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The economy of the Stevens
Point/Plover area grew during third quarter 1992. The total number of people
employed has increased, and the industrial sector employment numbers were above
last year's level. Furthermore, the rising unemployment rate can be largely
attributed to a surge in the reported number of people entering the labor force
over the course of the year.
Retailers remain moderately
confident about the local economy and report that store sales and traffic are
ahead of last year's pace. Help wanted advertising remains stable when compared
to September of 1991, and residential and nonresidential construction were quite
strong for our area. The data for local family distress suggest a growing
deterioration for a segment of our area residents. However, besides economic
factors, one should also consider the role that changing norms and social
conditions play in this equation. Also, the immigration of minority groups into
the local area will surely impact this situation until they are assimilated.
Portage County industrial
employment grew by 500 from a year ago rising from 30800 to 30580, a two percent
increase (Table 7). The important manufacturing sector
grew by 400 positions and trade matched that by also posting a 400 person
increase. Services and construction payrolls, however, contracted by 240 and 60
respectively. Government employment was unchanged at 5300. Thus, in the
aggregate, local businesses were able to grow and provide more jobs to our area
people.
Retailer confidence in the
Stevens Point area remains at
approximately the same level as last quarter
(Table 8).
This panel of local merchants explained that sales and store traffic were
moderately higher than the year before for the same time period. Further, they
expect sales and store traffic to improve next quarter. The level of optimism
was slightly lower than in last quarter's report.
Help wanted advertising in Table 9 shows that there
are 2.1 jobs being advertised for every one job advertised in the base year of
1980. From last year the index grew by 3.4 percent. Likewise the nation's help
wanted advertising index grew for the first time in quite a while, 2.2 percent.
It appears that advertising by firms has remained fairly stable over the past
twelve months. In the case of
Portage County, that is a
positive sign as the amount of advertising remains well above the base year.
However, in the case of the
U.S.,
the stability means that the index is stuck at a level that was established some
twenty‑five years ago.
Table 10
displays public assistance in Portage County on a monthly average basis. New
applications were down from 161 to 142, a drop of 11.8 percent from last year.
Over the past five years this number has fluctuated between a high of 161 and a
low of 118 for the third quarter time period. With regard to total applications
on a monthly average basis, an increase from 1335 to 1825 or 36.7 percent was
recorded. Total applications on a monthly average basis have totaled 1700 in
third quarter 1987, 1629 in third quarter 1988, 1621 in third quarter 1989, 1344
in third quarter 1990, 1335 in third quarter 1991, and 1825 for the current
third quarter. Thus, a downward trend has been reversed in this quarter's data.
Table 11 presents unemployment claim data on a
monthly average basis. New claims fled rose from 39 to 44 or 12.8 percent. Over
the six reporting periods from 1987 to 1992, new claims for third quarter were
27, 23, 24, 30, 39 and 44 respectively. Thus, an upward movement in this number
is evident over the past four years. When it comes to the five year trend in
total third quarter unemployment claims we have 62 in 1987, 61 in 1988, 76 in
1989, 78 in 1990, 89 in 1991, and 125 in 1992, indicating a substantial increase
in the number of third quarter unemployment claims filed, particularly during
the most recent reporting period.
On a brighter note, the
residential construction scene continues to boom year after year in the Stevens
Point/Plover area (Table
12). Every category
except the number of residential alteration permits issued was well above last
year's figures. Residential permits issued, the value of new residential
construction, the number of units, and the estimated value of residential
alterations rose by 42, 44, 16, and 21 percent respectively. Low interest rates,
the availability of land, and a sound local economy are all playing a role in
shaping the residential construction scene.
Nonresidential construction, as presented in Table 13,
had a very good year. The number of permits was 10 with an estimated value of
$2397.2 thousand. Thus, a significant addition to the
Stevens Point area capital
stocks has taken place during third quarter 1992.
Table 14 gives the financial statistics for the
Portage County area.
This sample of local institutions for third quarter 1992 shows that bank
deposits fell from $327.9 to $321.2 million or a drop of 2.0 percent. Not since
1987 have deposits been lower than the corresponding period of the previous
year. One possible explanation is the transfer of funds previously held in
certificates of deposit by households to other forms of investment. This trend
has been noted at the national level. Bank lending in the area was robust,
rising from $248.5 to $259.9 million. This represents an almost five percent
increase. Even this number probably understates the amount of actual lending in
the area. To the extent that banks sell loans in the secondary market in order
to replenish their capacity to make local loans, we would expect the amount of
actual lending to be higher than reported on their balance sheets. |