 1990 there has been a decided upward swing in the level of retailer confidence. 

     Help wanted advertising, a barometer of labor market conditions, jumped up by 15 percent from last year (Table 9). Please remember that the index does not measure all jobs in an area, or the quality of the jobs being advertised. However, the index is useful in judging labor market conditions because of the relationship or ratio between all jobs in an area and those that are advertised. Since mid 1992 the Marshfield help wanted advertising index has been trending sharply upward.

     Public swift-claim data in Table 10 shows that the number of new applications on a weekly average basis has been fiat. But, in contrast, the total caseload increased by 16.2 percent. From a historical perspective, total caseload, after declining steadily on a seasonally adjusted basis since the mid 1980'x, has been on the rise since late 1991.

     Good news for the area comes from the unemployment claims data for Marshfield (Table 11). Initial claims on a weekly average basis fell by 12.1 percent, and total unemployment claims declined by nearly 31 percent over the year. The long‑term trend shows that both series have been in decline since early 1992 on a seasonally adjusted basis. 

     Residential construction was off the pace of last year (Table 12). The number of permits issued, the estimated value of new residential construction, the number of housing units, and the number of alteration permits were lower by 43, 56, 50, and 6 percent respectively. Only the value of residential alterations was higher by 33 percent. Almost every series on construction activity has been trending lower on a seasonally adjusted basis since early 1991.

     Nonresidential construction activity is very volatile. Therefore no percentage changes are given in a year over comparison. The number of permits reached 14 with an estimated value of $578 thousand (Table 13). Business alteration permits were 11 with an estimated value of $4.9 million. Activity at the senior high school is influencing the amount recorded in this category.

     Financial statistics for the local area are given in Table 14. Bank deposits rose by $.4 million or 0.2 percent from last year. Again it should be mentioned that banks and other financial institutions have attracted investor dollars away from deposits with the lure of higher returns on mutual funds. This fact is well documented in the financial press. Lending activity increased by $1.8 million or 1.1 percent from last year. Slower growth in residential construction activity along with financial institutions selling loans in the secondary market have depressed this figure. Since the mid 1980's bank deposits and bank lending have been growing at a slow but steady pace. 

     Table 15 and Table 16 present Clark County economic data. The businesses of Marshfield view this area as part of their market area and hence the inclusion in the quarterly economic indicators.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
 
Employment
September 1992
Employment
September 1993
Percent Change
Manufacturing
10,500
10,200

-2.9

Services
14,690
15,720
+7.0
Trade

9,200

9,500

+3.3

Construction
1,620
1,820
+12.3
Government

4,500

4,400

-2.2

Marshfield Employment Index
142.8
146.2
+2.4
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
 
 
Index Value
June 1993
September 1993
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
64
66
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
61
65
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
66
64
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
64
64
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
 
 
Index Value
1992
1993
Marshfield
(September)
(1980 = 100)
207
237
U.S.
(August)
(1967 = 100)
93
103
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
 
1992
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1993
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications

39

39

0

Total Caseload

784

911

+16.2

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims in Marshfield are being compiled on a county-wide basis.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
 
1992
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1993
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
33
29

0

Total Claims

92

64

-6.3

 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
 
1992
Third Quarter
1993
Third Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
16

9

-43.8
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$1,670.0
(thousands)

$739.0
(thousands)

-55.7
Number of Housing Units
18

9

-50.0

Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
50

47

-6.0
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$225.3
(thousands)

$299.5
(thousands)

+32.9
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
 
1992
Third Quarter
1993
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
20

14

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$2,089.7
(thousands)

$578.2
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits
11

11

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$1,340.0
(thousands)

$4,937.5
(thousands)

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
 
1992
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1993
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$229.9

$230.3

+0.2
Bank Loans
$168.8

$170.6

+1.1
 
TABLE 15:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
 
 
September 1992
September 1993
Percent Change
Manufacturing

2,300

2,300
0
Services
1,970
2,040
+3.6
Trade
1,800

1,780

-1.1
Construction
300
310
+3.3
Government 
1970

2,100

+6.6

 
TABLE 16:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
 
 
September 1992
September 1993
Percent Change
Unemployment Rate
7.3%
5.0%
-31.5
Total Employed
12,900
12,900
0
Total Unemployed
1,010
690

-31.7

Labor Force
13,900
13,600
-2.2
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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